FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

FC Porto

FC Porto

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 27 February
Arouca

Arouca

Away
FC PortoTimelineArouca
1st Half
Pietuszewski O. (Froholdt V.)
sports_soccer
1'
2nd Half
Popovic B.Out: Sanchez J.
sync_alt
46'
Moffi T.Out: Gul D.
sync_alt
61'
William GomesOut: Pietuszewski O.
sync_alt
62'
Mora R.Out: Veiga G.
sync_alt
62'
Nandin D.Out: Barbero I.
sync_alt
66'
Djouahra N.
sports_soccer
70'
Fofana S.Out: Rosario P.
sync_alt
76'
Santiago Perez J.Out: Gozalbez P.
sync_alt
78'
Silva J.Out: Mansilla B.
sync_alt
78'
Miranda A.Out: Pepê
sync_alt
85'
PucheOut: Trezza A.
sync_alt
85'
William Gomes(Penalty)
sports_soccer
90+1'
Popovic B.
90+2'
Monteiro D.
90+3'
Moffi T. (William Gomes)
sports_soccer
90+8'

Top stats

3.16Expected goals (xG)0.25
56%Ball possession44%
20Total shots7
7Shots on target1
5Big chances0
5Corner kicks1
86% (416/481)Passes81% (303/372)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

3.16Expected goals (xG)0.25
3.27xG on target (xGOT)0.04
20Total shots7
7Shots on target1
6Shots off target5
7Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
8Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

5Big chances0
5Corner kicks1
28Touches in opposition box5
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
14Free kicks11

Passes

86% (416/481)Passes81% (303/372)
39% (12/31)Long passes37% (18/49)
69% (85/124)Passes in final third63% (24/38)
14% (3/22)Crosses38% (3/8)
1.91Expected assists (xA)0.18
29Throw ins12

Defense

11Fouls14
65% (11/17)Tackles52% (13/25)
50Duels won52
9Clearances32
12Interceptions11
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4
0.04xGOT faced3.27
-0.96Goals prevented0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.17
X7.38
219.10

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #11
Season: Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 1.13 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.15 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.91 GPG vs Away 1.27 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

95%
3%
2%
FC Porto
Draw
Arouca

Match Preview

FC Porto will face off against FC Arouca in a Liga Portugal clash at Estádio Do Dragão on February 27, 2026.

Porto, the table-toppers with 62 points, will take on Arouca, who currently sits in 10th place.

Porto has been dominant, winning 67% of their last 6 league matches, while FC Arouca has struggled on the road, losing 50% of their last 6 away games.

In their previous encounters, Porto has been a formidable force, scoring 2+ goals in all of their last 3 matches against FC Arouca.

On the other hand, FC Arouca has shown their attacking prowess by netting 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 Liga Portugal fixtures.

With the statistics favoring Porto's strong offense and Arouca's inconsistency on the road, the stage is set for an intriguing battle between these two sides.

Prediction: Porto to win by 3-0.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

FC Porto

Starting 11
11Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
6.67
27Deniz Gül
5.43
8Victor Froholdt
6.94
10Gabri Veiga (Injured)
CAM6.66
13Pablo Rosario
CDM5.90
22Alan Varela
CDM6.66
77Oskar Pietuszewski
5.74
5Jan Bednarek
CB6.91
-1Zaidu Sanusi
LB6.30
20Alberto Oliveira Baio
6.63
99Diogo Costa
GK6.98
Substitutes
29Terem Moffi
CF4.30
7William Gomes Carvalho Santos
5.83
17Borja Sainz Eguskiza
6.92
42Seko Fofana
CM6.73
86Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
5.40
-1Dominik Prpić
1.56
-Gabriel Costa Brás
74Francisco Moura
LB5.50
-1Cláudio Ramos
GK0.29

Arouca

Starting 11
-1Iván Martínez Gonzálvez
5.92
19Alfonso Trezza
6.77
7Naïs Djouahra
LW6.84
14Hyun-ju Lee
6.70
21Taichi Fukui
6.45
22Espen van Ee
5.75
-1Tiago Esgaio
RM6.41
3José Fontán
LB6.39
15Javier Sánchez de Felipe
CB7.24
25Bas Kuipers
LB6.63
12Ignacio De Arruabarrena
GK6.83
Substitutes
10Pablo Gozálbez
CM5.58
11Miguel Puche García
5.43
23Dylan Alenxader Nandín Berrutti
6.58
-José Augusto Silva
5Boris Popovic
4.35
20Jesús Santiago
1.32
24Brian Mansilla
4.01
6Diogo Monteiro
1.00
1João Valido
GK2.53
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 matches
FC PortovsArouca

radarTeam Profile

FC Porto
Arouca
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
63Attack31
shield
72Defense31
swap_horiz
65Possession49
gps_fixed
84Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
51Creativity26
gavel
35Discipline10

