Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Freiburg

Freiburg

Home
Full Time
0 - 3
HT: 0 - 2
Wednesday 20 May
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Away
FreiburgTimelineAston Villa
1st Half
Treu P.
5'
Buendia E.
15'
Cash M.
21'
Tielemans Y.Assist: Rogers M.
sports_soccer
41'
Buendia E. (McGinn J.)
sports_soccer
45+3'
2nd Half
Rogers M. (Buendia E.)
sports_soccer
58'
Rosenfelder M.Out: Lienhart P.
sync_alt
61'
Holer L.Out: Hofler N.
sync_alt
61'
Onana A.Out: Lindelof V.
sync_alt
66'
Scherhant D.Out: Grifo V.
sync_alt
73'
Makengo J.Out: Kubler L.
sync_alt
73'
Sancho J.Out: Buendia E.
sync_alt
81'
Maatsen I.Out: Digne L.
sync_alt
81'
McGinn J.
84'
Gunter C.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
86'
Mings T.Out: Torres P.
sync_alt
88'
Douglas LuizOut: Tielemans Y.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

0.21Expected goals (xG)2.08
51%Ball possession49%
4Total shots17
2Shots on target6
0Big chances2
1Corner kicks8
84% (309/367)Passes86% (306/356)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

0.21Expected goals (xG)2.08
0.30xG on target (xGOT)2.31
4Total shots17
2Shots on target6
2Shots off target6
0Blocked shots5
3Shots inside the box11
1Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

0Big chances2
1Corner kicks8
12Touches in opposition box32
0Accurate through passes2
5Offsides2
15Free kicks15

Passes

84% (309/367)Passes86% (306/356)
45% (21/47)Long passes52% (22/42)
54% (38/70)Passes in final third74% (73/98)
14% (2/14)Crosses33% (5/15)
0.18Expected assists (xA)1.32
9Throw ins14

Defense

15Fouls15
63% (10/16)Tackles44% (4/9)
44Duels won39
17Clearances15
7Interceptions3
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
2.31xGOT faced0.30
-0.69Goals prevented0.30
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
15.38
X3.81
21.68

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

88%
5%
7%
Freiburg
Draw
Aston Villa

Match Preview

A first major European trophy is within touching distance for Freiburg, while Aston Villa attempt to end a 44-year wait for continental silverware when the two sides meet in the UEFA Europa League final in Istanbul.

This is the first competitive meeting between the clubs and the first Europa League final since 2019/20 to feature two sides facing one another for the very first time. Both arrive having overturned first-leg semi-final deficits in emphatic fashion. Freiburg recovered from defeat in Portugal to beat Braga 3-1 in Germany, while Aston Villa produced perhaps the performance of the competition so far by dismantling Nottingham Forest 4-0 at Villa Park.

For Freiburg, this is uncharted territory. Julian Schuster’s side are appearing in the club’s first European final and only the second major final in their history following the 2022 DFB-Pokal defeat to RB Leipzig. Their rise has been built on cohesion, relentless midfield intensity and impressive attacking productivity. Freiburg have scored 25 Europa League goals this season, the most ever by the club in European competition.

Villa, by contrast, return to a European final for the first time since lifting the European Cup in 1982. Unai Emery’s pedigree looms over the occasion. The Spaniard has won this competition four times and reaches his sixth major European final overall, a level of experience almost unmatched in the modern era.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.68
-Philipp Treu
DL6.77
-Matthias Ginter
DC7.16
-Philipp Lienhart
DC6.79
-Lukas Kübler
DR6.72
-Nicolas Höfler
DMC6.40
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC7.01
-Vincenzo Grifo
AML7.02
-Johan Manzambi
AMC7.27
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.98
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.93

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK7.00
-Lucas Digne
DL6.67
-Pau Torres
DC6.84
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.87
-Matty Cash
DR6.71
-Youri Tielemans
DMC7.18
-Victor Lindelöf
DMC6.48
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.95
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.99
-John McGinn
AMR6.94
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.82
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 14 / 22 matches
FreiburgvsAston Villa

radarTeam Profile

Freiburg
Aston Villa
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack27
shield
69Defense14
swap_horiz
52Possession24
gps_fixed
79Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
44Creativity20
gavel
50Discipline40

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

25Goals Scored37
10Goals Conceded41
5Clean Sheets4
2Penalty Goals2

gavelDiscipline

22Yellow Cards49
1Red Cards4

Statistical Comparison

FreiburgMetricAston Villa
25
Goals
28
18
Assists
21
6.7
Average Ratings
6.7
28.2
Average Age
29.4
183.4
Average Height (cm)
182.9
0.9
Shots pg
1
51%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

FreiburgFreiburg
1.6 GPG
W
L
D
L
W
Aston VillaAston Villa
1.7 GPG
W
D
L
L
W

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.60
Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.70

Aston Villa is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game

Freiburg
4 - 1
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Freiburg
Freiburg
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Heidenheim
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Liverpool
Burnley
2 - 2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
1 - 0
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.