Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction & Tips | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | FootballTips.app
Ethiopia
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Tuesday 29 September
Senegal
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
17.21
X4.49
21.33
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.40 conc vs Away 2.17 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
24%
21%
Ethiopia
Draw
Senegal
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.74 | 1.90 | 1.91 | -8.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.10 | -9.3% |
| Ethiopia Win | 9.60 | 1.82 | 10.11 | +427.4% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 4.24 | 5.06 | +13.2% |
| Senegal Win | 1.35 | 4.65 | 1.42 | -71.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.10 | 1.84 | 2.21 | +14.4% |
| BTTS - No | 1.74 | 2.20 | 1.83 | -20.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 / 1 matchesEthiopiavsSenegal
0.50Goals / Match1.00
2.00Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets0
2.83Shots on Target / Match5.00
52.2%Possession %66.0%
82.9%Pass Accuracy %89.4%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
3Goals Scored1
12Goals Conceded1
1Clean Sheets0
11Big Chances3
9Big Chances Missed2
gps_fixedShooting
63Total Shots14
17Shots on Target5
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.2%Avg Possession66.0%
2,992Total Passes511
82.9%Pass Accuracy89.4%
shieldDefending
117Tackles15
49Interceptions4
15Saves1
48.0%Duels Won44.0%
gavelDiscipline
84Fouls25
10Yellow Cards2
16Offsides2
analyticsOther
13Corners10
51Successful Dribbles6
6.70Avg Rating6.68
history Recent Form
EthiopiaL
D
W
W
W
SenegalD
L
W
L
L
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.60
Form (Overall)
1.40
Ethiopia is +14% better in terms of Points Per Game
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1 - 1
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3 - 2
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3 - 1
Senegal
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