FC Porto vs Nottingham Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

FC Porto

FC Porto

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Thursday 9 April
Nottingham

Nottingham

Away
FC PortoTimelineNottingham
1st Half
William Gomes (Veiga G.)
sports_soccer
11'
Fernandes M.
sports_soccer
13'
Veiga G.
15'
Costa A.Out: Fernandes M.
sync_alt
19'
2nd Half
Milenkovic N.Out: Murillo
sync_alt
46'
Igor JesusOut: Wood Ch.
sync_alt
46'
PepêOut: Sainz B.
sync_alt
59'
Gul D.Out: Moffi T.
sync_alt
59'
Froholdt V.Out: Veiga G.
sync_alt
59'
Williams N.Out: Bakwa D.
sync_alt
61'
Hutchinson O.Out: Gibbs-White M.
sync_alt
61'
Varela A.Out: Fofana S.
sync_alt
74'
Sangare I.Out: McAtee J.
sync_alt
74'

Top stats

2.17Expected goals (xG)0.45
52%Ball possession48%
16Total shots6
8Shots on target2
5Big chances0
5Corner kicks2
88% (443/506)Passes87% (411/474)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

2.17Expected goals (xG)0.45
2.27xG on target (xGOT)0.42
16Total shots6
8Shots on target2
5Shots off target1
3Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances0
5Corner kicks2
21Touches in opposition box11
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
11Free kicks4

Passes

88% (443/506)Passes87% (411/474)
59% (29/49)Long passes45% (23/51)
77% (96/125)Passes in final third77% (70/91)
21% (4/19)Crosses18% (2/11)
2.06Expected assists (xA)0.49
19Throw ins9

Defense

4Fouls11
56% (9/16)Tackles41% (7/17)
51Duels won37
14Clearances17
7Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves7
0.42xGOT faced2.27
0.42Goals prevented1.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.14
X3.28
23.68

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
65
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 2.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

45%
26%
30%
FC Porto
Draw
Nottingham

Match Preview

Porto host Nottingham Forest in a quarter-final first leg that revisits an earlier meeting in this season’s competition, when Forest ran out 2-0 winners in England. Much has changed since then, with Porto growing into the tournament and arriving here on a strong unbeaten run in Europe.

Farioli’s side have not lost in their last seven Europa League matches and progressed comfortably past Stuttgart in the previous round. Their home form has been particularly impressive, winning all five of their matches at the Estádio do Dragão in this competition while conceding just three goals.

Forest, meanwhile, continue to defy expectations in their first European campaign in three decades. Their route to the quarter-finals was more dramatic, requiring extra time and penalties to overcome Midtjylland, but they have shown resilience throughout. Recent domestic form has also improved, with a convincing win over Tottenham boosting confidence ahead of this trip.

The earlier meeting will give Forest belief, especially with Igor Jesus among the competition’s top scorers, but Porto’s form and home strength suggest a different test awaits this time.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

FC Porto

Starting 11
-Diogo Costa
GK6.60
-Zaidu Sanusi
DL6.41
-Jakub Kiwior
DC6.93
-Jan Bednarek
DC6.72
-Alberto Costa
DR6.60
-Seko Fofana
MC6.87
-Pablo Rosario
MC6.66
-Victor Froholdt
MC6.58
-Borja Sainz
FWL6.69
-Terem Moffi
FW7.10
-William Gomes
FWR6.48

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Matz Sels
GK6.30
-Luca Netz
DL
-Murillo
DC6.66
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC7.01
-Neco Williams
DR6.94
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.73
-Nicolás Domínguez
DMC6.93
-Callum Hudson-Odoi
AML7.07
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.61
-Dan Ndoye
AMR6.76
-Igor Jesus
FW7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 10 / 12 matches
FC PortovsNottingham

radarTeam Profile

FC Porto
Nottingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
55Attack70
shield
56Defense66
swap_horiz
59Possession66
gps_fixed
71Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
36Creativity52
gavel
46Discipline41

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

17Goals Scored21
8Goals Conceded11
3Clean Sheets5
25Big Chances41
14Big Chances Missed28
2Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

145Total Shots206
52Shots on Target81

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.0%Avg Possession53.1%
4,422Total Passes5,899
83.9%Pass Accuracy84.6%

shieldDefending

145Tackles211
88Interceptions104
23Saves19
49.8%Duels Won51.4%

gavelDiscipline

119Fouls163
24Yellow Cards22
0Red Cards1
14Offsides16

analyticsOther

55Corners72
73Successful Dribbles101
6.83Avg Rating6.90

Statistical Comparison

FC PortoMetricNottingham
16
Goals
20
9
Assists
11
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
25.5
Average Age
26.1
184.4
Average Height (cm)
183
1.1
Shots pg
1.2
56%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

FC PortoFC Porto
2.3 GPG
D
W
W
D
W
NottinghamNottingham
1.2 GPG
W
D
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL23 Oct 2025
Nottingham Forest
2-0
Porto
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 1 matches
FC Porto CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham CS
100%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Oct 2025
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Porto

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
FC Porto
2.30
Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.20

FC Porto is +92% better in terms of Points Per Game

Porto
2 - 2
Famalicão
Sporting Braga
1 - 2
Porto
Porto
3 - 0
Moreirense FC
Benfica
2 - 2
Porto
Porto
3 - 1
FC Arouca
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Fulham
Manchester City
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Liverpool

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