FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

FC Porto

FC Porto

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Friday 4 September
Moreirense

Moreirense

Away
FC PortoTimelineMoreirense
1st Half
Pinto D.
sports_soccer
20'
Bednarek J. (William Gomes)
sports_soccer
37'
Veloso J.
44'
2nd Half
William GomesAssist: Pepê
sports_soccer
58'
Moura F.
64'
Fernandes M.Out: Moura F.
sync_alt
64'
Hwang In-BeomOut: Veiga G.
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64'
RodriOut: Mendonca M.
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67'
Stjepanovic M.Out: John N.
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67'
Pinto D.
68'
Andrade T.Out: Landerson
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75'
Sainz B.Out: William Gomes
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75'
Bondoso K.Out: Veloso J.
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75'
Gimenez S.Out: Andre Silva
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75'
Yan MaranhaoOut: Duville-Parsemain A.
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79'
Guilherme Liberato
90'
Fofana S.Out: Froholdt V.
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90'
Perez N.Out: Costa A.
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90+1'
Santos L.Out: Pinto D.
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90+3'

Top stats

2.90Expected goals (xG)0.85
70%Ball possession30%
23Total shots7
9Shots on target2
3Big chances2
9Corner kicks1
86% (486/563)Passes69% (174/252)
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Shots

2.90Expected goals (xG)0.85
2.26xG on target (xGOT)0.42
23Total shots7
9Shots on target2
7Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box5
9Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances2
9Corner kicks1
34Touches in opposition box10
0Accurate through passes1
4Offsides1
12Free kicks11

Passes

86% (486/563)Passes69% (174/252)
61% (31/51)Long passes29% (16/56)
76% (121/160)Passes in final third42% (14/33)
21% (7/34)Crosses0% (0/10)
2.35Expected assists (xA)0.19
28Throw ins14

Defense

11Fouls12
33% (3/9)Tackles57% (13/23)
46Duels won52
16Clearances50
9Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves7
0.42xGOT faced2.26
-0.58Goals prevented0.26
4Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.18
X6.80
215.30

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 19.50Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #11
Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 1.47 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.43 GPG vs Away 0.60 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
22%
16%
FC Porto
Draw
Moreirense
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.561.81-13.7%
Porto Win1.141.63-29.9%
Draw6.804.53+50.0%
Moreirense FC Win19.506.07+221.2%
BTTS - Yes2.552.03+25.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Porto made no mistake against Academico Viseu in gameweek four as three first-half goals set the league leaders up for a comfortable away victory. Friday's hosts have won four straight to start the new campaign and are yet to concede a goal this season.

Moreirense got their season up and running at the weekend as Kiko's 24th-minute strike proved enough to claim all three points against a struggling Casa Pia side. The away side had conceded six times in their two previous Liga Portugal contests.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

FC Porto

Starting 11
-Diogo Costa
GK7.03
-Souza
DL
-Jan Bednarek
DC7.06
-Jakub Kiwior
DC7.39
-Alberto Costa
DR6.92
-Victor Froholdt
DMC6.92
-Pablo Rosario
DMC6.80
-Pepê
AML6.78
-Gabri Veiga
AMC8.13
-William Gomes
AMR7.28
-André Silva
FW6.89

Moreirense

Starting 11
-André Ferreira
GK6.07
-Kiko
DL6.86
-Gilberto Batista
DC7.10
-Maracás
DC6.22
-Leandro Santos
DR6.54
-Nile John
DMC6.67
-Guilherme Liberato
DMC6.62
-Landerson
AML6.25
-João Veloso
AMC7.01
-Manuel Mendonça
AMR6.87
-Alexandre Duville-Parsemain
FW6.28
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 / 3 matches
FC PortovsMoreirense
2.25Goals / Match1.00
0.00Conceded / Match2.00
4Clean Sheets1
5.75Shots on Target / Match3.00
50.5%Possession %40.7%
85.1%Pass Accuracy %75.5%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

9Goals Scored3
0Goals Conceded6
4Clean Sheets1
18Big Chances4
10Big Chances Missed4
2Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

51Total Shots18
23Shots on Target9

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.5%Avg Possession40.7%
1,687Total Passes1,092
85.1%Pass Accuracy75.5%

shieldDefending

64Tackles43
26Interceptions32
8Saves6
47.6%Duels Won46.5%

gavelDiscipline

58Fouls42
1Yellow Cards11
10Offsides0

analyticsOther

26Corners8
18Successful Dribbles18
0Errors Leading to Goal3
7.93Avg Rating6.69

Statistical Comparison

FC PortoMetricMoreirense
9
Goals
3
6
Assists
2
6.8
Average Ratings
6.4
25.1
Average Age
23.6
183.7
Average Height (cm)
181.5
1.2
Shots pg
0.9
54%
Aerial Duel Success
45%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.4
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

FC PortoFC Porto
2.5 GPG
W
W
W
W
MoreirenseMoreirense
1.2 GPG
W
L
D

group Head to Head

PL15 Mar 2026
Porto
3-0
Moreirense FC
PL27 Oct 2025
Moreirense FC
1-2
Porto
PL2 May 2025
Porto
3-1
Moreirense FC
PL21 Dec 2024
Moreirense FC
0-3
Porto
PL24 Nov 2024
Moreirense FC
2-1
Porto
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
25 / 29 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
21 / 29 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9 / 29 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
13 / 29 matches
FC Porto CS
55%
Clean Sheets
Moreirense CS
3%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Mar 2026
Porto
3 - 0
Moreirense FC
27 Oct 2025
Moreirense FC
1 - 2
Porto
2 May 2025
Porto
3 - 1
Moreirense FC
21 Dec 2024
Moreirense FC
0 - 3
Porto
24 Nov 2024
Moreirense FC
2 - 1
Porto
31 Oct 2024
Porto
2 - 0
Moreirense FC
20 Jan 2024
Porto
5 - 0
Moreirense FC
14 Aug 2023
Moreirense FC
1 - 2
Porto
20 Feb 2022
Moreirense FC
0 - 1
Porto
19 Sept 2021
Porto
5 - 0
Moreirense FC
26 Apr 2021
Moreirense FC
1 - 1
Porto
3 Jan 2021
Porto
3 - 0
Moreirense FC

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
FC Porto
2.50
Form (Overall)
Moreirense
1.20

FC Porto is +108% better in terms of Points Per Game

Academico Viseu
0 - 3
Porto
Porto
2 - 0
FC Arouca
Rio Ave FC
0 - 2
Porto
Porto
2 - 0
Alverca
Casa Pia
0 - 1
Moreirense FC
FC Arouca
4 - 0
Moreirense FC
Moreirense FC
2 - 2
Sporting Braga

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