Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app
Dortmund
HomeFull Time
3 - 2
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 8 September
Villarreal
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.76
X4.23
24.21
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 0.39 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 1.43 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.71 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
24%
22%
Dortmund
Draw
Villarreal
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 1.72 | — | -12.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.88 | -3.9% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.25 | 4.29 | -6.0% |
| Villarreal Win | 4.00 | 4.63 | 4.29 | -13.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.53 | 2.09 | — | -26.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 2 / 25 matchesDortmundvsVillarreal
2.50Goals / Match0.96
1.00Conceded / Match1.48
1Clean Sheets9
5.50Shots on Target / Match3.76
48.0%Possession %44.9%
83.0%Pass Accuracy %80.6%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
5Goals Scored24
2Goals Conceded37
1Clean Sheets9
4Big Chances37
2Big Chances Missed22
0Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
31Total Shots287
11Shots on Target94
swap_horizPassing & Possession
48.0%Avg Possession44.9%
873Total Passes8,716
83.0%Pass Accuracy80.6%
shieldDefending
29Tackles409
29Interceptions205
7Saves84
56.6%Duels Won49.7%
gavelDiscipline
20Fouls329
4Yellow Cards57
1Red Cards3
3Offsides29
analyticsOther
6Corners109
15Successful Dribbles173
0Errors Leading to Goal3
7.83Avg Rating6.73
history Recent Form
DortmundW
W
VillarrealL
L
D
D
group Head to Head
PL25 Nov 2025
4-0
PL6 Aug 2024
2-2
PL22 Jul 2022
0-2
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
Dortmund CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Villarreal CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Nov 2025
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Villarreal
6 Aug 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 2
Villarreal
22 Jul 2022
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 2
Villarreal
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.90
Form (Overall)
1.40
Dortmund is +36% better in terms of Points Per Game
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
Hamburger SV
Villarreal
2 - 3
Deportivo La Coruña
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
2 - 2
Villarreal
Racing Santander
2 - 2
Villarreal
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