Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 21 February
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
Dundee UtdTimelineKilmarnock
1st Half
Strain R.Out: Sibbald C.
sync_alt
37'
Hugill J.
41'
Fatah A. (Penalty missed)
close
41'
Iovu I.
45'
2nd Half
Watkins M.Out: Lyons B.
sync_alt
46'
Tshibola A.
54'
Schjonning-Larsen M.
57'
Thompson J.Out: Tshibola A.
sync_alt
58'
Sapsford Z.Out: Watters M.
sync_alt
72'
Fatah A. (Ferry W.)
sports_soccer
74'
Polworth L.Out: Curtis F.
sync_alt
79'
Anderson B.Out: Hugill J.
sync_alt
79'
Watkins M. (Kiltie G.)
sports_soccer
90+1'
Thompson J.
90+4'

Top stats

1.80Expected goals (xG)0.54
40%Ball possession60%
12Total shots8
4Shots on target2
1Big chances1
6Corner kicks3
60% (175/293)Passes74% (356/480)
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

Shots

1.80Expected goals (xG)0.54
1.59xG on target (xGOT)0.75
12Total shots8
4Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box4
3Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances1
6Corner kicks3
30Touches in opposition box21
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
9Free kicks9

Passes

60% (175/293)Passes74% (356/480)
40% (28/70)Long passes48% (42/87)
56% (76/136)Passes in final third56% (73/131)
28% (11/39)Crosses43% (9/21)
1.00Expected assists (xA)0.75
29Throw ins26

Defense

9Fouls9
83% (10/12)Tackles44% (4/9)
45Duels won42
30Clearances41
9Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3
0.75xGOT faced1.59
-0.25Goals prevented0.59
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.99
X3.61
23.50

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
74
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #11
Season: Home 1.12 PPG vs Away 0.74 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.08 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

54%
28%
19%
Dundee Utd
Draw
Kilmarnock

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Dundee Utd

Starting 11
-Ashley Maynard-Brewer
GK6.33
-Krisztián Keresztes
DC6.96
-Ross Graham
DC7.12
-Iurie Iovu
DC6.71
-Will Ferry
DML7.06
-Craig Sibbald
MC6.63
-Luca Stephenson
MC6.77
-Ryan Strain
DMR6.37
-Amar Fatah
FWL6.71
-Zachary Sapsford
FW6.69
-Neil Farrugia
FWR6.40

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Kelle Roos
GK6.80
-Dominic Thompson
DL6.63
-Robbie Deas
DC6.71
-Ethan Brown
DC6.56
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DR6.48
-Greg Kiltie
ML6.58
-David Watson
MC6.58
-Brad Lyons
MC6.64
-Findlay Curtis
MR7.20
-Tyreece John-Jules
FW7.00
-Joe Hugill
FW6.50
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Dundee United will face off against Kilmarnock in a Premiership clash at CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park on February 21, 2026 GMT.

The home team, Dundee United, currently sits 7th in the standings, while their opponents, Kilmarnock, are positioned 11th with Dundee United holding 28 points and Kilmarnock with 20 points.

In their recent form, Dundee United has struggled, losing 67 percent of their last six Premiership matches.

On the other hand, Kilmarnock has also faced challenges, losing 3 out of their last 6 matches in the league.

Looking at their head-to-head record, Dundee United and Kilmarnock have drawn 50 percent of their last six encounters.

With Dundee United having the statistical advantage, the match is expected to be a closely contested battle.

Our algorithm predicts a 42% probability for Dundee United to come out victorious in this encounter.

Prediction: Dundee United to win with a probability of 42%.

Dundee United left it late in their last Scottish Premiership match, unlike Kilmarnock who were on the wrong side of a last-gasp winner before the two teams meet at Tannadice this weekend.

The Terrors advanced into the Scottish Cup quarter-finals with a 2-1 victory over Spartans at Tannadice in midweek, where they'll face Falkirk away from home, following the win against their League 2 opponents on Tuesday night. It was the Bairns that they beat on Saturday, as Dundee United arrested a rotten run of form where they'd lost four straight Scottish Premiership matches.

Kilmarnock raced into a two goal lead against Celtic on Sunday at Rugby Park, where they could have picked up three pivotal points, before Killie capitulated and fell to a 97th minute Hoops winner. They'll look to dust themselves down and aim to bounce back here, perhaps quietly confident after beating Dundee United 2-0 back in September the last time that they visited Tannadice.

