Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

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Full Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Thursday 19 February
Nottingham

Nottingham

Away
FenerbahceTimelineNottingham
1st Half
Skriniar M.
9'
MurilloAssist: Anderson E.
sports_soccer
21'
Soyuncu C.Out: Skriniar M.
sync_alt
26'
Tedesco D.
41'
Igor Jesus (Gibbs-White M.)
sports_soccer
43'
2nd Half
Nene D.Out: Akturkoglu K.
sync_alt
46'
Mercan L.Out: Muldur M.
sync_alt
46'
Gibbs-White M. (Igor Jesus)
sports_soccer
50'
Lucca L.Out: Igor Jesus
sync_alt
61'
Ndoye D.Out: Hutchinson O.
sync_alt
61'
Yuksek I.Out: Talisca
sync_alt
61'
Dominguez N.Out: Anderson E.
sync_alt
67'
Yates R.Out: Gibbs-White M.
sync_alt
67'
Oosterwolde J.
69'
FredOut: Kante N.
sync_alt
76'
Soyuncu C.
78'
McAtee J.Out: Hudson-Odoi C.
sync_alt
83'
Fred
90+1'

Top stats

0.48Expected goals (xG)2.88
57%Ball possession43%
6Total shots23
2Shots on target7
1Big chances3
3Corner kicks10
87% (446/511)Passes82% (315/382)
4Yellow cards0

Shots

0.48Expected goals (xG)2.88
0.21xG on target (xGOT)2.31
6Total shots23
2Shots on target7
3Shots off target10
1Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box14
2Shots outside the box9
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances3
3Corner kicks10
5Touches in opposition box33
2Accurate through passes1
0Offsides2
14Free kicks10

Passes

87% (446/511)Passes82% (315/382)
51% (18/35)Long passes45% (21/47)
84% (83/99)Passes in final third73% (82/113)
15% (2/13)Crosses15% (3/20)
0.71Expected assists (xA)1.71
14Throw ins15

Defense

10Fouls14
65% (11/17)Tackles73% (11/15)
41Duels won42
25Clearances12
6Interceptions14
3Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves2
2.31xGOT faced0.21
-0.69Goals prevented0.21
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.24
X3.40
23.29

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.83 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

53%
22%
25%
Fenerbahce
Draw
Nottingham

Match Preview

Fenerbahçe will play against Nottingham Forest in the Europa League at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium on February 19, 2026.

This clash between the two sides is set to offer an intriguing battle.

Fenerbahçe has shown strength recently with 4 wins in their last 6 matches across all competitions.

When it comes to their home form in the Europa League, they have secured 2 victories in their last 4 matches.

On the flip side, Nottingham Forest has a 50% win rate in the Europa League but has struggled on the road with a 50% loss rate in their last 6 away matches.

Looking at the statistical data and recent performances of both teams, the upcoming match is likely to be closely contested.

The teams appear evenly matched, suggesting a potential for a tight encounter with both sides looking to secure a positive result.

Our algorithm predicts a 1-1 draw between Fenerbahçe and Nottingham Forest.

A meeting framed as much by narrative as tactics sees Nottingham Forest’s new manager Vítor Pereira return to a stadium he once called home. Fenerbahçe arrive in stronger shape: unbeaten in six matches and fresh from four consecutive domestic victories as they continue their Turkish title push. Across 2026 they have lost only once in all competitions, though that defeat came here against English opposition, a reminder that European home games remain unpredictable.

Forest’s season has been turbulent, with Pereira becoming their fourth coach of the campaign after a short winless spell. Despite instability, their Europa League output has been productive: 15 goals in eight matches and the second-highest shots-on-target total in the competition (53). However, away form has been inconsistent and they now face a hostile environment for a first ever meeting with Turkish opposition.

Patterns in scoring also contrast sharply. Fenerbahçe tend to start quickly, scoring eight of their ten Europa League goals in the first half, while Forest rely on volume and penalties, converting four spot-kicks — the highest tally in the competition. The opening hour therefore feels decisive: early control favours the hosts, prolonged balance favours the visitors.

