Falkirk vs Hibernian Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Championship Group | FootballTips.app

Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Full Time
1 - 3
HT: 0 - 3
Saturday 9 May
Hibernian

Hibernian

Away
FalkirkTimelineHibernian
1st Half
Campbell J. (Obita J.)
sports_soccer
3'
Campbell J.Assist: Boyle M.
sports_soccer
20'
Henderson L.Out: McCann L.
sync_alt
37'
Obita J. (Passlack F.)
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
Parkinson B.Out: Wilson K.
sync_alt
59'
Broggio B.Out: Yeats F.
sync_alt
60'
Campbell J.
61'
Newell J.Out: Campbell J.
sync_alt
63'
Ross E.Out: Lissah F.
sync_alt
70'
Cartwright H.Out: Tait D.
sync_alt
70'
Broggio B. (Spencer B.)
sports_soccer
73'
Andrews K.Out: Chaiwa M.
sync_alt
75'
Suto A.Out: Boyle M.
sync_alt
75'
Cadden Ch.Out: Elding O.
sync_alt
90+3'

Top stats

0.48Expected goals (xG)1.07
68%Ball possession32%
8Total shots10
1Shots on target4
0Big chances3
6Corner kicks5
81% (399/495)Passes56% (132/234)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

0.48Expected goals (xG)1.07
0.47xG on target (xGOT)1.67
8Total shots10
1Shots on target4
4Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box6
3Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals2

Attack

0Big chances3
6Corner kicks5
19Touches in opposition box14
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
13Free kicks10

Passes

81% (399/495)Passes56% (132/234)
52% (43/82)Long passes36% (30/84)
66% (102/155)Passes in final third41% (33/81)
3% (1/38)Crosses36% (5/14)
0.69Expected assists (xA)0.84
23Throw ins19

Defense

10Fouls13
67% (6/9)Tackles50% (5/10)
42Duels won42
24Clearances37
7Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves0
1.67xGOT faced0.47
-1.33Goals prevented-0.53
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.25
X3.55
22.94

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.46 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 1.24 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.44 conc vs Away 1.35 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
43%
25%
Falkirk
Draw
Hibernian

Match Preview

Sixth hosts fifth, with just two points separating Falkirk and Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership standings and just three games to play in the remainder of the 2025/26 campaign.

Falkirk's incredible recent record over Motherwell continued as, alongside being the only team to win at Fir Park in the league this season and on both visits, they clinched a third win against the Well in the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership last weekend. The Bairns haven't lost to the Steelmen in the top flight since a 1-0 defeat in October 2009, now unbeaten in six league meetings since.

Hibernian's ill-discipline continues to cost them - as the Hibees have lost three successive Scottish Premiership matches for the first time since October 2024 - with four players having been shown a red card in successive defeats to Aberdeen, Hearts and Celtic. Hibs could move five points clear of Falkirk with a victory, therefore keeping their chances of European football next season alive.

Hibs hammered Falkirk at Easter Road in December, before the Bairns battered the Hibees at home in January, but the first league meeting of the season in September was an enthralling 2-2 draw here and a repeat scenario on Saturday wouldn't be particularly surprising.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Nicky Hogarth
GK
-Leon McCann
DL
-Connor Allan
DC
-Lewis Neilson
DC
-Filip Lissah
DR
-Brad Spencer
DMC
-Dylan Tait
DMC
-Calvin Miller
AML
-Finn Yeats
AMC
-Ben Broggio
AMR
-Barney Stewart
FW

Hibernian

Starting 11
-Raphael Sallinger
GK
-Jack Iredale
DC
-Rocky Bushiri
DC
-Warren O'Hora
DC
-Nicky Cadden
ML
-Joe Newell
MC
-Miguel Chaiwa
MC
-Felix Passlack
MR
-Josh Campbell
AMC
-Owen Elding
FW
-Martin Boyle
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 35 matches
FalkirkvsHibernian

radarTeam Profile

Falkirk
Hibernian
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
39Attack44
shield
55Defense48
swap_horiz
41Possession46
gps_fixed
61Efficiency75
auto_fix_high
31Creativity37
gavel
46Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

47Goals Scored53
51Goals Conceded41
9Clean Sheets11
78Big Chances76
48Big Chances Missed42
3Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

428Total Shots427
138Shots on Target159

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.6%Avg Possession47.7%
14,056Total Passes14,070
77.2%Pass Accuracy80.4%

shieldDefending

651Tackles427
326Interceptions297
110Saves98
49.6%Duels Won50.5%

gavelDiscipline

421Fouls369
77Yellow Cards68
1Red Cards5
71Offsides59

analyticsOther

164Corners172
209Successful Dribbles232
9Errors Leading to Goal4
6.78Avg Rating6.86

Statistical Comparison

FalkirkMetricHibernian
2
Goals
2
23.5
Average Age
27.5
179.7
Average Height (cm)
181.5

history Recent Form

FalkirkFalkirk
1.4 GPG
W
L
L
W
L
HibernianHibernian
1.5 GPG
L
L
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL24 Jan 2026
Falkirk
4-1
Hibernian
PL6 Dec 2025
Hibernian
3-0
Falkirk
PL23 Sept 2025
Falkirk
2-2
Hibernian
PL12 Jul 2022
Falkirk
1-0
Hibernian
PL25 Mar 2017
Hibernian
2-1
Falkirk
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
12 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
9 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
10 / 16 matches
Falkirk CS
19%
Clean Sheets
Hibernian CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 Jan 2026
Falkirk
4 - 1
Hibernian
6 Dec 2025
Hibernian
3 - 0
Falkirk
23 Sept 2025
Falkirk
2 - 2
Hibernian
12 Jul 2022
Falkirk
1 - 0
Hibernian
25 Mar 2017
Hibernian
2 - 1
Falkirk
31 Dec 2016
Falkirk
1 - 2
Hibernian
12 Nov 2016
Hibernian
1 - 1
Falkirk
6 Aug 2016
Falkirk
1 - 2
Hibernian
12 Apr 2016
Hibernian
2 - 2
Falkirk
17 Jan 2016
Falkirk
1 - 1
Hibernian
12 Dec 2015
Hibernian
1 - 1
Falkirk
20 Oct 2015
Falkirk
0 - 1
Hibernian

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Falkirk
1.40
Form (Overall)
Hibernian
1.46

Hibernian is +4% better in terms of Points Per Game

Falkirk
1 - 0
Motherwell
Celtic
3 - 1
Falkirk
Falkirk
3 - 6
Rangers
Motherwell
2 - 3
Falkirk
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
Hibernian
1 - 2
Celtic
Hibernian
1 - 2
Hearts
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hibernian
Hibernian
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0 - 0
Hibernian

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