Estrela vs Braga Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

Estrela

Estrela

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27h
19:15
Liga Portugal
Braga

Braga

Away

Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.76
X3.69
21.71

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #7
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.56 PPG vs Away 2.47 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Estrela
Draw
Braga
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.921.88+2.2%
Under 2.5 Goals1.832.14-14.4%
Estrela Amadora Win4.603.67+25.2%
Draw3.704.30-13.9%
Sporting Braga Win1.732.02-14.3%
BTTS - Yes1.811.82-0.5%
BTTS - No1.892.22-14.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Estrela Amadora failed to contain Georgios Koutsias last weekend as his brace held the home side to a 2-2 draw against Famalicao. Pepa's side remain unbeaten in Liga Portugal this season but have drawn three of their four matches by a 2-2 scoreline.

Sporting Braga continued their strong run of form in gameweek five, coming from behind to beat Alverca 2-1 thanks to Pau Victor's seven-minute brace. The visitors have taken seven points from a possible nine this term, leaving them sixth in the standings with two games in hand on some of the sides around them.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Estrela

Starting 11
-Léo Linck
GK6.40
-Rafa Soares
DL6.66
-Stefan Lekovic
DC6.52
-Luan Patrick
DC6.52
-Max Scholze
DR6.77
-Robinho
DMC6.34
-Eddy Doué
DMC7.08
-Beni Souza
AML6.34
-Lovro Zvonarek
AMC6.43
-Abraham Marcus
AMR7.36
-Leandro Antonetti
FW7.68

Braga

Starting 11
-Bernardo Fontes
GK6.20
-Vítor Carvalho
DC7.61
-Sergio Barcia
DC6.84
-Gustaf Lagerbielke
DC6.64
-Diogo Travassos
DML6.54
-João Moutinho
MC6.62
-Demir Ege Tiknaz
MC7.47
-Víctor Gómez
DMR6.87
-Diego Rodrigues
FWL6.55
-Pau Víctor
FW6.95
-Mario Dorgeles
FWR6.49
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
EstrelavsBraga
1.12Goals / Match1.88
1.65Conceded / Match1.06
8Clean Sheets12
3.56Shots on Target / Match4.68
46.8%Possession %62.9%
80.0%Pass Accuracy %87.4%

radarTeam Profile

Estrela
Braga
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack53
shield
46Defense49
swap_horiz
48Possession77
gps_fixed
61Efficiency93
auto_fix_high
31Creativity37
gavel
21Discipline42

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

38Goals Scored64
56Goals Conceded36
8Clean Sheets12
64Big Chances92
37Big Chances Missed41
7Penalty Goals16

gps_fixedShooting

367Total Shots397
121Shots on Target159

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.8%Avg Possession62.9%
12,062Total Passes20,534
80.0%Pass Accuracy87.4%

shieldDefending

536Tackles461
321Interceptions240
99Saves76
52.1%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

491Fouls400
88Yellow Cards74
5Red Cards3
60Offsides42

analyticsOther

113Corners180
283Successful Dribbles230
11Errors Leading to Goal4
6.74Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

EstrelaMetricBraga
8
Goals
5
6
Assists
4
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
23.6
Average Age
25.5
185.8
Average Height (cm)
182.9
1
Shots pg
1.2
47%
Aerial Duel Success
64%
1
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.6
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

EstrelaEstrela
0.8 GPG
D
W
D
D
BragaBraga
2.2 GPG
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL16 May 2026
Sporting Braga
2-2
Estrela Amadora
PL3 Jan 2026
Estrela Amadora
3-3
Sporting Braga
PL19 Jan 2025
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Sporting Braga
PL11 Aug 2024
Sporting Braga
1-1
Estrela Amadora
PL2 Mar 2024
Sporting Braga
3-0
Estrela Amadora
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
3 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
4 / 6 matches
Estrela CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Braga CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

16 May 2026
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora
3 Jan 2026
Estrela Amadora
3 - 3
Sporting Braga
19 Jan 2025
Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Sporting Braga
11 Aug 2024
Sporting Braga
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora
2 Mar 2024
Sporting Braga
3 - 0
Estrela Amadora
28 Sept 2023
Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Sporting Braga

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Estrela
0.80
Form (Overall)
Braga
2.20

Braga is +175% better in terms of Points Per Game

Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Famalicão
CD Nacional
2 - 3
Estrela Amadora
Alverca
2 - 2
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Alverca
1 - 2
Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
Moreirense FC
2 - 2
Sporting Braga

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