Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 21 March
St. Mirren

St. Mirren

Away
FalkirkTimelineSt. Mirren
1st Half
Stewart B. (Tait D.)
sports_soccer
15'
Freckleton M. (Tanser S.)
sports_soccer
18'
McCann L.
21'
2nd Half
Ayunga J.Out: Young J.
sync_alt
57'
John D.Out: Tanser S.
sync_alt
57'
Donnelly L.Assist: O'Hara M.
sports_soccer
63'
Ross E.Out: Yeats F.
sync_alt
68'
Mandron M.Out: N'Lundulu D.
sync_alt
75'
Richardson J.Out: Devaney J.
sync_alt
80'
Graham B.Out: Broggio B.
sync_alt
82'
Cartwright H.Out: Tait D.
sync_alt
82'
Oliver G.Out: Stewart B.
sync_alt
88'
Phillips K.
89'
Gogic A.
90+1'

Top stats

1.35Expected goals (xG)0.91
58%Ball possession42%
11Total shots11
2Shots on target4
3Big chances3
7Corner kicks4
82% (347/424)Passes73% (228/313)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.35Expected goals (xG)0.91
0.88xG on target (xGOT)2.54
11Total shots11
2Shots on target4
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box7
4Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals2

Attack

3Big chances3
7Corner kicks4
20Touches in opposition box11
2Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
14Free kicks15

Passes

82% (347/424)Passes73% (228/313)
61% (56/92)Long passes36% (23/64)
67% (89/133)Passes in final third51% (42/82)
11% (3/27)Crosses19% (3/16)
1.16Expected assists (xA)0.48
30Throw ins20

Defense

15Fouls14
71% (10/14)Tackles72% (13/18)
41Duels won58
15Clearances32
8Interceptions13
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves1
2.54xGOT faced0.88
0.54Goals prevented-0.12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.83
X3.56
24.26

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #10
Season: Home 1.43 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 0.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

88%
6%
6%
Falkirk
Draw
St. Mirren

Match Preview

Falkirk have all but secured their top six spot in the Scottish Premiership table, nine points clear with three games to go which is the same gap as St Mirren from bottom spot in the league table.

Prior to Saturday, Falkirk had won four of their previous five league matches against Aberdeen - including both previous Scottish Premiership meetings this season - but the Bairns had to settle for a share of the spoils against the Dons in a 1-1 draw. Four points behind Hibernian, they'll hope to secure a top half finish here and possibly move a step closer to leapfrogging the Hibees in fifth.

Managerless St Mirren missed out on the chance to go four successive home league games unbeaten against Rangers (W1 D2) for the first time since April 1984, as they succumbed to a sole goal defeat against the Gers in Paisley on Sunday. The Buddies have only won one of their last 14 Scottish Premiership matches (D4 L9), a 1-0 victory over league leaders Hearts in Paisley last month.

St Mirren beat the Bairns in Falkirk earlier on in the season, but lost at home to the top-six hopefuls who should secure their spot by beating the Buddies for the second time this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Scott Bain
GK6.63
-Leon McCann
DL6.73
-Liam Henderson
DC6.97
-Coll Donaldson
DC6.55
-Filip Lissah
DR7.17
-Dylan Tait
DMC6.53
-Brad Spencer
DMC6.85
-Calvin Miller
AML6.78
-Finn Yeats
AMC6.60
-Ben Broggio
AMR6.86
-Barney Stewart
FW7.29

St. Mirren

Starting 11
-Shamal George
GK6.52
-Miguel Freckleton
DC7.02
-Alex Gogic
DC6.64
-Richard King
DC6.44
-Scott Tanser
DML6.57
-Mark O'Hara
MC6.41
-Liam Donnelly
MC6.35
-Jacob Devaney
MC6.29
-Jayden Richardson
DMR6.30
-Killian Phillips
FW6.59
-Dan Nlundulu
FW6.43
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 30 matches
FalkirkvsSt. Mirren

radarTeam Profile

Falkirk
St. Mirren
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
36Attack21
shield
57Defense38
swap_horiz
42Possession28
gps_fixed
59Efficiency38
auto_fix_high
29Creativity16
gavel
48Discipline36

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

38Goals Scored23
38Goals Conceded46
8Clean Sheets7
61Big Chances51
38Big Chances Missed35
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

368Total Shots358
120Shots on Target105

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.0%Avg Possession44.8%
12,135Total Passes10,440
77.1%Pass Accuracy73.7%

shieldDefending

559Tackles425
268Interceptions206
93Saves94
50.0%Duels Won47.9%

gavelDiscipline

353Fouls393
63Yellow Cards60
1Red Cards4
63Offsides68

analyticsOther

144Corners166
179Successful Dribbles170
5Errors Leading to Goal6
6.80Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

FalkirkMetricSt. Mirren
34
Goals
23
23
Assists
15
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
25.6
Average Age
26.3
181.2
Average Height (cm)
186.8
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

FalkirkFalkirk
1.4 GPG
D
W
L
L
W
St. MirrenSt. Mirren
0.8 GPG
L
L
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL10 Jan 2026
St. Mirren
0-2
Falkirk
PL13 Sept 2025
Falkirk
1-2
St. Mirren
PL28 Apr 2018
Falkirk
1-0
St. Mirren
PL17 Apr 2018
St. Mirren
1-2
Falkirk
PL21 Oct 2017
Falkirk
0-0
St. Mirren
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
11 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
9 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
5 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
9 / 14 matches
Falkirk CS
36%
Clean Sheets
St. Mirren CS
14%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Jan 2026
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Falkirk
13 Sept 2025
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
28 Apr 2018
Falkirk
1 - 0
St. Mirren
17 Apr 2018
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Falkirk
21 Oct 2017
Falkirk
0 - 0
St. Mirren
5 Aug 2017
St. Mirren
3 - 1
Falkirk
15 Apr 2017
Falkirk
2 - 2
St. Mirren
28 Jan 2017
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Falkirk
3 Dec 2016
Falkirk
3 - 1
St. Mirren
1 Oct 2016
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Falkirk
9 Apr 2016
Falkirk
3 - 2
St. Mirren
1 Mar 2016
St. Mirren
0 - 0
Falkirk

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Falkirk
1.43
Form (Overall)
St. Mirren
0.80

Falkirk is +79% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aberdeen
1 - 1
Falkirk
Falkirk
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Hearts
1 - 0
Falkirk
Falkirk
2 - 3
Dundee United
Falkirk
1 - 0
Dundee
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Rangers
Dundee United
2 - 1
St. Mirren
Livingston
1 - 1
St. Mirren
St. Mirren
0 - 5
Motherwell
Hibernian
2 - 0
St. Mirren

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