Elva vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction & Tips | Estonian Cup | FootballTips.app
Elva
HomeFull Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 24 September
Tallinna Kalev
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Model Confidence
12.71
X3.58
22.17
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
30
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.28 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.43 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
44%
25%
31%
Elva
Draw
Tallinna Kalev
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva Win | 2.71 | 2.29 | 3.01 | +18.1% |
| Draw | 3.58 | 4.00 | 3.97 | -10.4% |
| Tallinna Kalev Win | 2.17 | 3.19 | 2.41 | -31.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 30 / 29 matchesElvavsTallinna Kalev
1.57Goals / Match1.79
1.47Conceded / Match1.90
8Clean Sheets4
45.3%Possession %54.0%
73.3%Pass Accuracy %80.2%
radarTeam Profile
Elva
Tallinna Kalev
sports_soccer
38Attack45
shield
47Defense36
swap_horiz
40Possession63
gps_fixed
41Efficiency47
auto_fix_high
34Creativity40
gavel
29Discipline30
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
47Goals Scored52
44Goals Conceded55
8Clean Sheets4
0Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
425Total Shots416
swap_horizPassing & Possession
45.3%Avg Possession54.0%
8,535Total Passes12,718
73.3%Pass Accuracy80.2%
shieldDefending
1,225Interceptions1,194
95Saves128
48.8%Duels Won47.5%
gavelDiscipline
391Fouls364
74Yellow Cards68
4Red Cards5
60Offsides64
analyticsOther
142Corners179
327Successful Dribbles302
history Recent Form
ElvaW
D
W
D
W
Tallinna KalevL
L
L
W
W
group Head to Head
PL24 Sept 2026
3-2
PL15 Aug 2026
1-0
PL24 May 2026
3-1
PL9 Apr 2026
2-1
PL30 Oct 2025
1-2
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
9 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
5 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
5 / 13 matches
Elva CS
8%
Clean Sheets
Tallinna Kalev CS
62%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
24 Sept 2026
Elva
3 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
15 Aug 2026
Tallinna Kalev
1 - 0
Elva
24 May 2026
Elva
3 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
9 Apr 2026
Tallinna Kalev
2 - 1
Elva
30 Oct 2025
Elva
1 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
29 Jan 2023
Elva
0 - 0
Tallinna Kalev
29 Sept 2021
Elva
1 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
14 Jul 2021
Tallinna Kalev
1 - 0
Elva
30 May 2021
Elva
0 - 4
Tallinna Kalev
30 Sept 2017
Elva
0 - 5
Tallinna Kalev
10 Aug 2017
Tallinna Kalev
8 - 0
Elva
15 Jun 2017
Elva
0 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.73
Form (Overall)
1.00
Elva is +73% better in terms of Points Per Game
Elva
3 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
Elva
1 - 1
FC Tallinn
Elva
1 - 0
Nõmme Kalju FC U21
Elva
0 - 0
Tallinna FC Flora U21
Elva
1 - 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Elva
3 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme United II
2 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
Tallinna FC Flora U21
5 - 0
Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju FC U21
0 - 3
Tallinna Kalev
Viimsi
1 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
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