Excelsior vs Heerenveen Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Excelsior

Excelsior

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 7 March
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Away
ExcelsiorTimelineHeerenveen
1st Half
Brouwers L. (Nordas L.)
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Vente D.Out: Nordas L.
sync_alt
65'
van Overeem J. ()
sports_soccer
67'
Jonathans M.Out: Janssen S.
sync_alt
72'
Bergraaf J.Out: Hartjes L.
sync_alt
72'
Naujoks N.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
74'
Petrov H.Out: Zagaritis V.
sync_alt
75'
Petrov H.
78'
van Duinen M.Out: Jonathans M.
sync_alt
81'
Hopland N.Out: Trenskow J.
sync_alt
86'
Naujoks N.
89'
Wlodarczyk S.Out: Yegoian I.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

2.67Expected goals (xG)1.70
51%Ball possession49%
21Total shots10
5Shots on target5
6Big chances3
6Corner kicks8
74% (297/401)Passes76% (298/394)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

2.67Expected goals (xG)1.70
1.60xG on target (xGOT)2.15
21Total shots10
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target3
11Blocked shots2
18Shots inside the box7
3Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

6Big chances3
6Corner kicks8
48Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides1
7Free kicks4

Passes

74% (297/401)Passes76% (298/394)
52% (34/66)Long passes36% (23/64)
59% (76/129)Passes in final third58% (57/98)
27% (7/26)Crosses0% (0/9)
1.67Expected assists (xA)1.34
30Throw ins16

Defense

4Fouls7
50% (10/20)Tackles46% (6/13)
60Duels won39
17Clearances49
8Interceptions14
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
2.15xGOT faced1.60
0.15Goals prevented0.60
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.87
X3.73
22.33

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.6 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 1-2 (Away)
More Goals: Away 40 vs 26

donut_small Win Probabilities

6%
6%
88%
Excelsior
Draw
Heerenveen

Match Preview

Excelsior will face Heerenveen at Stadion Woudestein in an Eredivisie clash on March 7, 2026 GMT.

Positioned 15th in the standings, Excelsior will take on 9th-placed Heerenveen with a points tally of 26 and 34 respectively.

Both teams come into the match with a 50% loss rate in their recent home and away fixtures in the Eredivisie.

In their head-to-head history, Excelsior has suffered 3 losses in the last 6 matches against Heerenveen.

The encounter between Excelsior and Heerenveen is anticipated to be a closely contested battle as both teams aim to secure essential points in the league.

Our algorithm predicts a narrow 1-2 victory for Heerenveen in this matchup.

Excelsior welcome Heerenveen to Stadion Woudestein with both teams aiming to steady inconsistent runs as the Eredivisie season enters its final stretch. The hosts sit 15th with 26 points from 25 matches (7W, 5D, 13L), while Heerenveen occupy ninth place on 34 points (9W, 7D, 9L).

Historically, Heerenveen have the edge in this fixture with 14 wins compared to Excelsior’s eight, alongside three draws. Recent meetings have also favoured the visitors, who have avoided defeat in the majority of their last encounters in Rotterdam.

Excelsior arrive in difficult form, having lost their last three matches and winning only once in their previous six outings. They have scored six goals in their last five games but continue to struggle defensively, conceding 42 goals this season, one of the weaker records in the league.

At home, the picture is similarly concerning. Excelsior are winless in their last three matches at Woudestein and have failed to keep a clean sheet in most recent home fixtures, highlighting persistent defensive fragility.

Heerenveen’s recent form has been more productive, with three wins from their last five matches and ten goals scored during that span. Their matches tend to be open, reflected in their season totals of 42 goals scored and 43 conceded.

Despite two losses in their last three away matches, Heerenveen have still managed to score consistently on the road and average nearly five shots on target per match in recent fixtures.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Excelsior

Starting 11
-Stijn van Gassel
GK6.85
-Lewis Schouten
DC6.41
-Casper Widell
DC6.68
-Rick Meissen
DC6.59
-Simon Janssen
DML6.35
-Irakli Yegoian
MC6.94
-Lennard Hartjes
MC6.49
-Ilias Bronkhorst
DMR6.69
-Derensili Sanches Fernandes
AMC6.59
-Gyan de Regt
AMC6.64
-Noah Naujoks
FW6.71

Heerenveen

Starting 11
-Bernt Klaverboer
GK6.40
-Vasilios Zagaritis
DL6.94
-Hristiyan Petrov
DC6.20
-Maas Willemsen
DC6.68
-Oliver Braude
DR6.63
-Luuk Brouwers
MC6.70
-Ringo Meerveld
MC7.05
-Joris van Overeem
MC6.74
-Maxence Rivera
FWL6.71
-Lasse Nordås
FW6.99
-Jacob Trenskow
FWR7.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 matches
ExcelsiorvsHeerenveen

radarTeam Profile

Excelsior
Heerenveen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
30Attack60
shield
42Defense31
swap_horiz
42Possession56
gps_fixed
53Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
26Creativity53
gavel
47Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

26Goals Scored42
42Goals Conceded43
5Clean Sheets2
54Big Chances63
39Big Chances Missed35
2Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

291Total Shots391
101Shots on Target132

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.1%Avg Possession50.8%
9,990Total Passes10,969
78.1%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

349Tackles379
232Interceptions192
101Saves82
47.0%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

319Fouls277
36Yellow Cards40
3Red Cards2
23Offsides31

analyticsOther

105Corners135
176Successful Dribbles220
3Errors Leading to Goal7
6.75Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

ExcelsiorMetricHeerenveen
26
Goals
40
16
Assists
30
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
23.8
Average Age
24
181.6
Average Height (cm)
180.8
0.7
Shots pg
1.2
51%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.7
1
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Excelsior

PosTeamPWDLPts
14Volendam25761227
15Excelsior25751326
16NAC Breda25571322

For Heerenveen

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Utrecht2698935
9Heerenveen2597934
10Fortuna Sittard25951132

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.4/ 101.8
Dangerous Attacks
49.9/ 100.5
34.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
12.0
Total Shots
15.3
47.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Excelsior Wins
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Heerenveen Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketExcelsiorHeerenveen
Over 1.5 Goals
73%19/26
108%28/26
Over 2.5 Goals
58%15/26
85%22/26
Both Teams to Score
58%15/26
81%21/26
* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Excelsior

Nl1
Excelsior
0 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
Nl1
Excelsior
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
SC Telstar
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Excelsior
0 - 2
Groningen

Home Games: Excelsior

Nl1
Excelsior
0 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
Nl1
Excelsior
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
SC Telstar
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 1
PEC Zwolle
Nl1
Excelsior
0 - 2
Groningen

Last 6: Heerenveen

Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
3 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 3
Heerenveen
Nl1
Twente
5 - 0
Heerenveen
NlC
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
Heracles
0 - 3
Heerenveen
NlC
Feyenoord
2 - 3
Heerenveen

Away Games: Heerenveen

Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
3 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 3
Heerenveen
Nl1
Twente
5 - 0
Heerenveen
NlC
PSV Eindhoven
4 - 1
Heerenveen
Nl1
Heracles
0 - 3
Heerenveen
NlC
Feyenoord
2 - 3
Heerenveen

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