Dundee Utd vs Falkirk Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Falkirk

Falkirk

Away
Dundee UtdTimelineFalkirk
1st Half
Murrell J. (Strain R.)
sports_soccer
4'
Randall J.Out: Merghem M.
sync_alt
19'
Tait D.
42'
2nd Half
Sapsford Z.
56'
Rose L.Out: Bennie D.
sync_alt
57'
Iqbal Z.Out: Camara P.
sync_alt
57'
Melniks D.Out: Henderson L.
sync_alt
57'
Doherty A.Out: Ross E.
sync_alt
58'
Rose L.
64'
Parkinson B.Out: Murrell J.
sync_alt
65'
Gardner J.Out: Krauhaus B.
sync_alt
66'
Farrugia N.Out: Sapsford Z.
sync_alt
69'
Yoro A.Out: Cameron L.
sync_alt
69'
Fodrey C.Out: Eames O.
sync_alt
77'
Spencer B.
84'
Parkinson B.
88'
Forbes M. (Yoro A.)
sports_soccer
90+3'

Top stats

2.27Expected goals (xG)0.78
62%Ball possession38%
27Total shots12
9Shots on target4
4Big chances1
14Corner kicks5
74% (338/455)Passes64% (183/287)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

2.27Expected goals (xG)0.78
2.25xG on target (xGOT)0.96
27Total shots12
9Shots on target4
10Shots off target3
8Blocked shots5
21Shots inside the box8
6Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

4Big chances1
14Corner kicks5
40Touches in opposition box21
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
14Free kicks16

Passes

74% (338/455)Passes64% (183/287)
38% (22/58)Long passes26% (18/68)
63% (81/129)Passes in final third46% (49/107)
47% (15/32)Crosses18% (3/17)
1.77Expected assists (xA)0.61
35Throw ins25

Defense

16Fouls14
56% (9/16)Tackles59% (10/17)
51Duels won61
23Clearances43
4Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves8
0.96xGOT faced2.25
-0.04Goals prevented1.25
6Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.93
X3.71
23.63

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.00Stake: Low (5/10)
46
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.85 PPG vs Away 0.22 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.60 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.40 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
31%
24%
Dundee Utd
Draw
Falkirk
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.721.89-9.1%
Dundee United Win2.002.20-9.3%
Draw3.753.26+15.2%
Falkirk Win3.504.18-16.3%
BTTS - Yes1.501.86-19.3%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Both Dundee United and Falkirk lost in their midweek matches, away to Motherwell and at home to Rangers respectively, aiming to return to winning ways this weekend at Tannadice.

Dundee United appear consistently inconsistent, with their away day delight at Kilmarnock succeeded by a mauling from Motherwell in midweek. United's wait for a win against the Well continued, having not beaten the Steelmen in the Scottish Premiership since February 2025, and they'll hope to bounce back with a win this weekend having beaten the Bairns in their last league meeting (3-2 at Falkirk in February).

Falkirk haven't beaten Rangers in a league match since a 3-2 success in the Scottish Championship back in March 2016, so the Bairns' midweek defeat to the Gers wasn't too surprising even if they feel as though they could've taken something from the game. Having won 3-0 in their only trip to Tannadice last season, Falkirk would love to repeat the feat on Saturday and clinch a first league victory of 2026/27.

With one win apiece and a share of the spoils in their three league meetings last season, it could prove tricky to separate these two teams at Tannadice on Saturday afternoon.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Dundee Utd

Starting 11
-Jack Walton
GK6.66
-Will Ferry
DL7.32
-Michael Forbes
DC7.01
-Bert Esselink
DC7.11
-Joshua Rawlins
DR6.46
-Panutche Camará
MC6.67
-Dylan Tait
MC6.46
-Abdoulaye Yoro
MC5.99
-Daniel Bennie
FWL6.43
-Zachary Sapsford
FW6.48
-Mehdi Merghem
FWR6.53

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Scott Bain
GK6.48
-Leon McCann
DL6.24
-Liam Henderson
DC6.62
-Lewis Neilson
DC6.57
-Ryan Strain
DR6.94
-Brad Spencer
DMC6.40
-Finley Barbrook
DMC6.62
-CJ Fodrey
AML6.48
-Ben Krauhaus
AMC6.37
-Ethan Ross
AMR6.50
-Ben Parkinson
FW5.94
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 5 / 4 matches
Dundee UtdvsFalkirk
1.00Goals / Match0.50
2.00Conceded / Match1.50
1Clean Sheets1
3.40Shots on Target / Match2.00
49.8%Possession %48.0%
79.8%Pass Accuracy %79.3%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored2
10Goals Conceded6
1Clean Sheets1
12Big Chances4
8Big Chances Missed4
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

72Total Shots38
17Shots on Target8

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.8%Avg Possession48.0%
2,018Total Passes1,683
79.8%Pass Accuracy79.3%

shieldDefending

91Tackles70
59Interceptions37
20Saves15
50.3%Duels Won44.8%

gavelDiscipline

56Fouls60
10Yellow Cards8
1Red Cards0
8Offsides8

analyticsOther

21Corners17
35Successful Dribbles22
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.12Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

Dundee UtdMetricFalkirk
5
Goals
0
4
Assists
0
6.5
Average Ratings
6.3
24.5
Average Age
25.6
181.5
Average Height (cm)
180.8
1
Shots pg
1
49%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.4
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1.0 GPG
L
W
L
L
D
FalkirkFalkirk
0.8 GPG
L
L
D
L

group Head to Head

PL6 Mar 2026
Falkirk
2-1
Dundee United
PL14 Feb 2026
Falkirk
2-3
Dundee United
PL22 Nov 2025
Dundee United
0-3
Falkirk
PL3 Aug 2025
Falkirk
2-2
Dundee United
PL13 Jul 2024
Falkirk
2-0
Dundee United
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
15 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
9 / 19 matches
Dundee Utd CS
37%
Clean Sheets
Falkirk CS
21%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

6 Mar 2026
Falkirk
2 - 1
Dundee United
14 Feb 2026
Falkirk
2 - 3
Dundee United
22 Nov 2025
Dundee United
0 - 3
Falkirk
3 Aug 2025
Falkirk
2 - 2
Dundee United
13 Jul 2024
Falkirk
2 - 0
Dundee United
17 Nov 2023
Falkirk
4 - 2
Dundee United
25 Jul 2023
Falkirk
0 - 1
Dundee United
27 Apr 2019
Dundee United
2 - 0
Falkirk
23 Feb 2019
Falkirk
1 - 1
Dundee United
22 Dec 2018
Dundee United
2 - 1
Falkirk
22 Sept 2018
Falkirk
0 - 2
Dundee United
14 Apr 2018
Dundee United
1 - 0
Falkirk

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Dundee Utd
1.00
Form (Overall)
Falkirk
0.80

Dundee Utd is +25% better in terms of Points Per Game

Motherwell
3 - 0
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Dundee United
Dundee United
0 - 2
Dundee
Hearts
4 - 0
Dundee United
Dundee United
1 - 1
Rangers
Falkirk
1 - 2
Rangers
Celtic
2 - 1
Falkirk
Motherwell
0 - 0
Falkirk
Falkirk
0 - 2
St. Mirren

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