FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma Prediction & Tips | Liga 1 - Clausura | FootballTips.app
FBC Melgar
HomeFull Time
3 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 6 September
AD Tarma
AwayFBC MelgarTimelineAD Tarma
1st Half
Cuesta B.Assist: Cabanillas N.
sports_soccer
45'
2nd Half
Cuesta B. (Quagliata N.)
sports_soccer
63'
D'Arrigo J.Out: Cuesta B.
sync_alt
68'
Peralta S.Out: Rojas J.
sync_alt
73'
Rengifo H.Out: Bauman J.
sync_alt
73'
Mazzo A.Out: Lucumi J.
sync_alt
73'
Jesus AlcantarOut: Cabanillas N.
sync_alt
75'
Zanelatto F.Out: Bordacahar C.
sync_alt
75'
Portillo M.Out: Quagliata N.
sync_alt
75'
Jesus Alcantar
sports_soccer
82'
Garcilazo J.Out: Canela Torres J. J.
sync_alt
83'
Reyes J.Out: Benincasa H.
sync_alt
83'
Guzman L.Out: Minda K.
sync_alt
84'
Gonzalez L.
86'
Rondelli M.
87'
Rengifo H.
89'
Top stats
2.37Expected goals (xG)0.97
59%Ball possession41%
22Total shots12
8Shots on target2
1Big chances0
8Corner kicks2
86% (429/497)Passes81% (281/345)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
2.37Expected goals (xG)0.97
2.15xG on target (xGOT)0.09
22Total shots12
8Shots on target2
9Shots off target6
5Blocked shots4
18Shots inside the box7
4Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0
Attack
1Big chances0
8Corner kicks2
36Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides0
3Free kicks9
Passes
86% (429/497)Passes81% (281/345)
59% (30/51)Long passes43% (26/60)
71% (115/161)Passes in final third70% (69/98)
37% (10/27)Crosses15% (3/20)
2.39Expected assists (xA)0.87
14Throw ins11
Defense
9Fouls3
73% (11/15)Tackles67% (6/9)
35Duels won39
21Clearances26
4Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves5
0.09xGOT faced2.15
0.09Goals prevented-0.85
11Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.30
X4.82
29.09
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Odds: 9.09Stake: Medium (6/10)
62
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Attack (+34), Creativity (+41)
➡️ MID OPPORTUNITY (62)
⚠️ Low Confidence: 15.26157655549924% probability
donut_small Win Probabilities
69%
FBC Melgar Win
16%
Draw
15%
AD Tarma Win
FBC Melgar
Draw
AD Tarma
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.30 | 1.45 | 1.41 | -10.1% |
| Draw | 4.82 | 6.41 | 5.24 | -24.7% |
| Away Win | 9.09 | 6.55 | 9.88 | +38.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 24 matchesFBC MelgarvsAD Tarma
1.67Goals / Match1.13
1.17Conceded / Match1.50
6Clean Sheets6
4.75Shots on Target / Match4.71
54.8%Possession %54.9%
82.9%Pass Accuracy %82.5%
radarTeam Profile
FBC Melgar
AD Tarma
sports_soccer
63Attack29
shield
48Defense40
swap_horiz
58Possession51
gps_fixed
62Efficiency53
auto_fix_high
72Creativity31
gavel
39Discipline20
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
40Goals Scored27
28Goals Conceded36
6Clean Sheets6
75Big Chances34
46Big Chances Missed24
4Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
357Total Shots319
114Shots on Target113
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.8%Avg Possession54.9%
10,385Total Passes8,949
82.9%Pass Accuracy82.5%
shieldDefending
304Tackles322
220Interceptions184
78Saves68
51.6%Duels Won49.5%
gavelDiscipline
236Fouls273
48Yellow Cards61
6Red Cards10
52Offsides50
analyticsOther
116Corners110
168Successful Dribbles138
4Errors Leading to Goal3
6.83Avg Rating6.70
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