Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Full Time
3:0
Saturday 24 October
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
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AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.85
X3.85
23.79

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.89 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.75 conc vs Away 1.75 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

49%
26%
25%
Falkirk
Draw
Kilmarnock
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.611.72-6.2%
Under 2.5 Goals2.202.39-8.1%
Falkirk Win1.832.04-10.1%
Draw3.753.90-3.8%
Kilmarnock Win3.753.97-5.5%
BTTS - Yes1.561.73-9.8%
BTTS - No2.282.37-3.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Scott Bain
GK6.87
-Scott Tanser
DL6.16
-Liam Henderson
DC6.81
-Lewis Neilson
DC6.80
-Ryan Strain
DR7.08
-Brad Spencer
DMC6.76
-Finley Barbrook
DMC6.59
-Owen Eames
AML6.99
-Ben Krauhaus
AMC6.75
-Ethan Ross
AMR6.77
-Jacob Murrell
FW6.89

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Calum Ferrie
GK6.45
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL6.48
-George Stanger
DC6.76
-Cathal McCarthy
DC6.71
-MJ Kamson-Kamara
DR6.47
-Tom Lowery
DMC6.52
-Bailey Rice
DMC6.19
-Greg Kiltie
AML6.79
-Tyreece John-Jules
AMC6.67
-Erik Ring
AMR6.59
-Joe Hugill
FW6.42
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Both Falkirk and Kilmarnock returned to winning ways in the Scottish Premiership last weekend, with the two teams separated by just a point ahead of their meeting in Falkirk this weekend.

The Bairns beat Hibernian at Easter Road in the top flight of Scottish football for the first time in over 20 years, as they were previously winless in six top tier trips to Leith (D2 L4), since a sole goal success back in September 2006. Previously the only side without an away win in the league so far this season, that monkey is well and truly off Falkirk's back heading into Saturday's game.

Kilmarnock previously had the joint-fewest points (1), scored the joint-fewest goals (2) and most goals conceded (11) at home of any Scottish Premiership side this season before winning a five-goal thriller against Motherwell in Ayrshire last weekend. The goals against column is still proving an achilles heel for Killie but having now shifted off bottom, they'll hope that the only way is up.

Falkirk won all three league meetings against Kilmarnock last season, so the Bairns will hope to keep their strong recent record against Killie intact on Saturday afternoon.

Statistical Comparison

FalkirkMetricKilmarnock
7
Goals
8
5
Assists
5
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
26.1
Average Age
24.4
181.9
Average Height (cm)
182.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
44%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

FalkirkFalkirk
1.0 GPG
W
L
D
W
D
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.9 GPG
W
L
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL28 Feb 2026
Falkirk
5-1
Kilmarnock
PL20 Dec 2025
Kilmarnock
0-1
Falkirk
PL1 Nov 2025
Falkirk
3-1
Kilmarnock
PL24 Jun 2022
Falkirk
1-4
Kilmarnock
PL4 Sept 2021
Kilmarnock
3-1
Falkirk
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
4 / 6 matches
Falkirk CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Feb 2026
Falkirk
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
20 Dec 2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Falkirk
1 Nov 2025
Falkirk
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
24 Jun 2022
Falkirk
1 - 4
Kilmarnock
4 Sept 2021
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Falkirk
6 Oct 2020
Falkirk
3 - 0
Kilmarnock

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Falkirk
1.00
Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.89

Falkirk is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hibernian
1 - 2
Falkirk
Falkirk
1 - 2
Dundee
St. Johnstone
1 - 1
Falkirk
Falkirk
2 - 1
Hearts
Dundee United
1 - 1
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
3 - 2
Motherwell
Rangers
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Hearts
Hibernian
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0 - 0
Kilmarnock

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