Dundee FC vs Aberdeen Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app

Dundee FC

Dundee FC

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 2
Sunday 17 May
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Away
Dundee FCTimelineAberdeen
1st Half
Wright D. (Reilly C.)
sports_soccer
10'
Devlin N.Out: Knoester M.
sync_alt
14'
Morrison L. (Cameron L.)
sports_soccer
23'
Olusanya T.
sports_soccer
45+6'
2nd Half
Westley J.
sports_soccer
61'
Bevan J.Out: Reilly C.
sync_alt
68'
Milanovic N.Out: Keskinen T.
sync_alt
69'
Bilalovic K.Out: Cameron L.
sync_alt
69'
Shinnie G.Out: Geiger D.
sync_alt
69'
Afeez A.Out: Kjartansson K.
sync_alt
76'
Yogane T.Out: Congreve C.
sync_alt
76'
Cotterill J.Out: Hamilton E.
sync_alt
77'
Murray S.Out: Westley J.
sync_alt
77'
Graham L.Out: Samuels I.
sync_alt
87'
Astley R. ()
sports_soccer
90'

Top stats

1.79Expected goals (xG)1.29
56%Ball possession44%
11Total shots9
6Shots on target2
5Big chances1
7Corner kicks2
75% (304/405)Passes68% (215/317)

Shots

1.79Expected goals (xG)1.29
2.16xG on target (xGOT)1.61
11Total shots9
6Shots on target2
2Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box3
2Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

5Big chances1
7Corner kicks2
19Touches in opposition box17
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
9Free kicks14

Passes

75% (304/405)Passes68% (215/317)
45% (27/60)Long passes29% (22/77)
57% (58/101)Passes in final third42% (43/102)
21% (3/14)Crosses11% (1/9)
0.82Expected assists (xA)0.29
26Throw ins24

Defense

14Fouls9
50% (5/10)Tackles58% (14/24)
43Duels won56
36Clearances20
10Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves3
1.61xGOT faced2.16
-0.39Goals prevented-0.84
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.41
X3.44
22.78

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
80
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 1.08 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.56 GPG vs Away 0.56 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.44 conc vs Away 1.61 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

49%
28%
23%
Dundee FC
Draw
Aberdeen

Match Preview

Dundee in ninth host eighth-placed Aberdeen at Dens Park in their midweek Scottish Premiership meeting, with both teams looking to put their midweek defeats behind them and end the season on a high.

Dundee were defeated in their midweek match, away to Kilmarnock, as their miserable Rugby Park record continued. The Dee may have eliminated Killie from the Scottish Cup in Ayrshire back in January, but they haven't won a league game there in nine trips (D5 L4) since a sole goal success in May 2017. Despite naming a radical eight changes last time out, the Dee could leapfrog the Dons on the last day.

Including the curtailed 2019/20 Scottish Premiership season, Aberdeen have now lost their final home match in three of the past nine campaigns (W4 D2) after they were beaten by the Buddies thanks to St Mirren's success in midweek. The Reds can't finish any higher than eighth place in the league this season, and they'll hang onto that position as long as they avoid defeat to Dundee at Dens this weekend.

Aberdeen won the first two meetings between the two teams in the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership, but Dundee defeated the Dons at Pittodrie in February so could do so again here to finish above the Reds this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Dundee FC

Starting 11
-Kieran O'Hara
GK
-Drey Wright
DL
-Luke Graham
DC
-Ryan Astley
DC
-Brad Halliday
DR
-Yan Dhanda
DMC
-Ethan Hamilton
DMC
-Tony Yogane
AML
-Joe Westley
AMC
-Cameron Congreve
AMR
-Simon Murray
FW

Aberdeen

Starting 11
-Dimitar Mitov
GK
-Gavin Molloy
DC
-Mats Knoester
DC
-Liam Morrison
DC
-Mitchel Frame
ML
-Afeez Aremu
MC
-Dennis Geiger
MC
-Nicky Devlin
MR
-Stuart Armstrong
AMC
-Kevin Nisbet
FW
-Toyosi Olusanya
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
Dundee FCvsAberdeen

radarTeam Profile

Dundee FC
Aberdeen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
19Attack25
shield
39Defense49
swap_horiz
31Possession43
gps_fixed
62Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
16Creativity19
gavel
64Discipline25

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

39Goals Scored38
59Goals Conceded52
7Clean Sheets10
50Big Chances67
27Big Chances Missed45
4Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

370Total Shots419
118Shots on Target127

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.4%Avg Possession48.2%
13,018Total Passes14,632
76.3%Pass Accuracy77.2%

shieldDefending

522Tackles583
292Interceptions303
141Saves119
53.4%Duels Won47.7%

gavelDiscipline

337Fouls533
53Yellow Cards88
3Red Cards5
47Offsides66

analyticsOther

141Corners176
211Successful Dribbles270
10Errors Leading to Goal8
6.78Avg Rating6.71

Statistical Comparison

Dundee FCMetricAberdeen
4
Goals
4
26.2
Average Age
27.2
181.1
Average Height (cm)
181.3

history Recent Form

Dundee FCDundee FC
1.1 GPG
L
W
W
W
D
AberdeenAberdeen
1.1 GPG
L
W
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL21 Feb 2026
Aberdeen
2-3
Dundee
PL6 Dec 2025
Dundee
1-3
Aberdeen
PL5 Oct 2025
Aberdeen
4-0
Dundee
PL15 Feb 2025
Dundee
1-2
Aberdeen
PL9 Nov 2024
Aberdeen
4-1
Dundee
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
26 / 34 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
18 / 34 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11 / 34 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
19 / 34 matches
Dundee FC CS
6%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen CS
41%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Feb 2026
Aberdeen
2 - 3
Dundee
6 Dec 2025
Dundee
1 - 3
Aberdeen
5 Oct 2025
Aberdeen
4 - 0
Dundee
15 Feb 2025
Dundee
1 - 2
Aberdeen
9 Nov 2024
Aberdeen
4 - 1
Dundee
28 Sept 2024
Dundee
1 - 2
Aberdeen
13 Apr 2024
Aberdeen
0 - 0
Dundee
13 Mar 2024
Dundee
1 - 0
Aberdeen
30 Jan 2024
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Dundee
30 Apr 2022
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dundee
2 Apr 2022
Dundee
2 - 2
Aberdeen
26 Dec 2021
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Dundee

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Dundee FC
1.05
Form (Overall)
Aberdeen
1.08

Aberdeen is +3% better in terms of Points Per Game

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Dundee
Dundee
3 - 0
Livingston
Dundee
1 - 0
St. Mirren
Dundee United
3 - 0
Dundee
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee
Aberdeen
0 - 2
St. Mirren
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Dundee United
Livingston
2 - 2
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hibernian

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