Falkirk vs Motherwell Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Championship Group | FootballTips.app

Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 2 May
Motherwell

Motherwell

Away
FalkirkTimelineMotherwell
1st Half
Broggio B.
28'
Spencer B.
29'
Sparrow T.
35'
2nd Half
Slattery C.
50'
Tait D.
56'
Said I.Out: Sparrow T.
sync_alt
62'
Cartwright H.Out: Tait D.
sync_alt
62'
Cartwright H.Assist: Broggio B.
sports_soccer
63'
Yeats F.
75'
Wilson K.Out: Broggio B.
sync_alt
75'
Parkinson B.Out: Miller C.
sync_alt
76'
Hendry C.Out: Maswanhise T.
sync_alt
76'
Charles-Cook R.Out: Slattery C.
sync_alt
77'
Nicholson S.Out: Fadinger L.
sync_alt
77'
Donaldson C.Out: McCann L.
sync_alt
84'
Adams K.Out: Lissah F.
sync_alt
85'
Longelo E.
88'
Hendry C.
90+1'
Just E.
90+2'

Top stats

1.86Expected goals (xG)1.06
48%Ball possession52%
18Total shots14
5Shots on target3
6Big chances1
2Corner kicks5
82% (346/423)Passes79% (352/444)
4Yellow cards5

Shots

1.86Expected goals (xG)1.06
1.34xG on target (xGOT)0.55
18Total shots14
5Shots on target3
9Shots off target7
4Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box10
4Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

6Big chances1
2Corner kicks5
27Touches in opposition box34
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides4
13Free kicks11

Passes

82% (346/423)Passes79% (352/444)
47% (36/77)Long passes52% (39/75)
67% (94/140)Passes in final third73% (121/166)
25% (4/16)Crosses36% (8/22)
0.86Expected assists (xA)0.86
14Throw ins30

Defense

11Fouls13
65% (11/17)Tackles100% (10/10)
46Duels won42
32Clearances12
16Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
0.55xGOT faced1.34
0.55Goals prevented0.34
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.67
X3.41
22.51

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 1.68 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.70 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.71 GPG vs Away 1.53 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.53 conc vs Away 1.29 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

13%
11%
77%
Falkirk
Draw
Motherwell

Match Preview

Falkirk and Motherwell meet for the fourth and final time in the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership campaign, with the Well unable to beat the Bairns so far in their return to the top tier.

Falkirk have lost their last nine matches against Celtic in all competitions after last weekend's defeat, only once before have the Bairns endured a longer losing run to the Hoops which came between March 1950 and August 1954 (10). The Bairns are yet to play out the same result twice away from home in the Premiership this season, but will have to host a Motherwell team that they've beaten twice at Fir Park in 2025/26.

Considering Motherwell had lost four of their previous five Scottish Premiership matches - as many as in their previous 34 beforehand (W17 D13 L4) - Sunday's success at Ibrox against Rangers could be considered one of the most impressive results of the Steelmen's superb season. One of their major annoyances, however, is losing both Fir Park meetings with Falkirk whilst drawing 0-0 at the Bairns' place back in December.

Despite Falkirk's superb showings against the Steelmen this season, the Bairns are carrying a few injuries which could see Motherwell win against them for the first time in this crazy campaign.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Nicky Hogarth
GK
-Leon McCann
DL
-Connor Allan
DC
-Lewis Neilson
DC
-Keelan Adams
DR
-Brad Spencer
DMC
-Dylan Tait
DMC
-Calvin Miller
AML
-Finn Yeats
AMC
-Ben Broggio
AMR
-Barney Stewart
FW

Motherwell

Starting 11
-Calum Ward
GK
-Stephen O'Donnell
DL
-Stephen Welsh
DC
-Paul McGinn
DC
-Tom Sparrow
DR
-Elliot Watt
DMC
-Lukas Fadinger
DMC
-Emmanuel Longelo
AML
-Callum Slattery
AMC
-Elijah Just
AMR
-Tawanda Maswanhise
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches
FalkirkvsMotherwell

radarTeam Profile

Falkirk
Motherwell
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
38Attack51
shield
53Defense66
swap_horiz
41Possession75
gps_fixed
63Efficiency73
auto_fix_high
30Creativity49
gavel
46Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

46Goals Scored55
51Goals Conceded31
8Clean Sheets17
72Big Chances80
43Big Chances Missed49
3Penalty Goals8

gps_fixedShooting

410Total Shots451
133Shots on Target170

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.6%Avg Possession59.0%
13,630Total Passes18,527
77.1%Pass Accuracy85.7%

shieldDefending

631Tackles497
312Interceptions248
107Saves94
49.6%Duels Won48.9%

gavelDiscipline

409Fouls399
73Yellow Cards49
1Red Cards2
71Offsides75

analyticsOther

162Corners131
204Successful Dribbles298
9Errors Leading to Goal6
6.77Avg Rating6.93

Statistical Comparison

FalkirkMetricMotherwell
1
Goals
3
23.8
Average Age
26.7
179.4
Average Height (cm)
180.5

history Recent Form

FalkirkFalkirk
1.4 GPG
L
L
W
L
D
MotherwellMotherwell
1.7 GPG
W
L
L
D
L

group Head to Head

PL4 Apr 2026
Motherwell
2-3
Falkirk
PL3 Dec 2025
Falkirk
0-0
Motherwell
PL18 Oct 2025
Motherwell
1-2
Falkirk
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
2 / 3 matches
Falkirk CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Motherwell CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Apr 2026
Motherwell
2 - 3
Falkirk
3 Dec 2025
Falkirk
0 - 0
Motherwell
18 Oct 2025
Motherwell
1 - 2
Falkirk

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Falkirk
1.35
Form (Overall)
Motherwell
1.68

Motherwell is +24% better in terms of Points Per Game

Celtic
3 - 1
Falkirk
Falkirk
3 - 6
Rangers
Motherwell
2 - 3
Falkirk
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Falkirk
Rangers
2 - 3
Motherwell
Hearts
3 - 1
Motherwell
Motherwell
2 - 3
Falkirk
Motherwell
0 - 0
Hibernian
Celtic
3 - 1
Motherwell

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