The tactical contrast is clear. Fenerbahçe aim to dictate tempo immediately through midfield control and early scoring phases, while Forest rely on sustained pressure and chance volume over time. If the Turkish side convert their typical fast start, the tie tilts strongly toward them given their unbeaten European home runs.

If the match remains level entering the final stages, Forest’s shot generation and penalty threat give them a realistic chance of leaving Istanbul with a result — and possibly turning the tie into a second-leg shootout in England.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Fenerbahce

Starting 11
-Ederson
GK6.82
-Mert Müldür
DL6.92
-Jayden Oosterwolde
DC6.79
-Milan Skriniar
DC7.23
-Nélson Semedo
DR6.63
-N'Golo Kanté
DMC
-Mattéo Guendouzi
DMC
-Kerem Aktürkoglu
AML7.08
-Fred
AMC6.52
-Marco Asensio
AMR6.75
-Anderson Talisca
FW7.30

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Stefan Ortega
GK
-Neco Williams
DL6.90
-Morato
DC6.83
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.92
-Ola Aina
DR6.47
-Nicolás Domínguez
DMC6.88
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.78
-Callum Hudson-Odoi
AML7.04
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.45
-Omari Hutchinson
AMR
-Igor Jesus
FW7.15
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 matches
FenerbahcevsNottingham

radarTeam Profile

Fenerbahce
Nottingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
47Attack72
shield
68Defense66
swap_horiz
66Possession67
gps_fixed
62Efficiency77
auto_fix_high
44Creativity48
gavel
34Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored15
7Goals Conceded7
3Clean Sheets4
19Big Chances32
12Big Chances Missed21
1Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

121Total Shots128
50Shots on Target56

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.5%Avg Possession54.3%
4,043Total Passes3,998
84.8%Pass Accuracy86.0%

shieldDefending

155Tackles129
64Interceptions56
21Saves11
50.8%Duels Won50.9%

gavelDiscipline

79Fouls112
30Yellow Cards18
1Red Cards1
21Offsides7

analyticsOther

42Corners39
52Successful Dribbles62
6.93Avg Rating6.92

Statistical Comparison

FenerbahceMetricNottingham
10
Goals
14
8
Assists
5
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
29.6
Average Age
26.4
181.3
Average Height (cm)
183.3
1.1
Shots pg
1.2
44%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.6
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Fenerbahce

PosTeamPWDLPts
18Lille840412
19Fenerbahçe833212
20Panathinaikos833212

For Nottingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
12Ferencvaros843115
13Nottingham Forest842214
14Viktoria Plzen835014

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.5/ 100.4
Dangerous Attacks
52.1/ 94.9
37.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
16.3
Total Shots
13.8
58.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Fenerbahce Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
0
Nottingham Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 0

Recent Form Stats

MarketFenerbahceNottingham
Over 1.5 Goals
76%28/37
78%29/37
Over 2.5 Goals
54%20/37
54%20/37
Both Teams to Score
59%22/37
41%15/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Fenerbahce

Tr1
Trabzonspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Genclerbirligi
TrC
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Erzurum BB
Tr1
Kocaelispor
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
UEL
FCSB
1 - 1
Fenerbahçe
Tr1
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Göztepe Izmir

Home Games: Fenerbahce

Tr1
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Genclerbirligi
TrC
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Erzurum BB
Tr1
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Göztepe Izmir
UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 1
Aston Villa
TrC
Fenerbahçe
1 - 2
Besiktas
Tr1
Fenerbahçe
4 - 0
Konyaspor

Last 6: Nottingham

EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
UEL
Nottingham Forest
4 - 0
Ferencvaros
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest

Away Games: Nottingham

EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
West Ham
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest

history Recent Form

FenerbahceFenerbahce
2.3 GPG
W
W
W
D
W
NottinghamNottingham
1.3 GPG
D
L
D
W
D

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Fenerbahce
2.30
Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.30

Fenerbahce is +77% better in terms of Points Per Game

Trabzonspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Gençlerbirliği
Kocaelispor
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Göztepe
Alanyaspor
2 - 3
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal

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