Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Falkirk

Falkirk

Home
Full Time
0 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 1 August
St. Mirren

St. Mirren

Away
FalkirkTimelineSt. Mirren
1st Half
Phillips K.Assist: Fieldson H.
sports_soccer
11'
2nd Half
Doherty A.Out: Gardner J.
sync_alt
59'
Young J.Out: Sule E.
sync_alt
63'
Carr R.
66'
Parkinson B.Out: MacIver R.
sync_alt
70'
Ross E.Out: McMillan J.
sync_alt
70'
Thomas L.Out: Ramos S.
sync_alt
76'
Donnelly L.Out: Carr R.
sync_alt
76'
McCann L.Out: Tanser S.
sync_alt
79'
McGovern P.Out: Laidlaw E.
sync_alt
79'
Fieldson H.
80'
Idowu R.Out: Mochrie C. R.
sync_alt
83'
Phillips K. (Idowu R.)
sports_soccer
87'
Phillips K.
88'
Thomas L.
90+1'

Top stats

0.71Expected goals (xG)1.64
58%Ball possession42%
10Total shots15
1Shots on target5
3Big chances6
7Corner kicks7
80% (344/432)Passes76% (243/321)
0Yellow cards4

Shots

0.71Expected goals (xG)1.64
0.28xG on target (xGOT)2.35
10Total shots15
1Shots on target5
3Shots off target7
6Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box11
2Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances6
7Corner kicks7
40Touches in opposition box29
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides2
18Free kicks18

Passes

80% (344/432)Passes76% (243/321)
53% (42/80)Long passes33% (19/57)
66% (104/158)Passes in final third69% (72/105)
23% (7/30)Crosses20% (3/15)
1.06Expected assists (xA)0.57
24Throw ins17

Defense

18Fouls18
65% (15/23)Tackles59% (16/27)
62Duels won65
17Clearances48
5Interceptions4
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
2.35xGOT faced0.28
0.35Goals prevented0.28
10Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.03
X3.54
23.46

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
69
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 3.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.80 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

24%
29%
47%
Falkirk
Draw
St. Mirren

Match Preview

Two teams that have gatecrashed the top half of the Scottish Premiership in successive seasons, Falkirk and St Mirren, meet in Saturday afternoon's sole league match.

Falkirk failed to qualify for the last 16 of the Scottish League Cup, picking up seven points from a group containing Ayr United, Alloa Athletic, Edinburgh City and Stranraer. The Bairns were one of the surprise packages of the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership campaign as a newly promoted side, but an overhaul in playing personnel might be to their detriment as they aim to avoid a severe case of second season syndrome.

St Mirren had a crazy campaign, given they won the Scottish League Cup but maintained their Premiership status by the skin of their teeth. In defence of the trophy that they won last season, the Buddies beat Dumbarton, Cove Rangers and East Kilbride but defeat to Dunfermline didn't matter in the end as Saints secured their passage into the round of 16. Survival will most likely be the aim again, although they'll hope to surprise a few.

There were three away victories in these two teams' 2025/26 meetings, with the Bairns beaten twice by the Buddies at home before Saints squeezed past their hosts in Falkirk but it's difficult to separate the two teams on the opening weekend.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Falkirk

Starting 11
-Scott Bain
GK
-Leon McCann
DL
-Liam Henderson
DC
-Jack McMillan
DC
-Ryan Strain
DR
-Craig Sibbald
DMC
-Brad Spencer
DMC
-Ethan Ross
AML
-Paul McGovern
AMC
-Ben Parkinson
AMR
-Ethan Laidlaw
FW

St. Mirren

Starting 11
-Jacob Chapman
GK
-Henry Fieldson
DL
-Alex Gogic
DC
-Marcus Fraser
DC
-Jayden Richardson
DR
-Killian Phillips
DMC
-Ryan Carr
DMC
-Chris Mochrie
AML
-Samuel Ramos
AMC
-Roland Idowu
AMR
-Eseosa Sule
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

history Recent Form

FalkirkFalkirk
1.1 GPG
St. MirrenSt. Mirren
1.8 GPG

group Head to Head

PL21 Mar 2026
Falkirk
1-2
St. Mirren
PL10 Jan 2026
St. Mirren
0-2
Falkirk
PL13 Sept 2025
Falkirk
1-2
St. Mirren
PL28 Apr 2018
Falkirk
1-0
St. Mirren
PL17 Apr 2018
St. Mirren
1-2
Falkirk
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
12 / 15 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
10 / 15 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
5 / 15 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
10 / 15 matches
Falkirk CS
33%
Clean Sheets
St. Mirren CS
13%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Mar 2026
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
10 Jan 2026
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Falkirk
13 Sept 2025
Falkirk
1 - 2
St. Mirren
28 Apr 2018
Falkirk
1 - 0
St. Mirren
17 Apr 2018
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Falkirk
21 Oct 2017
Falkirk
0 - 0
St. Mirren
5 Aug 2017
St. Mirren
3 - 1
Falkirk
15 Apr 2017
Falkirk
2 - 2
St. Mirren
28 Jan 2017
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Falkirk
3 Dec 2016
Falkirk
3 - 1
St. Mirren
1 Oct 2016
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Falkirk
9 Apr 2016
Falkirk
3 - 2
St. Mirren

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Falkirk
1.10
Form (Overall)
St. Mirren
1.80

St. Mirren is +64% better in terms of Points Per Game

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