Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

Estrela

Estrela

Home
Full Time
0:2
Saturday 24 October
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.77
X3.61
24.51

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
62
Best near-miss

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
SofaScore scoring form: Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 0.38 GPG
SofaScore goals: Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 0.38 GPG
SofaScore defense: Home 1.88 conc vs Away 2.13 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%
15%
14%
Estrela
Draw
Casa Pia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.951.85+5.5%
Home Win1.771.41+25.2%
Draw3.616.76-46.6%
Away Win4.516.91-34.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Estrela

Starting 11
-Léo Linck
GK6.18
-Rafa Soares
DL6.67
-Stefan Lekovic
DC6.32
-Luan Patrick
DC6.52
-Max Scholze
DR6.65
-Santiago Serra
DMC6.56
-Eddy Doué
DMC6.77
-Beni Souza
AML6.34
-Lovro Zvonarek
AMC6.36
-Abraham Marcus
AMR7.38
-Leandro Antonetti
FW7.14

Casa Pia

Starting 11
-Ivan Mandic
GK6.33
-Pedro Rosas
DL6.61
-Khaly
DC6.30
-David Sousa
DC6.93
-André Geraldes
DR6.24
-Lawrence Ofori
DMC6.27
-Seba Pérez
DMC6.19
-João Pedro
AML6.42
-João Rego
AMC6.99
-Mohamed Salah
AMR6.24
-Henrique Araújo
FW5.99
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Estrela da Amadora snapped a run of back-to-back defeats by edging past Fazedense in the Taça de Portugal last weekend. The hosts went unbeaten through the first six rounds of the Liga Portugal season but must now bounce back in gameweek nine.

Casa Pia also enjoyed a narrow win during the league break last weekend, beating Alpendorada 1-0 on the road, despite a red card. In Liga Portugal, Saturday's visitors sit 17th in the standings with just four points accumulated from eight games.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 matches
EstrelavsCasa Pia
1.75Goals / Match0.38
1.88Conceded / Match2.13
0Clean Sheets1
4.13Shots on Target / Match2.63
51.1%Possession %43.9%
83.9%Pass Accuracy %78.1%

radarTeam Profile

Estrela
Casa Pia
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
55Attack6
shield
28Defense33
swap_horiz
56Possession36
gps_fixed
71Efficiency27
auto_fix_high
68Creativity17
gavel
50Discipline28

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

14Goals Scored3
15Goals Conceded17
0Clean Sheets1
20Big Chances10
12Big Chances Missed8
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

103Total Shots77
33Shots on Target21

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.1%Avg Possession43.9%
3,295Total Passes2,732
83.9%Pass Accuracy78.1%

shieldDefending

137Tackles132
53Interceptions76
23Saves24
51.6%Duels Won51.7%

gavelDiscipline

86Fouls97
19Yellow Cards17
0Red Cards2
8Offsides11

analyticsOther

34Corners32
58Successful Dribbles50
1Errors Leading to Goal4
7.16Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

EstrelaMetricCasa Pia
13
Goals
3
11
Assists
2
6.4
Average Ratings
6.2
23.2
Average Age
25.4
186.3
Average Height (cm)
184.2
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
52%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.5
Tackles pg
1.8

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Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app