Fenerbahce vs AS Roma Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app
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Key Factors
donut_small Win Probabilities
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.83 | +5.8% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.10 | 2.53 | 2.20 | -17.0% |
| Fenerbahçe Win | 3.35 | 2.72 | 3.58 | +23.1% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.32 | 3.74 | +5.3% |
| Roma Win | 2.06 | 3.01 | 2.20 | -31.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.62 | 1.79 | 1.72 | -9.5% |
| BTTS - No | 2.25 | 2.27 | 2.39 | -0.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Fenerbahçe and Roma begin their Champions League league-phase campaigns in Istanbul with both sides carrying significant attacking momentum into Europe. The hosts have scored in 13 consecutive matches across all competitions, while Roma arrive unbeaten in 10 and on a six-match winning run.
Fenerbahçe reached this stage by overcoming Lyon 3-2 on aggregate in the play-offs. After a 1-1 draw in Istanbul, İsmail Kartal’s side won the return leg 2-1 through goals from Vedat Muriqi and Archie Brown, securing a first appearance in the Champions League proper since 2008.
Their home record in Europe offers further encouragement. Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in three Champions League qualifying matches at the Şükrü Saracoğlu this season and have lost only five of their last 32 European home games overall. They have also won two of their previous three Champions League campaign openers played at home.
Roma return to the competition for the first time since 2018/19 and arrive in outstanding form under Gian Piero Gasperini. They have won each of their last six matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding only three, and have also won four successive away fixtures across all competitions.
The historical trends are mixed. Fenerbahçe have lost five of their six Champions League matches against Italian opposition, but Italian clubs have failed to win on their last five visits to Turkey in the competition. Roma have also won only one of their last six Champions League opening fixtures, suggesting the atmosphere in Istanbul could make this a difficult first assignment.
Roma’s stronger recent form makes them dangerous, but Fenerbahçe’s home record and the attacking threat provided by Mason Greenwood, Muriqi and İrfan Kahveci should keep this close. With both sides on long scoring streaks, a contest featuring chances at both ends looks likely.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Fenerbahce
Starting 11
AS Roma
Starting 11
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 / 3 matchessports_soccerGoals & Scoring
history Recent Form
Fenerbahce
AS RomaCurrent Form Comparison
Both teams have equal form.
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