Dundee United have won one in five league games, Killie have won two but there may be nothing to separate both teams as was the case in November at Rugby Park in a 1-1 draw.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 / 27 matches
Dundee UtdvsKilmarnock
1.32Goals / Match1.11
1.68Conceded / Match2.00
3Clean Sheets5
4.36Shots on Target / Match3.89
41.1%Possession %40.0%
70.1%Pass Accuracy %72.1%

radarTeam Profile

Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack28
shield
41Defense37
swap_horiz
22Possession18
gps_fixed
59Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
32Creativity16
gavel
31Discipline32

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

33Goals Scored30
42Goals Conceded54
3Clean Sheets5
48Big Chances52
34Big Chances Missed32
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

318Total Shots301
109Shots on Target105

swap_horizPassing & Possession

41.1%Avg Possession40.0%
7,742Total Passes8,699
70.1%Pass Accuracy72.1%

shieldDefending

416Tackles419
241Interceptions227
87Saves102
49.2%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

332Fouls348
59Yellow Cards60
3Red Cards4
46Offsides50

analyticsOther

112Corners121
174Successful Dribbles127
8Errors Leading to Goal4
6.77Avg Rating6.73

Statistical Comparison

Dundee UtdMetricKilmarnock
32
Goals
30
20
Assists
17
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25
Average Age
24.7
183
Average Height (cm)
184.8
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
47%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Dundee Utd

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Falkirk FC271161039
7Dundee United25610928
8Aberdeen25841328

For Kilmarnock

PosTeamPWDLPts
10St Mirren26581323
11Kilmarnock27481520
12Livingston27191712

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

38.1/ 71.8
Dangerous Attacks
44.4/ 83.6
36.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
11.3
Total Shots
10.4
42.0%
Possession
41.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Dundee Utd Wins
0%
3
Draws
50%
3
Kilmarnock Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketDundee UtdKilmarnock
Over 1.5 Goals
88%28/32
88%28/32
Over 2.5 Goals
53%17/32
69%22/32
Both Teams to Score
59%19/32
59%19/32
* Based on last 32 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Dundee Utd

FA
Dundee United
2 - 1
Spartans FC
Sc1
Dundee United
0 - 3
Hearts
FA
Dundee United
2 - 0
Ayr United
Sc1
Dundee United
0 - 1
Dundee
Sc1
Dundee United
1 - 1
Hibernian
Sc1
Dundee United
2 - 1
Celtic

Home Games: Dundee Utd

FA
Dundee United
2 - 1
Spartans FC
Sc1
Dundee United
0 - 3
Hearts
FA
Dundee United
2 - 0
Ayr United
Sc1
Dundee United
0 - 1
Dundee
Sc1
Dundee United
1 - 1
Hibernian
Sc1
Dundee United
2 - 1
Celtic

Last 6: Kilmarnock

Sc1
Rangers
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Livingston
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Dundee
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
St Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

Away Games: Kilmarnock

Sc1
Rangers
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Livingston
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Dundee
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
St Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

history Recent Form

Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1.1 GPG
W
L
L
L
L
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.7 GPG
L
W
L
W
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee United
PL27 Sept 2025
Dundee United
0-2
Kilmarnock
PL17 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee United
PL1 Feb 2025
Kilmarnock
1-0
Dundee United
PL7 Dec 2024
Dundee United
1-1
Kilmarnock
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
87%
26 / 30 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
18 / 30 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
12 / 30 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
19 / 30 matches
Dundee Utd CS
10%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Dundee United
27 Sept 2025
Dundee United
0 - 2
Kilmarnock
17 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Dundee United
1 Feb 2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee United
7 Dec 2024
Dundee United
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
28 Sept 2024
Kilmarnock
3 - 3
Dundee United
24 May 2023
Dundee United
0 - 3
Kilmarnock
11 Feb 2023
Dundee United
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
1 Feb 2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee United
9 Nov 2022
Dundee United
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
18 Oct 2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Dundee United
30 Jul 2022
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Dundee United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Dundee Utd
1.12
Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.74

Dundee Utd is +51% better in terms of Points Per Game

Falkirk
2 - 3
Dundee United
Hibernian
3 - 2
Dundee United
Dundee United
0 - 3
Hearts
Celtic
4 - 0
Dundee United
Dundee United
0 - 1
Dundee
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St. Mirren
Rangers
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock

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