Elche vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app
Elche
HomeFull Time
2 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Tuesday 15 September
Real Madrid
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
19.82
X6.69
21.25
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
65
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.40 PPG vs Away 2.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.57 GPG vs Away 1.60 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
27%
17%
56%
Elche
Draw
Real Madrid
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.42 | -19.4% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 3.15 | 2.54 | 3.37 | +24.0% |
| Elche CF Win | 9.36 | 3.77 | 10.11 | +148.3% |
| Draw | 6.50 | 5.84 | 7.02 | +11.4% |
| Real Madrid Win | 1.22 | 1.77 | 1.32 | -31.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.57 | 1.73 | 1.74 | -9.1% |
| BTTS - No | 2.11 | 2.37 | 2.34 | -11.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Elche
Starting 11
-Matías Dituro
GK5.81
-Federico Redondo
DC6.31
-Buba Sangaré
DC6.22
-Víctor Chust
DC6.28
-Roy Revivo
DML6.53
-Marc Aguado
MC6.26
-Gonzalo Villar
MC6.86
-Rubén Sánchez
DMR5.76
-Germán Valera
AMC6.39
-Facundo Buonanotte
AMC6.38
-Ezequiel Ponce
FW6.26
Real Madrid
Starting 11
-Thibaut Courtois
GK6.79
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.58
-Antonio Rüdiger
DC7.32
-Dean Huijsen
DC7.10
-Trent Alexander-Arnold
DR7.02
-Federico Valverde
DMC6.86
-Eduardo Camavinga
DMC6.51
-Vinícius Júnior
AML7.40
-Jude Bellingham
AMC8.32
-Arda Güler
AMR7.77
-Kylian Mbappé
FW8.52
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Elche are still searching for their first victory in La Liga this season as they sit in the relegation zone. They have never beaten Real Madrid in their last 13 meetings.
Real Madrid have managed to find the back of the net 14 times in their previous five games. They've won four out of five so far, losing away to Real Betis 1-0.
When these two sides last met last season, Madrid won 4-1 at home. When Elche hosted Madrid in the previous campaign, they held them to a 2-2 draw.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesElchevsReal Madrid
1.20Goals / Match2.80
2.60Conceded / Match0.80
0Clean Sheets1
5.20Shots on Target / Match9.20
51.8%Possession %56.8%
85.2%Pass Accuracy %91.5%
radarTeam Profile
Elche
Real Madrid
sports_soccer
40Attack100
shield
21Defense46
swap_horiz
62Possession87
gps_fixed
66Efficiency84
auto_fix_high
61Creativity100
gavel
45Discipline69
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
6Goals Scored14
13Goals Conceded4
0Clean Sheets1
13Big Chances23
11Big Chances Missed15
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
59Total Shots104
26Shots on Target46
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.8%Avg Possession56.8%
2,447Total Passes2,861
85.2%Pass Accuracy91.5%
shieldDefending
74Tackles73
47Interceptions34
12Saves15
48.2%Duels Won57.0%
gavelDiscipline
65Fouls45
11Yellow Cards8
8Offsides6
analyticsOther
26Corners42
36Successful Dribbles72
4Errors Leading to Goal1
6.62Avg Rating7.97
Statistical Comparison
ElcheMetricReal Madrid
6
Goals
13
5
Assists
10
6.3
Average Ratings
7
25.7
Average Age
26.5
181.4
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.9
Shots pg
1.5
47%
Aerial Duel Success
63%
0.6
Dribbles pg
1.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1
history Recent Form
ElcheD
L
L
L
D
Real MadridW
L
W
W
W
group Head to Head
PL14 Mar 2026
4-1
PL23 Nov 2025
2-2
PL15 Feb 2023
4-0
PL19 Oct 2022
0-3
PL23 Jan 2022
2-2
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
13 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
11 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
5 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
69%
9 / 13 matches
Elche CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
14 Mar 2026
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Elche CF
23 Nov 2025
Elche CF
2 - 2
Real Madrid
15 Feb 2023
Real Madrid
4 - 0
Elche CF
19 Oct 2022
Elche CF
0 - 3
Real Madrid
23 Jan 2022
Real Madrid
2 - 2
Elche CF
20 Jan 2022
Elche CF
1 - 2
Real Madrid
30 Oct 2021
Elche CF
1 - 2
Real Madrid
13 Mar 2021
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Elche CF
30 Dec 2020
Elche CF
1 - 1
Real Madrid
22 Feb 2015
Elche CF
0 - 2
Real Madrid
23 Sept 2014
Real Madrid
5 - 1
Elche CF
22 Feb 2014
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Elche CF
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.10
Form (Overall)
2.50
Real Madrid is +127% better in terms of Points Per Game
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Elche CF
Elche CF
2 - 3
Real Sociedad
Racing Santander
3 - 2
Elche CF
Elche CF
0 - 5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo La Coruña
1 - 1
Elche CF
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
1 - 0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
4 - 0
Málaga CF
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Real Sociedad
RCD Espanyol
1 - 2
Real Madrid
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