Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership

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Falkirk

Home

Full Time

5 - 1

HT: 3 - 1

Saturday 28 February

Kilmarnock

Away

FalkirkTimelineKilmarnock

1st Half

Schilte-Brown E.

sports_soccer

Tait D. ()

sports_soccer

28'

Spencer B.

31'

Stewart B. (Donaldson C.)

sports_soccer

36'

Kiltie G.

sports_soccer

40'

Kiltie G.

43'

Donaldson C.

44'

2nd Half

Stewart B. (Miller C.)

sports_soccer

51'

Deas R.

53'

Tait D.

sports_soccer

56'

Polworth L.Out: Anderson B.

sync_alt

58'

Watkins M.Out: Curtis F.

sync_alt

58'

Cartwright H.Out: Spencer B.

sync_alt

58'

McCann L.

61'

Brandon J.Out: Schjonning-Larsen M.

sync_alt

64'

Neilson L.Out: Donaldson C.

sync_alt

75'

Ross E.Out: Broggio B.

sync_alt

75'

Williams E.Out: Miller C.

sync_alt

76'

Clescenco N.Out: Hugill J.

sync_alt

78'

Tshibola A.Out: Thompson D.

sync_alt

78'

Graham B.Out: Stewart B.

sync_alt

80'

Top stats

3.22Expected goals (xG)0.39

50%Ball possession50%

20Total shots7

10Shots on target3

3Big chances0

3Corner kicks2

81% (341/419)Passes79% (336/424)

3Yellow cards2

Shots

3.22Expected goals (xG)0.39

4.57xG on target (xGOT)0.96

20Total shots7

10Shots on target3

8Shots off target1

2Blocked shots3

15Shots inside the box2

5Shots outside the box4

3Hit the woodwork0

1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0

3Corner kicks2

31Touches in opposition box11

0Accurate through passes0

2Offsides3

15Free kicks9

Passes

81% (341/419)Passes79% (336/424)

67% (53/79)Long passes57% (41/72)

72% (84/116)Passes in final third63% (64/102)

24% (4/17)Crosses18% (2/11)

1.60Expected assists (xA)0.30

15Throw ins21

Defense

9Fouls15

79% (11/14)Tackles72% (13/18)

53Duels won46

18Clearances17

11Interceptions9

1Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6

0.96xGOT faced4.57

-0.04Goals prevented0.57

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.69

X3.86

24.71

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #11

Season: Home 1.39 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.43 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%

17%

12%

Falkirk

Draw

Kilmarnock

Match Preview

On February 28th, 2026, Falkirk FC will take on Kilmarnock at the Falkirk Stadium in a Scottish Premiership fixture.

Positioned 6th in the league standings, Falkirk FC will face 11th-placed Kilmarnock as both teams aim to secure a positive result.

Falkirk FC has accrued 39 points this season, showcasing a 50 percent win rate in their last 6 Premiership matches.

On the other hand, Kilmarnock has accumulated 21 points, with a 50 percent draw rate in their recent 6 away games.

In their previous encounters, Falkirk FC has emerged victorious in 3 out of their last 6 head-to-head matches against Kilmarnock in the Premiership.

As Falkirk FC and Kilmarnock prepare to battle it out on the pitch, our algorithm predicts a 2-1 win in favor of Falkirk FC in this upcoming clash.

Falkirk and Kilmarnock meet for the third, and possibly final, time of the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership campaign as the Bairns look to clinch a top six spot and Killie aim to steer towards survival.

Falkirk are now winless in eight top-flight league meetings with Hearts (D2 L6), since a 2-1 victory back in September 2008, and have now lost their last five in a row against the Jambos following their sole goal defeat at Tynecastle last weekend. The Bairns beat Killie 3-1 at home back in November, and were victorious 1-0 in Ayrshire in December, so are aiming for a third win against Kilmarnock on the spin.

Kilmarnock are unbeaten in eight Scottish Premiership meetings with Dundee United (D4 L4) since a 4-0 defeat at Tannadice in November 2022, but left it late to escape with a potentially pivotal point last weekend. Considering Killie had conceded three goals in each of their previous three league games, a point on the road wasn't too bad a result but they are in desperate need of wins to escape eleventh place.

