France vs Belgium Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

France

France

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Monday 5 October
Belgium

Belgium

Away
FranceTimelineBelgium
1st Half
Lukebakio D. (Lavia R.)
sports_soccer
35'
2nd Half
Lavia R.
57'
Olise M.Out: Dembele O.
sync_alt
60'
Cherki R.Out: Akliouche M.
sync_alt
60'
Da Cunha L.Out: Kone M.
sync_alt
60'
Lacroix M.
69'
De Ketelaere C.Out: Lukaku R.
sync_alt
70'
Godts M.Out: Lukebakio D.
sync_alt
70'
Doue D.Out: Barcola B.
sync_alt
72'
Seys J.
75'
Doue D. (Da Cunha L.)
sports_soccer
77'
Cherki R.Assist: Olise M.
sports_soccer
81'
Keita M.Out: Lavia R.
sync_alt
87'
Openda L.Out: Moreira D.
sync_alt
87'
Trossard L.Out: Vanaken H.
sync_alt
87'
Rabiot A.Out: Camavinga E.
sync_alt
87'
Olise M. (Doue D.)
sports_soccer
88'
Olise M. (Doue D.)
sports_soccer
90+1'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
11.51
X4.55
25.44

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.17 GPG vs Away 3.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%
29%
28%
France
Draw
Belgium
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.501.69-11.4%
Under 2.5 Goals2.602.44+6.5%
France Win1.352.36-42.8%
Draw4.603.40+35.5%
Belgium Win6.005.61+6.9%
BTTS - Yes1.621.74-6.7%
BTTS - No2.282.36-3.3%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Probable lineups · avg. SofaScore & WhoScored rating when both present

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

France

Starting 11
16Mike Maignan
G7.13
5Jules Koundé
D7.20
22Jérémy Jacquet
D7.55
17Maxence Lacroix
D7.27
3Adrien Truffert
D7.10
9Rayan Cherki
M7.03
6Eduardo Camavinga
M7.10
8Manu Koné
M7.20
11Michael Olise
M7.63
19Esteban Lepaul
F6.20
12Bradley Barcola
F6.63

Belgium

Starting 11
1Senne Lammens
G8.33
21Timothy Castagne
D6.77
15Nathan Ngoy
D7.30
4Brandon Mechele
D7.43
18Joaquin Seys
D6.90
23Nicolas Raskin
M6.60
6Roméo Lavia
M7.10
10Leandro Trossard
F6.50
14Dodi Lukebakio
M7.40
17Charles De Ketelaere
F6.97
7Mika Godts
F7.47
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Team comparison

Probable lineups context · sofascore

FranceStatBelgium
3Matches (competition)3
1Goals per game1.67
0.33Goals conceded per game0.33
1.19xG per game1.68
6.33Shots on target per game6.67
2.33Shots on target against per game7
64.67Average possession %44.33
2Clean sheets2
7.91Average Sofascore rating7.7
1.67Big chances per game2.67

Match Preview

Dayot Upamecano's late red card had no impact on the scoreline on Friday night as France were held to a point by Italy following Alessandro Bastoni's equaliser. The hosts have taken seven points from a possible nine in the Nations League so far.

Belgium produced the perfect response to their narrow defeat against France when they hosted Türkiye on Friday, cruising to a 3-0 win thanks to Kevin De Bruyne's brace. Mark van Bommel's men have won five of their last seven international matches.

Statistical Comparison

FranceMetricBelgium
3
Goals
5
3
Assists
5
6.9
Average Ratings
6.7
25.5
Average Age
27
183.5
Average Height (cm)
185.2
1.5
Shots pg
1.2
53%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
1.4
Dribbles pg
0.9
2.1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

FranceFrance
2.2 GPG
BelgiumBelgium
2.0 GPG
W
L
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL28 Sept 2026
Belgium
0-1
France
PL14 Oct 2024
Belgium
1-2
France
PL9 Sept 2024
France
2-0
Belgium
PL1 Jul 2024
France
1-0
Belgium
PL7 Oct 2021
Belgium
2-3
France
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
43%
3 / 7 matches
France CS
57%
Clean Sheets
Belgium CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Sept 2026
Belgium
0 - 1
France
14 Oct 2024
Belgium
1 - 2
France
9 Sept 2024
France
2 - 0
Belgium
1 Jul 2024
France
1 - 0
Belgium
7 Oct 2021
Belgium
2 - 3
France
10 Jul 2018
France
1 - 0
Belgium
7 Jun 2015
France
3 - 4
Belgium

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
France
2.20
Form (Overall)
Belgium
2.00

France is +10% better in terms of Points Per Game

Belgium
3 - 0
Turkey
Belgium
0 - 1
France
Italy
0 - 2
Belgium
Spain
2 - 1
Belgium
USMNT
1 - 4
Belgium

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