Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Excelsior will host AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie fixture at Stadion Woudestein on February 14, 2026 GMT.

Positioned 10th in the standings, Excelsior trails behind 7th-placed AZ Alkmaar with Excelsior accumulating 26 points and AZ Alkmaar on 33 points.

Excelsior has been involved in 4 draws in their recent 6 matches across all leagues, showcasing their resilience.

On the contrary, AZ Alkmaar has struggled on their travels, suffering 4 defeats in their last 6 away matches in the Eredivisie.

In their historical head-to-head battles, Excelsior has faced defeat in 3 out of the last 6 encounters against AZ Alkmaar.

With both teams aiming to secure points, a closely contested match is expected between these sides.

The algorithm predicts that Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar will share the spoils with a probability of 37%.

Momentum rather than position shapes Saturday evening in Rotterdam. Excelsior Rotterdam arrive unbeaten in five league matches and quietly climbing into the Eredivisie’s upper mid-table, while AZ Alkmaar continue to oscillate between European contention and frustrating inconsistency.

Excelsior’s recent run has been built on resilience rather than dominance. Four consecutive draws were followed by a crucial 2–0 away win at NAC Breda, a result that lifted them to 10th on 26 points. They are difficult to break down, especially at Woudestein, but remain the league’s lowest scorers at home, averaging just one goal per game. Ruben den Uil’s side have compensated with organisation, game management, and a willingness to absorb pressure.

AZ’s trajectory is less settled. Seventh with 33 points, they remain within touching distance of the European places but have won just once in their last five league matches. A 1–1 draw at home against Ajax last time out typified their season: control in spells, attacking threat throughout, but lapses that prevent them turning performances into victories. Away from home, AZ have lost four of their last five league matches, an alarming trend given their ambitions.

Recent meetings favour the visitors. AZ are unbeaten in the last six league encounters with Excelsior and have scored in 21 of their last 22 Eredivisie matches overall. Yet with Excelsior unbeaten in five and increasingly comfortable playing without the ball, this sets up as a clash between AZ’s attacking volume and Excelsior’s defensive patience.