Everton vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Everton

Everton

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 3 March
Burnley

Burnley

Away
EvertonTimelineBurnley
1st Half
Tarkowski J.Assist: Garner J.
sports_soccer
32'
2nd Half
Tchaouna L.Out: Worrall J.
sync_alt
57'
Ward-Prowse J.Out: Florentino
sync_alt
57'
Dewsbury-Hall K. (Ndiaye I.)
sports_soccer
60'
Humphreys B.
64'
Laurent J.Out: Mejbri H.
sync_alt
72'
Barry T.Out: Beto
sync_alt
83'
Keane M.Out: Branthwaite J.
sync_alt
83'
Barnes A.Out: Ugochukwu L.
sync_alt
83'
George T.Out: McNeil D.
sync_alt
87'
Iroegbunam T.Out: Gueye I.
sync_alt
87'
Dibling T.Out: Ndiaye I.
sync_alt
90+3'

Top stats

1.10Expected goals (xG)0.79
55%Ball possession45%
14Total shots5
5Shots on target2
2Big chances1
6Corner kicks3
87% (505/578)Passes86% (403/470)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.10Expected goals (xG)0.79
1.56xG on target (xGOT)0.54
14Total shots5
5Shots on target2
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box3
5Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances1
6Corner kicks3
23Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
12Free kicks10

Passes

87% (505/578)Passes86% (403/470)
51% (26/51)Long passes46% (23/50)
79% (158/199)Passes in final third66% (73/111)
16% (3/19)Crosses14% (1/7)
0.58Expected assists (xA)0.14
22Throw ins22

Defense

10Fouls12
74% (14/19)Tackles63% (10/16)
49Duels won37
23Clearances30
8Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves3
0.54xGOT faced1.56
0.54Goals prevented-0.44
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.61
X4.12
25.93

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #19
Season: Home 1.43 PPG vs Away 0.68 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.14 GPG vs Away 1.21 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

83%
8%
8%
Everton
Draw
Burnley

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Everton

Starting 11
-Jordan Pickford
GK6.63
-Vitalii Mykolenko
DL6.70
-Jarrad Branthwaite
DC6.80
-James Tarkowski
DC7.12
-Jake O'Brien
DR6.71
-Idrissa Gueye
DMC6.56
-James Garner
DMC7.18
-Iliman Ndiaye
AML7.07
-Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
AMC6.95
-Dwight McNeil
AMR6.38
-Thierno Barry
FW6.47

Burnley

Starting 11
-Martin Dúbravka
GK6.78
-Joe Worrall
DC6.40
-Maxime Estève
DC6.53
-Bashir Humphreys
DC6.65
-Lucas Pires
DML6.57
-James Ward-Prowse
MC6.60
-Hannibal Mejbri
MC6.31
-Josh Laurent
DMR6.31
-Jaidon Anthony
AMC6.60
-Jacob Bruun Larsen
AMC6.22
-Zian Flemming
FW6.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Everton will host Burnley at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on March 3, 2026.

Everton sits in 8th place, while Burnley is struggling in 19th position, with Everton holding 40 points compared to Burnley's 19.

In their recent performances, Everton has suffered 4 losses in their last 6 home matches in the Premier League, while Burnley has faced losses in 64 percent of their away games this season.

When looking at their head-to-head history, Everton has emerged victorious in 50 percent of their last 6 Premier League encounters with Burnley.

Given the teams' tendencies for conceding goals and the prediction for Over 2.5 goals, this matchup is expected to see an entertaining display of attacking football.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Everton will be hoping to use their momentum on the road to finally end their home nightmares having not won here since early-December.

The Toffees have collected just two points from their last six games in front of their own fans but they won't have many better chances to get a win on the board than here.

Burnley were extremely unfortunate to get nothing from their home match against Brentford on Saturday, losing to a last-gasp goal despite battling back from 3-0 down and having two goals ruled out by VAR.