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored31
7Goals Conceded49
17Clean Sheets5
66Big Chances40
32Big Chances Missed19
6Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

321Total Shots237
121Shots on Target82

swap_horizPassing & Possession

56.1%Avg Possession51.0%
10,576Total Passes9,466
84.9%Pass Accuracy82.6%

shieldDefending

333Tackles322
194Interceptions187
39Saves65
49.7%Duels Won47.4%

gavelDiscipline

312Fouls315
51Yellow Cards61
2Red Cards8
50Offsides32

analyticsOther

130Corners88
173Successful Dribbles130
0Errors Leading to Goal2
6.95Avg Rating6.61

League Standings Context

For FC Porto

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Porto23202162
2Sporting CP23184158

For Arouca

PosTeamPWDLPts
9Vitória23941031
10FC Arouca23751126
11FC Alverca23751126

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

53.6/ 105.0
Dangerous Attacks
36.0/ 88.3
37.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
14.4
Total Shots
10.2
57.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
0.5
Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

Head-to-Head Summary

4
FC Porto Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Arouca Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketFC PortoArouca
Over 1.5 Goals
72%26/36
61%22/36
Over 2.5 Goals
53%19/36
50%18/36
Both Teams to Score
36%13/36
39%14/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: FC Porto

Pt1
Porto
1 - 0
Rio Ave
Pt1
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP
UEL
Porto
3 - 1
Rangers
Pt1
Porto
3 - 0
Gil Vicente
PtC
Porto
1 - 0
SL Benfica
Pt1
Porto
2 - 0
AVS

Home Games: FC Porto

Pt1
Porto
1 - 0
Rio Ave
Pt1
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP
UEL
Porto
3 - 1
Rangers
Pt1
Porto
3 - 0
Gil Vicente
PtC
Porto
1 - 0
SL Benfica
Pt1
Porto
2 - 0
AVS

Last 6: Arouca

Pt1
Casa Pia AC
3 - 2
FC Arouca
Pt1
Rio Ave
0 - 3
FC Arouca
Pt1
AVS
0 - 1
FC Arouca
Pt1
CD Tondela
3 - 1
FC Arouca
Pt1
Santa Clara
0 - 0
FC Arouca
Pt1
Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
FC Arouca

Away Games: Arouca

Pt1
Casa Pia AC
3 - 2
FC Arouca
Pt1
Rio Ave
0 - 3
FC Arouca
Pt1
AVS
0 - 1
FC Arouca
Pt1
CD Tondela
3 - 1
FC Arouca
Pt1
Santa Clara
0 - 0
FC Arouca
Pt1
Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
FC Arouca

history Recent Form

FC PortoFC Porto
2.7 GPG
W
W
D
L
W
AroucaArouca
1.1 GPG
W
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL29 Sept 2025
FC Arouca
0-4
Porto
PL1 Mar 2025
FC Arouca
0-2
Porto
PL29 Sept 2024
Porto
4-0
FC Arouca
PL12 Feb 2024
FC Arouca
3-2
Porto
PL3 Sept 2023
Porto
1-1
FC Arouca
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
89%
16 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
13 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
10 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
39%
7 / 18 matches
FC Porto CS
61%
Clean Sheets
Arouca CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Sept 2025
FC Arouca
0 - 4
Porto
1 Mar 2025
FC Arouca
0 - 2
Porto
29 Sept 2024
Porto
4 - 0
FC Arouca
12 Feb 2024
FC Arouca
3 - 2
Porto
3 Sept 2023
Porto
1 - 1
FC Arouca
8 May 2023
FC Arouca
0 - 1
Porto
11 Jan 2023
Porto
4 - 0
FC Arouca
28 Dec 2022
Porto
5 - 1
FC Arouca
6 Feb 2022
FC Arouca
0 - 2
Porto
28 Aug 2021
Porto
3 - 0
FC Arouca
10 Mar 2017
FC Arouca
0 - 4
Porto
22 Oct 2016
Porto
3 - 0
FC Arouca

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
FC Porto
2.70
Form (Overall)
Arouca
1.13

FC Porto is +139% better in terms of Points Per Game

Porto
1 - 0
Rio Ave FC
CD Nacional
0 - 1
Porto
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
2 - 1
Porto
Porto
3 - 0
Gil Vicente
FC Arouca
3 - 0
CD Nacional
Casa Pia
3 - 2
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
3 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
Rio Ave FC
0 - 3
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
1 - 2
Sporting CP

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