England vs Spain Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

England

England

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 26 September
Spain

Spain

Away
EnglandTimelineSpain
1st Half
Lamine Yamal
sports_soccer
2'
Gordon A. (Bellingham J.)
sports_soccer
36'
Kane H. (O'Reilly N.)
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
Kane H. (Penalty missed)
close
54'
Oyarzabal M.Out: Torres F.
sync_alt
55'
Baena A.Out: Williams N.
sync_alt
55'
Baena A. (Olmo D.)
sports_soccer
60'
O'Reilly N.
67'
Guehi M.
69'
PedriOut: Ruiz F.
sync_alt
70'
Rogers M.Out: Gordon A.
sync_alt
70'
Garner J.Out: Lewis-Skelly M.
sync_alt
70'
Oyarzabal M.Assist: Baena A.
sports_soccer
74'
Bellingham J.
81'
Merino M.Out: Olmo D.
sync_alt
82'
Gibbs-White M.Out: Saka B.
sync_alt
83'
Calvert-Lewin D.Out: Kane H.
sync_alt
83'
Branthwaite J.Out: Guehi M.
sync_alt
89'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.90
X3.38
22.35

Recommended Bet

Free
check_circle
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.85Stake: Medium (8/10)
76
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.25 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.83 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.83 conc vs Away 0.25 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%
25%
33%
England
Draw
Spain
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.851.74+6.6%
Under 2.5 Goals2.012.36-14.8%
England Win2.802.37+18.1%
Draw3.404.00-15.0%
Spain Win2.453.05-19.6%
BTTS - Yes1.661.74-4.5%
BTTS - No2.152.35-8.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

England will return to action for the first time since their 6-4 win against France in the World Cup third-place match back in July. The Three Lions take on the world champions after exiting the tournament at the semi-final stage following a defeat to Argentina.

Spain will play for the first time since becoming world champions on Saturday. Luis De La Fuente's side beat Argentina 1-0 in the World Cup final and conceded just one goal in eight World Cup matches en route to their second consecutive major international honour.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

England

Starting 11
-Jordan Pickford
GK
-Nico O'Reilly
DL
-Marc Guéhi
DC
-Ezri Konsa
DC
-Jarell Quansah
DR
-Elliot Anderson
DMC
-Alex Scott
DMC
-Anthony Gordon
AML
-Jude Bellingham
AMC
-Bukayo Saka
AMR
-Harry Kane
FW

Spain

Starting 11
-Unai Simón
GK
-Marc Cucurella
DL
-Dean Huijsen
DC
-Pau Cubarsí
DC
-Eric García
DR
-Fabián Ruiz
DMC
-Rodri
DMC
-Nico Williams
AML
-Fermín López
AMC
-Lamine Yamal
AMR
-Mikel Oyarzabal
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 7 / 23 matches
EnglandvsSpain
2.57Goals / Match0.91
0.29Conceded / Match1.78
5Clean Sheets6

radarTeam Profile

England
Spain
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
38Attack15
shield
55Defense45
swap_horiz
24Possession48
gps_fixed
50Efficiency31
auto_fix_high
0Creativity18
gavel
81Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

18Goals Scored21
2Goals Conceded41
5Clean Sheets6
3Penalty Goals0

history Recent Form

EnglandEngland
2.5 GPG
W
L
W
W
W
SpainSpain
2.6 GPG
W
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL14 Jul 2024
Spain
2-1
England
PL15 Oct 2018
Spain
2-3
England
PL8 Sept 2018
England
1-2
Spain
PL15 Nov 2016
England
2-2
Spain
PL13 Nov 2015
Spain
2-0
England
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
5 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
80%
4 / 5 matches
England CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Spain CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Jul 2024
Spain
2 - 1
England
15 Oct 2018
Spain
2 - 3
England
8 Sept 2018
England
1 - 2
Spain
15 Nov 2016
England
2 - 2
Spain
13 Nov 2015
Spain
2 - 0
England

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
England
2.50
Form (Overall)
Spain
2.60

Spain is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game

France
4 - 6
England
England
1 - 2
Argentina
Norway
1 - 2
England
Mexico
2 - 3
England
England
2 - 1
Congo DR
Spain
1 - 0
Argentina
France
0 - 2
Spain
Spain
2 - 1
Belgium
Portugal
0 - 1
Spain
Spain
3 - 0
Austria

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