Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
Estrela
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Famalicao
AwayEstrelaTimelineFamalicao
1st Half
Koutsias G. (De Amorim M.)
sports_soccer
2'
Scholze M.
29'
RobinhoOut: Pedro Vanga E.
sync_alt
32'
2nd Half
Souza B.Out: Stoica I.
sync_alt
46'
Robinho
53'
Antonetti L. (Souza B.)
sports_soccer
57'
Pena M.
66'
Santos P.Out: Pena M.
sync_alt
68'
Gil DiasOut: Beney R.
sync_alt
68'
Scholze M.
sports_soccer
69'
Aranda O.Out: Sorriso
sync_alt
75'
Meyer L.Out: Pedro Bondo
sync_alt
75'
Koutsias G.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
80'
Encada J.Out: Scholze M.
sync_alt
81'
Abubakar U.Out: Koutsias G.
sync_alt
82'
Joan JordanOut: Robinho
sync_alt
89'
Alisson SouzaOut: Antonetti L.
sync_alt
89'
Meyer L.
90'
Pepa
90+4'
Grilo D.
90+4'
Top stats
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.81
41%Ball possession59%
14Total shots14
4Shots on target4
1Big chances2
5Corner kicks5
81% (243/300)Passes85% (381/450)
3Yellow cards2
Shots
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.81
0.94xG on target (xGOT)2.15
14Total shots14
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box6
4Shots outside the box8
1Hit the woodwork0
Attack
1Big chances2
5Corner kicks5
17Touches in opposition box25
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides0
9Free kicks11
Passes
81% (243/300)Passes85% (381/450)
44% (14/32)Long passes34% (15/44)
53% (31/58)Passes in final third69% (86/124)
53% (8/15)Crosses8% (1/12)
0.61Expected assists (xA)0.63
20Throw ins17
Defense
11Fouls9
50% (12/24)Tackles61% (11/18)
50Duels won44
30Clearances22
9Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves2
2.15xGOT faced0.94
0.15Goals prevented-1.06
11Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.04
X3.05
22.44
Recommended Bet
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Home Win
Odds: 3.04Stake: High (10/10)
96
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.7 vs Away 6.6
Model Consensus: 2-1 (Home)
🏆 GREAT OPPORTUNITY (96)
donut_small Win Probabilities
58%
Estrela Win
23%
Draw
20%
Famalicao Win
Estrela
Draw
Famalicao
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 3.04 | 1.74 | 3.24 | +74.8% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 4.38 | 3.25 | -30.4% |
| Away Win | 2.44 | 5.08 | 2.60 | -52.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Estrela Amadora responded well after going behind against Nacional last time out, taking the lead on two occasions in a 3-2 away win in Madeira. The hosts are unbeaten in their three Liga Portugal outings this season heading into Saturday's clash.
Famalicão have inspired much less confidence than their hosts. Carlos Carvalhal's men played out a goalless draw with Gil Vicente last time out, making it four games without a victory. The visitors are 14th in the standings despite their winless start.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Estrela
Starting 11
-Léo Linck
GK6.45
-Rafa Soares
DL6.71
-Stefan Lekovic
DC6.46
-Luan Patrick
DC6.45
-Max Scholze
DR6.60
-Robinho
DMC6.31
-Eddy Doué
DMC7.11
-Ianis Stoica
AML6.66
-Lovro Zvonarek
AMC6.32
-Abraham Marcus
AMR7.52
-Leandro Antonetti
FW7.47
Famalicao
Starting 11
-Lazar Carevic
GK6.09
-Leny Meyer
DL6.60
-Finn van Breemen
DC7.12
-Léo Realpe
DC6.64
-Rodrigo Pinheiro
DR6.76
-Mathias de Amorim
DMC6.84
-Marcos Peña
DMC6.93
-Sorriso
AML6.83
-Óscar Aranda
AMC6.38
-Gil Dias
AMR6.19
-Georgios Koutsias
FW6.34
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 / 4 matchesEstrelavsFamalicao
2.33Goals / Match0.50
2.00Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets1
4.67Shots on Target / Match2.75
48.7%Possession %60.3%
82.1%Pass Accuracy %86.5%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
7Goals Scored2
6Goals Conceded4
0Clean Sheets1
10Big Chances6
6Big Chances Missed5
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
33Total Shots36
14Shots on Target11
swap_horizPassing & Possession
48.7%Avg Possession60.3%
1,134Total Passes2,122
82.1%Pass Accuracy86.5%
shieldDefending
52Tackles68
22Interceptions40
11Saves6
46.4%Duels Won54.5%
gavelDiscipline
34Fouls50
7Yellow Cards8
3Offsides4
analyticsOther
8Corners26
19Successful Dribbles46
0Errors Leading to Goal4
7.21Avg Rating7.09
Statistical Comparison
EstrelaMetricFamalicao
6
Goals
2
5
Assists
2
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
23.6
Average Age
23.9
184.8
Average Height (cm)
183.2
1
Shots pg
0.8
47%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
1
Dribbles pg
1
1.5
Tackles pg
1.6
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