Finn Harps vs Kerry Prediction & Tips | Division 1 | FootballTips.app
Finn Harps
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 2 October
Kerry
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
14.23
X3.59
21.76
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #10 vs Away #6
Season: Home 0.76 PPG vs Away 1.36 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.81 GPG vs Away 1.06 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
36%
27%
37%
Finn Harps
Draw
Kerry
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.05 | 2.09 | 2.18 | -2.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 1.91 | 1.84 | -9.6% |
| Finn Harps Win | 3.60 | 2.74 | 4.02 | +31.2% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.74 | 3.57 | -14.4% |
| Kerry Win | 1.90 | 2.72 | 2.12 | -30.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.99 | +0.3% |
| BTTS - No | 1.85 | 2.21 | 2.01 | -16.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Finn Harps
Starting 11
7Bernardo dos Santos Monteiro
6.33
8Max Hutchison
CM6.44
10Tony McNamee
LM6.39
14Darragh Coyle
RM6.05
18Ciaron Harkin
CM6.52
23Finn Mckenlay
CM6.28
28Aaron McLaughlin
CAM6.11
34James McAteer
6.38
5Oran Brogan
CB6.33
6Joel Bradley Walsh
CB6.32
1Corey Sheridan
GK6.26
Substitutes
16Bridel Bosakani
CF5.45
17Conor McGranaghan
4.22
20Guilherme Rego Priosti
CAM5.85
24Adam McDaid
CM5.52
45Charlie Bonner
3Ronan Ferns
LB6.38
35Troy Preston
5.88
25Lorenzo Piaia Barbosa
GK6.25
Kerry
Starting 11
10Cian Murphy
CF6.65
17Cian Brosnan
LW5.37
7Sean McGrath
CAM6.44
23Ryan Perez
RM6.48
24Vincent Borden
CM6.55
28Niall Brookwell
CDM6.47
3Sean O'Connell
LB6.38
14Jonas Häkkinen
CB6.43
18Samuel Aladesanusi
CB6.45
29Ewan Lee
CB6.33
1Matthew Connor
GK6.50
Substitutes
21Luke Palmer
CF5.98
38Colin Healy
3.19
34Robert Keane
CAM6.36
35Arran Healy
CM6.39
-Charlie Campbell
-Callum McCormack
44Harry Halwax
5.97
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
Finn HarpsL
L
L
L
L
KerryL
W
L
L
W
group Head to Head
PL24 Jul 2026
2-1
PL8 May 2026
1-0
PL20 Mar 2026
1-0
PL13 Oct 2025
1-1
PL8 Aug 2025
0-1
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
8 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
4 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
7%
1 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
7 / 14 matches
Finn Harps CS
36%
Clean Sheets
Kerry CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
24 Jul 2026
Kerry
2 - 1
Finn Harps
8 May 2026
Finn Harps
1 - 0
Kerry
20 Mar 2026
Kerry
1 - 0
Finn Harps
13 Oct 2025
Finn Harps
1 - 1
Kerry
8 Aug 2025
Kerry
0 - 1
Finn Harps
18 Apr 2025
Finn Harps
4 - 2
Kerry
27 Sept 2024
Kerry
1 - 1
Finn Harps
4 Jul 2024
Finn Harps
1 - 0
Kerry
24 May 2024
Kerry
2 - 0
Finn Harps
22 Mar 2024
Finn Harps
0 - 0
Kerry
29 Sept 2023
Finn Harps
2 - 1
Kerry
28 Jul 2023
Kerry
1 - 2
Finn Harps
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.00
Form (Overall)
0.81
Finn Harps is +23% better in terms of Points Per Game
Finn Harps
0 - 1
Longford Town
Finn Harps
0 - 1
Athlone Town
Finn Harps
1 - 3
Cobh Ramblers
Finn Harps
0 - 3
Cork City
Finn Harps
0 - 1
Bray Wanderers
Athlone Town
3 - 0
Kerry
Longford Town
0 - 1
Kerry
Sligo Rovers
4 - 0
Kerry
Cork City
3 - 1
Kerry
Bray Wanderers
0 - 4
Kerry
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