The Clarets are still eight points from safety and have lost eight of their last 10 trips to Everton.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
EvertonvsBurnley
1.14Goals / Match1.14
1.18Conceded / Match2.00
9Clean Sheets3
3.36Shots on Target / Match2.96
43.7%Possession %41.1%
79.4%Pass Accuracy %78.2%

radarTeam Profile

Everton
Burnley
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
29Attack21
shield
59Defense35
swap_horiz
40Possession31
gps_fixed
57Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
29Creativity18
gavel
46Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

32Goals Scored32
33Goals Conceded56
9Clean Sheets3
50Big Chances39
31Big Chances Missed20
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

307Total Shots258
94Shots on Target83

swap_horizPassing & Possession

43.7%Avg Possession41.1%
10,643Total Passes10,497
79.4%Pass Accuracy78.2%

shieldDefending

510Tackles473
231Interceptions253
76Saves103
52.7%Duels Won47.2%

gavelDiscipline

297Fouls278
54Yellow Cards48
4Red Cards2
37Offsides46

analyticsOther

123Corners97
182Successful Dribbles140
5Errors Leading to Goal8
6.85Avg Rating6.65

Statistical Comparison

EvertonMetricBurnley
30
Goals
29
23
Assists
22
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
27.1
Average Age
27.2
185.3
Average Height (cm)
185.3
0.8
Shots pg
0.6
55%
Aerial Duel Success
45%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
0.9

League Standings Context

For Everton

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Brentford281341143
8Everton281171040
9Fulham281241240

For Burnley

PosTeamPWDLPts
18West Ham28671525
19Burnley28471719
20Wolverhampton29272013

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.2/ 98.8
Dangerous Attacks
40.6/ 87.5
30.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
11.4
Total Shots
10.1
45.0%
Possession
43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Everton Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Burnley Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketEvertonBurnley
Over 1.5 Goals
74%23/31
94%29/31
Over 2.5 Goals
32%10/31
61%19/31
Both Teams to Score
45%14/31
68%21/31
* Based on last 31 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Everton

EPL
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Everton
1 - 2
Bournemouth
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
FA
Everton
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Wolverhampton
EPL
Everton
2 - 4
Brentford

Home Games: Everton

EPL
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Everton
1 - 2
Bournemouth
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
FA
Everton
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Wolverhampton
EPL
Everton
2 - 4
Brentford

Last 6: Burnley

EPL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
EPL
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Brighton
2 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley

Away Games: Burnley

EPL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
EPL
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley
EPL
Brighton
2 - 0
Burnley
EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Burnley

history Recent Form

EvertonEverton
1.4 GPG
W
L
L
W
D
BurnleyBurnley
0.7 GPG
L
D
W
L
L

group Head to Head

PL27 Dec 2025
Burnley
0-0
Everton
PL6 Apr 2024
Everton
1-0
Burnley
PL16 Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Everton
PL1 Nov 2023
Everton
3-0
Burnley
PL6 Apr 2022
Burnley
3-2
Everton
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
65%
13 / 20 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
9 / 20 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
5 / 20 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
9 / 20 matches
Everton CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Burnley CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Dec 2025
Burnley
0 - 0
Everton
6 Apr 2024
Everton
1 - 0
Burnley
16 Dec 2023
Burnley
0 - 2
Everton
1 Nov 2023
Everton
3 - 0
Burnley
6 Apr 2022
Burnley
3 - 2
Everton
13 Sept 2021
Everton
3 - 1
Burnley
13 Mar 2021
Everton
1 - 2
Burnley
5 Dec 2020
Burnley
1 - 1
Everton
26 Dec 2019
Everton
1 - 0
Burnley
5 Oct 2019
Burnley
1 - 0
Everton
3 May 2019
Everton
2 - 0
Burnley
26 Dec 2018
Burnley
1 - 5
Everton

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Everton
1.43
Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.68

Everton is +110% better in terms of Points Per Game

Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
Everton
0 - 1
Manchester United
Everton
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham
1 - 2
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Everton
Burnley
3 - 4
Brentford
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Burnley
Burnley
0 - 2
West Ham United
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley

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