Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA Prediction & Tips | Serie C - Second stage | FootballTips.app
Ferroviaria
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 13 September
Paysandu PA
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.80
X3.23
24.01
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.15 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
54%
24%
22%
Ferroviaria
Draw
Paysandu PA
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 1.72 | 2.05 | +10.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.81 | 2.39 | 1.95 | -24.4% |
| Ferroviária Win | 1.92 | 1.85 | 2.20 | +4.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 4.15 | 3.72 | -21.8% |
| Paysandu Win | 3.15 | 4.60 | 3.61 | -31.5% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.94 | -0.4% |
| BTTS - No | 1.90 | 2.26 | 2.06 | -15.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 20 matchesFerroviariavsPaysandu PA
1.25Goals / Match1.35
0.90Conceded / Match1.45
9Clean Sheets3
51.8%Possession %57.0%
83.3%Pass Accuracy %81.0%
radarTeam Profile
Ferroviaria
Paysandu PA
sports_soccer
32Attack39
shield
67Defense40
swap_horiz
62Possession65
gps_fixed
32Efficiency31
auto_fix_high
25Creativity29
gavel
4Discipline8
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
25Goals Scored27
18Goals Conceded29
9Clean Sheets3
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
294Total Shots331
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.8%Avg Possession57.0%
8,094Total Passes7,765
83.3%Pass Accuracy81.0%
shieldDefending
730Interceptions653
58Saves65
48.6%Duels Won47.2%
gavelDiscipline
340Fouls281
66Yellow Cards60
5Red Cards5
24Offsides25
analyticsOther
116Corners149
183Successful Dribbles208
history Recent Form
FerroviariaW
W
D
L
W
Paysandu PAW
L
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL18 Aug 2026
4-0
PL20 Oct 2025
2-2
PL30 Jun 2025
2-1
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
2 / 3 matches
Ferroviaria CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Paysandu PA CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
18 Aug 2026
Ferroviária
4 - 0
Paysandu
20 Oct 2025
Ferroviária
2 - 2
Paysandu
30 Jun 2025
Paysandu
2 - 1
Ferroviária
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
1.33
Ferroviaria is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game
Ferroviária
1 - 0
Confiança
Ferroviária
4 - 0
Paysandu
Ferroviária
0 - 0
Maranhão
Ferroviária
0 - 1
Caxias
Ferroviária
2 - 0
Inter de Limeira
Ituano
0 - 1
Paysandu
Ferroviária
4 - 0
Paysandu
Amazonas
2 - 1
Paysandu
Ypiranga Erechim
1 - 0
Paysandu
Maranhão
0 - 1
Paysandu
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