Estoril vs Arouca Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

Estoril

Estoril

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Monday 7 September
Arouca

Arouca

Away
EstorilTimelineArouca
1st Half
Tsoungui A.
30'
Ferro
45'
2nd Half
Arnolin J.Out: Tsoungui A.
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46'
Pedro SantosOut: van Ee E.
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46'
Arnolin J.
71'
Carvalho J.
72'
PeixinhoOut: Garcia F.
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75'
Flores M.Out: Gozalbez P.
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75'
Nandin D.Out: Barbero I.
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75'
Guitane R.Out: Lacximicant A.
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78'
Carvalho P.Out: Sanchez R.
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79'
Mansilla B.Out: Trezza A.
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85'
Brito T.Out: Holsgrove J.
sync_alt
85'
Mansilla B.
86'

Top stats

0.87Expected goals (xG)1.08
47%Ball possession53%
18Total shots12
8Shots on target2
3Big chances4
8Corner kicks2
80% (358/449)Passes84% (421/499)
4Yellow cards1

Shots

0.87Expected goals (xG)1.08
1.87xG on target (xGOT)0.45
18Total shots12
8Shots on target2
5Shots off target8
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
8Shots outside the box6
2Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances4
8Corner kicks2
22Touches in opposition box15
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides2
9Free kicks12

Passes

80% (358/449)Passes84% (421/499)
39% (25/64)Long passes47% (26/55)
58% (64/110)Passes in final third64% (56/87)
10% (2/21)Crosses25% (4/16)
0.93Expected assists (xA)0.26
16Throw ins18

Defense

12Fouls9
68% (17/25)Tackles53% (9/17)
55Duels won46
28Clearances38
11Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves8
0.45xGOT faced1.87
0.45Goals prevented1.87
14Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.32
X3.39
22.95

Recommended Bet

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Away Win
Odds: 2.76Stake: Medium (5/10)
54
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #17 vs Away #5
Season: Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.17 PPG vs Away 2.17 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
23%
37%
Estoril
Draw
Arouca
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.901.97-3.6%
GD Estoril Praia Win2.302.47-7.0%
Draw3.404.40-22.8%
FC Arouca Win2.762.71+1.7%
BTTS - Yes1.681.80-6.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Estorial launched a brave comeback against Benfica, but Yanis Begraoui's 82nd-minute goal was not enough to salvage a point at the Estadio da Luz. Vasco Matos' side have suffered three straight Liga Portugal defeats since kicking off the campaign with a point at home to Famalicão.

Arouca bounced back from their straightforward 2-0 defeat against Liga Portugal giants FC Porto with a 2-1 comeback win at home to Maritimo in gameweek four. Monday's visitors have won three of their first four league matches this season and will fancy their chances at Estadio António Coimbra da Mota.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Estoril

Starting 11
-Joel Robles
GK6.20
-Fernando Medrano
DC6.44
-Ferro
DC6.85
-Ismael Sierra
DC6.56
-Fabrício Garcia
DML6.04
-Xeka
MC5.91
-Antef Tsoungui
MC6.42
-Ricard Sánchez
DMR6.55
-João Carvalho
FWL6.50
-Yanis Begraoui
FW6.81
-André Lacximicant
FWR6.54

Arouca

Starting 11
-Ignacio de Arruabarrena
GK7.13
-Orest Lebedenko
DL6.63
-José Fontán
DC7.24
-Javi Sánchez
DC7.19
-Tiago Esgaio
DR6.79
-Espen van Ee
DMC6.94
-Taichi Fukui
DMC7.10
-Naïs Djouahra
AML7.27
-Pablo Gozálbez
AMC6.22
-Alfonso Trezza
AMR6.50
-Barbero
FW7.05
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
EstorilvsArouca
1.59Goals / Match1.38
1.68Conceded / Match1.88
5Clean Sheets7
4.06Shots on Target / Match3.59
52.7%Possession %50.3%
81.8%Pass Accuracy %82.9%

radarTeam Profile

Estoril
Arouca
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
46Attack35
shield
35Defense33
swap_horiz
58Possession47
gps_fixed
75Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
47Creativity27
gavel
40Discipline9

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

54Goals Scored47
57Goals Conceded64
5Clean Sheets7
75Big Chances68
44Big Chances Missed37
5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

397Total Shots364
138Shots on Target122

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.7%Avg Possession50.3%
15,128Total Passes14,074
81.8%Pass Accuracy82.9%

shieldDefending

495Tackles482
302Interceptions275
91Saves91
48.2%Duels Won47.5%

gavelDiscipline

441Fouls470
86Yellow Cards93
0Red Cards10
43Offsides49

analyticsOther

149Corners126
271Successful Dribbles175
9Errors Leading to Goal2
6.75Avg Rating6.66

Statistical Comparison

EstorilMetricArouca
2
Goals
6
2
Assists
6
6.3
Average Ratings
6.6
27.1
Average Age
26.6
182.4
Average Height (cm)
177.3
1
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

EstorilEstoril
0.3 GPG
L
L
L
D
AroucaArouca
1.9 GPG
W
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL6 Apr 2026
FC Arouca
3-2
GD Estoril Praia
PL7 Nov 2025
GD Estoril Praia
4-3
FC Arouca
PL16 Mar 2025
FC Arouca
1-1
GD Estoril Praia
PL26 Oct 2024
GD Estoril Praia
4-1
FC Arouca
PL20 Jan 2024
GD Estoril Praia
1-2
FC Arouca
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
19 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
6 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
16 / 24 matches
Estoril CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Arouca CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

6 Apr 2026
FC Arouca
3 - 2
GD Estoril Praia
7 Nov 2025
GD Estoril Praia
4 - 3
FC Arouca
16 Mar 2025
FC Arouca
1 - 1
GD Estoril Praia
26 Oct 2024
GD Estoril Praia
4 - 1
FC Arouca
20 Jan 2024
GD Estoril Praia
1 - 2
FC Arouca
13 Aug 2023
FC Arouca
4 - 3
GD Estoril Praia
15 May 2023
GD Estoril Praia
2 - 0
FC Arouca
7 Jan 2023
FC Arouca
2 - 0
GD Estoril Praia
27 Jan 2022
GD Estoril Praia
1 - 2
FC Arouca
7 Aug 2021
FC Arouca
0 - 2
GD Estoril Praia
2 Feb 2021
FC Arouca
1 - 0
GD Estoril Praia
10 Sept 2020
GD Estoril Praia
1 - 0
FC Arouca

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Estoril
0.30
Form (Overall)
Arouca
1.90

Arouca is +533% better in terms of Points Per Game

Benfica
2 - 1
GD Estoril Praia
GD Estoril Praia
0 - 2
Rio Ave FC
CD Nacional
2 - 0
GD Estoril Praia
GD Estoril Praia
1 - 1
Famalicão
FC Arouca
2 - 1
CS Marítimo
Porto
2 - 0
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
4 - 0
Moreirense FC
Vitória Guimarães
0 - 1
FC Arouca

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