Both teams have alternated between winning and losing in recent weeks, but a potential share of the spoils would do neither any favours in their different quests this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Falkirk

Starting 11

-Scott Bain

GK6.68

-Leon McCann

DL6.77

-Liam Henderson

DC6.93

-Lewis Neilson

DC6.45

-Filip Lissah

DR7.17

-Dylan Tait

DMC6.43

-Brad Spencer

DMC6.85

-Calvin Miller

AML6.78

-Ben Broggio

AMC6.78

-Kyrell Wilson

AMR6.57

-Barney Stewart

FW7.06

Kilmarnock

Starting 11

-Kelle Roos

GK6.94

-Dominic Thompson

DL6.63

-Robbie Deas

DC6.71

-Ethan Brown

DC6.66

-Michael Schjønning-Larsen

DR6.49

-David Watson

MC6.58

-Aaron Tshibola

MC6.05

-Brad Lyons

MC6.62

-Greg Kiltie

FWL6.61

-Joe Hugill

FW6.37

-Findlay Curtis

FWR6.98

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches

FalkirkvsKilmarnock

radarTeam Profile

Falkirk

Kilmarnock

sports_soccer

32Attack28

shield

59Defense36

swap_horiz

41Possession19

gps_fixed

53Efficiency60

auto_fix_high

26Creativity16

gavel

46Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

32Goals Scored31

36Goals Conceded55

8Clean Sheets5

55Big Chances53

35Big Chances Missed33

1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

342Total Shots310

107Shots on Target107

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.8%Avg Possession40.8%

11,255Total Passes9,169

77.2%Pass Accuracy72.3%

shieldDefending

527Tackles428

250Interceptions235

89Saves105

49.6%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

337Fouls357

60Yellow Cards63

1Red Cards5

57Offsides50

analyticsOther

131Corners124

168Successful Dribbles130

4Errors Leading to Goal4

6.79Avg Rating6.73

Statistical Comparison

FalkirkMetricKilmarnock

Goals

Assists

6.5

Average Ratings

6.5

24.8

Average Age

25.4

180.4

Average Height (cm)

184.9

0.9

Shots pg

0.8

48%

Aerial Duel Success

50%

0.6

Dribbles pg

0.4

1.3

Tackles pg

1.2

League Standings Context

For Falkirk

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
5	Hibernian	28	12	9	7	45
6	Falkirk FC	28	11	6	11	39
7	Dundee United	27	6	12	9	30

For Kilmarnock

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
10	St Mirren	27	5	8	14	23
11	Kilmarnock	28	4	9	15	21
12	Livingston	28	1	10	17	13

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

52.2/ 88.2

Dangerous Attacks

44.3/ 83.9

35.0%

Shots on Target

37.0%

12.3

Total Shots

10.3

51.0%

Possession

42.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

Goals Conceded / Match

1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

Falkirk Wins

67%

Draws

Kilmarnock Wins

33%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Falkirk	Kilmarnock
Over 1.5 Goals	69%24/35	83%29/35
Over 2.5 Goals	51%18/35	63%22/35
Both Teams to Score	43%15/35	57%20/35

* Based on last 35 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Falkirk

Home Games: Falkirk

Last 6: Kilmarnock

Away Games: Kilmarnock

history Recent Form

Falkirk

1.4 GPG

Kilmarnock

0.8 GPG

group Head to Head

PL20 Dec 2025

0-1

PL1 Nov 2025

3-1

PL24 Jun 2022

1-4

PL4 Sept 2021

3-1

PL6 Oct 2020

3-0

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

80%

4 / 5 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

4 / 5 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

60%

3 / 5 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

3 / 5 matches

Falkirk CS

40%

Clean Sheets

Kilmarnock CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

20 Dec 2025

Kilmarnock

0 - 1

Falkirk

1 Nov 2025

Falkirk

3 - 1

Kilmarnock

24 Jun 2022

Falkirk

1 - 4

Kilmarnock

4 Sept 2021

Kilmarnock

3 - 1

Falkirk

6 Oct 2020

Falkirk

3 - 0

Kilmarnock

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.39

Form (Overall)

0.75

Falkirk is +85% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hearts

1 - 0

Falkirk

2 - 3

Dundee United

Falkirk

1 - 0

Dundee

Livingston

1 - 2

Falkirk

Celtic

2 - 0

Falkirk

Dundee United

1 - 1

Kilmarnock

2 - 3

Celtic

Kilmarnock

4 - 3

St. Mirren

Rangers

5 - 1

Kilmarnock

3 - 0

Aberdeen