Ecuador vs Germany Prediction & Tips | World Championship

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Ecuador

Home

Full Time

2 - 1

HT: 1 - 1

Thursday 25 June

Germany

Away

EcuadorTimelineGermany

1st Half

Sane L. (Wirtz F.)

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Angulo N. (Vite P.)

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Hincapie P.

43'

Pavlovic A.

44'

2nd Half

Stiller A.Out: Pavlovic A.

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46'

Penalty overturned

47'

Franco A.

50'

Thiaw M.Out: Kimmich J.

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60'

Undav D.Out: Havertz K.

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60'

Rodriguez K.Out: Valencia E.

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64'

Preciado A.Out: Franco A.

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64'

Beier M.Out: Nmecha F.

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64'

Estupinan P.Out: Hincapie P.

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71'

Gross P.Out: Wirtz F.

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73'

Plata G.Assist: Rodriguez K.

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77'

Caicedo J.Out: Angulo N.

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85'

Torres F.Out: Yeboah J.

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85'

Plata G.

89'

Top stats

1.51Expected goals (xG)0.65

39%Ball possession61%

7Total shots11

3Shots on target3

2Big chances2

3Corner kicks2

83% (313/379)Passes87% (517/592)

3Yellow cards1

Shots

1.51Expected goals (xG)0.65

1.60xG on target (xGOT)0.99

7Total shots11

3Shots on target3

2Shots off target3

2Blocked shots5

5Shots inside the box6

2Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances2

3Corner kicks2

17Touches in opposition box20

0Accurate through passes0

0Offsides0

10Free kicks15

Passes

83% (313/379)Passes87% (517/592)

48% (24/50)Long passes46% (17/37)

68% (79/116)Passes in final third72% (110/152)

25% (3/12)Crosses31% (5/16)

1.58Expected assists (xA)0.68

18Throw ins21

Defense

15Fouls10

62% (16/26)Tackles65% (13/20)

53Duels won51

29Clearances15

12Interceptions4

0Errors leading to shot2

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves1

0.99xGOT faced1.60

-0.01Goals prevented-0.40

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

14.15

X4.16

21.83

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 2.25 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.25 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%

20%

53%

Ecuador

Draw

Germany

Match Preview

Ecuador attempted 27 shots against tournament minnows Curacao in matchday two but were unable to find a way past the inspired Eloy Room in the opposition's net. That result means that the South American side needs a win here to comfortably qualify, or else they face a nervy wait at the bottom end of the third-place table.

Germany had substitute Deniz Undav to thank against the Ivory Coast last time out as his brace off the bench helped seal a stoppage-time win. Julian Nagelsmann's side can afford to breathe heading into the group finale with top spot already wrapped up due to their superior head-to-head record.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Ecuador

Starting 11

-Hernán Galíndez

GK6.68

-Piero Hincapié

DC7.02

-Willian Pacho

DC6.94

-Alan Franco

DC7.01

-Pervis Estupiñán

DML6.27

-Pedro Vite

MC7.14

-Jordy Alcívar

MC5.99

-Moisés Caicedo

MC7.24

-John Yeboah

DMR7.16

-Enner Valencia

FW6.55

-Gonzalo Plata

FW7.12

Germany

Starting 11

-Oliver Baumann

-David Raum

DL6.45

-Antonio Rüdiger

DC6.48

-Malick Thiaw

-Waldemar Anton

DR6.46

-Angelo Stiller

DMC

-Leon Goretzka

DMC6.28

-Maximilian Beier

AML

-Jamie Leweling

AMC6.16

-Nadiem Amiri

AMR7.07

-Deniz Undav

FW8.22

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

EcuadorMetricGermany

Goals

Assists

6.6

Average Ratings

27.5

Average Age

28.4

177.5

Average Height (cm)

185.4

1.8

Shots pg

1.7

42%

Aerial Duel Success

56%

Dribbles pg

Tackles pg

history Recent Form

Ecuador

1.5 GPG

Germany

3.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL20 Jun 2006

0-3

100%

Over 2.5 Goals

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

100%

1 / 1 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

100%

1 / 1 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

0 / 1 matches

Both Teams to Score

0 / 1 matches

Ecuador CS

Clean Sheets

Germany CS

100%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

20 Jun 2006

Ecuador

0 - 3

Germany

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.50

Form (Overall)

3.00

Germany is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Ecuador

0 - 0

Curaçao

Ivory Coast

1 - 0

Ecuador

3 - 0

Guatemala

Ecuador

2 - 1

Saudi Arabia

Netherlands

1 - 1

Ecuador

Germany

2 - 1

Ivory Coast

Germany

7 - 1

Curaçao

USMNT

1 - 2

Germany

4 - 0

Finland

Germany

2 - 1

Ghana

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

14.15

X4.16

21.83