Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League C | FootballTips.app
Estonia
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 3 October
Luxembourg
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Model Confidence
13.00
X2.94
22.53
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.67 GPG vs Away 0.83 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.33 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
37%
26%
36%
Estonia
Draw
Luxembourg
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.15 | 1.99 | 2.34 | +8.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 2.01 | 1.74 | -20.5% |
| Estonia Win | 2.87 | 2.67 | 3.03 | +7.5% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.81 | 3.27 | -18.6% |
| Luxembourg Win | 2.60 | 2.76 | 2.74 | -5.6% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.85 | 1.83 | 2.03 | +1.3% |
| BTTS - No | 1.80 | 2.21 | 1.97 | -18.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
history Recent Form
EstoniaD
D
L
D
W
LuxembourgL
W
W
L
W
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.80
Form (Overall)
1.20
Luxembourg is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game
Bulgaria
0 - 0
Estonia
Iceland
1 - 1
Estonia
Rwanda
2 - 0
Estonia
Kenya
1 - 1
Estonia
Cyprus
2 - 4
Estonia
Luxembourg
0 - 3
Iceland
Bulgaria
1 - 2
Luxembourg
Albania
0 - 1
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
0 - 1
Italy
Luxembourg
3 - 0
Malta
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