Emelec vs Libertad Prediction & Tips | Liga Pro - Placement Group | FootballTips.app
Emelec
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 20 September
Libertad
AwayEmelecTimelineLibertad
1st Half
Quinonez O.
6'
Herrera O.
20'
Caicedo B.
23'
Leguizamon A.
23'
Saya R. (Arce T.)
sports_soccer
23'
Medran E.
32'
2nd Half
Gruezo C.Out: Quinonez O.
sync_alt
46'
Bravo J.Out: Valencia C.
sync_alt
46'
Fragozo L.Out: Arce T.
sync_alt
46'
Bravo J. (Cortez Casierra G. J.)
sports_soccer
61'
Gomez L.Out: Herrera O.
sync_alt
62'
Caicedo E.Out: Chere A.
sync_alt
73'
Batalla H.Out: Branda V.
sync_alt
73'
Napoli G.Out: Ruiz J.
sync_alt
75'
Valencia S.Out: Segura E.
sync_alt
75'
Orejuela C.Out: Cortez Casierra G. J.
sync_alt
78'
Ayovi J.Out: Saya R.
sync_alt
82'
Leguizamon A.
88'
Caicedo B.Assist: Orejuela C.
sports_soccer
90'
Caicedo E.
90+4'
Morinigo R.
90+5'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.61
X3.34
25.04
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
64
Best near-miss
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
SofaScore scoring form: Home 0.83 GPG vs Away 1.73 GPG
SofaScore goals: Home 0.83 GPG vs Away 1.73 GPG
SofaScore defense: Home 1.13 conc vs Away 1.09 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
26%
Emelec Win
23%
Draw
50%
Libertad Win
Emelec
Draw
Libertad
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.02 | 2.13 | 2.14 | -5.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.77 | 1.89 | 1.88 | -6.2% |
| Home Win | 1.65 | 3.78 | 1.77 | -56.4% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 4.33 | 3.87 | -16.9% |
| Away Win | 5.25 | 4.82 | 5.64 | +8.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.66 | 2.07 | 1.79 | -19.9% |
| BTTS - No | 2.10 | 1.93 | 2.27 | +8.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
CS Emelec will play host to Libertad FC (ECU) in an Ecuador Serie A clash at Estadio Banco del Pacífico on September 20, 2026.
CS Emelec have picked up victories in half of their last six home league matches, while Libertad FC (ECU) have lost 50 percent of their away games this season.
Historically, recent meetings between these sides have tended towards balance, with four draws in the last six encounters across all competitions.
Notably, four of the last six matches between CS Emelec and Libertad FC (ECU) have produced under 2.5 goals, a trend mirrored in four of Libertad FC’s recent matches as well.
Prediction: CS Emelec and Libertad FC (ECU) to draw
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 30 / 11 matchesEmelecvsLibertad
0.83Goals / Match1.73
1.13Conceded / Match1.09
10Clean Sheets3
3.50Shots on Target / Match5.45
47.6%Possession %60.5%
79.3%Pass Accuracy %83.4%
radarTeam Profile
Emelec
Libertad
sports_soccer
26Attack62
shield
58Defense58
swap_horiz
40Possession67
gps_fixed
41Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
40Creativity60
gavel
37Discipline50
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
25Goals Scored19
34Goals Conceded12
10Clean Sheets3
62Big Chances31
43Big Chances Missed17
1Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
351Total Shots180
105Shots on Target60
swap_horizPassing & Possession
47.6%Avg Possession60.5%
10,457Total Passes5,839
79.3%Pass Accuracy83.4%
shieldDefending
465Tackles199
269Interceptions107
91Saves23
50.8%Duels Won50.6%
gavelDiscipline
327Fouls121
58Yellow Cards20
7Red Cards1
57Offsides19
analyticsOther
134Corners72
182Successful Dribbles78
3Errors Leading to Goal2
6.75Avg Rating6.86
League Standings Context
For Emelec
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guayaquil City | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | CS Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
For Libertad
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad FC (ECU) | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Leones del Norte | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 40 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
31.5/ 81.6
Dangerous Attacks
32.1/ 74.9
31.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
10.7
Total Shots
11.4
48.0%
Possession
45.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
0.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.1
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Emelec Wins
17%
4
Draws
67%
1
Libertad Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Emelec | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70%21/30 | 63%19/30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 20%6/30 | 47%14/30 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40%12/30 | 47%14/30 |
* Based on last 30 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Emelec
Ec1
CS Emelec
1 - 0
Manta FC
Ec1
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Leones del Norte
Ec1
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Tecnico
Ec1
CS Emelec
0 - 2
SD Aucas
Ec1
CS Emelec
1 - 1
Mushuc Runa
Ec1
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
Home Games: Emelec
Ec1
CS Emelec
1 - 0
Manta FC
Ec1
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Leones del Norte
Ec1
CS Emelec
2 - 1
Tecnico
Ec1
CS Emelec
0 - 2
SD Aucas
Ec1
CS Emelec
1 - 1
Mushuc Runa
Ec1
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
Last 6: Libertad
Ec1
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
SD Aucas
1 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Guayaquil City
2 - 2
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Mushuc Runa
0 - 2
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
LDU
0 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Away Games: Libertad
Ec1
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
SD Aucas
1 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Guayaquil City
2 - 2
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Mushuc Runa
0 - 2
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
Ec1
LDU
0 - 0
Libertad FC (ECU)
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