Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Freiburg

Freiburg

Home
Full Time
3 - 3
HT: 2 - 2
Saturday 7 March
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
FreiburgTimelineBayer Leverkusen
1st Half
Grifo V. (Gunter C.)
sports_soccer
34'
Kofane C. (Terrier M.)
sports_soccer
37'
Suzuki Y. (Treu P.)
sports_soccer
43'
Grimaldo A.
sports_soccer
45+3'
2nd Half
Grimaldo A.
51'
Terrier M. (Kofane C.)
sports_soccer
52'
Makengo J.Out: Gunter C.
sync_alt
62'
Scherhant D.Out: Grifo V.
sync_alt
62'
Tillman M.Out: Maza I.
sync_alt
66'
Scherhant D.
70'
Culbreath M.Out: Terrier M.
sync_alt
75'
Holer L.Out: Manzambi J.
sync_alt
75'
Irie C.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
75'
Irie C.
78'
Quansah J.
82'
Oermann T.Out: Poku E.
sync_alt
82'
Palacios E.Out: Fernandez E.
sync_alt
82'
Ginter M. (Scherhant D.)
sports_soccer
86'
Andrich R.
90+2'
Gunter C.
90+3'

Top stats

2.67Expected goals (xG)2.11
47%Ball possession53%
21Total shots17
9Shots on target5
6Big chances4
5Corner kicks2
88% (408/465)Passes88% (466/532)
3Yellow cards3

Shots

2.67Expected goals (xG)2.11
2.62xG on target (xGOT)2.40
21Total shots17
9Shots on target5
7Shots off target7
5Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box8
10Shots outside the box9
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

6Big chances4
5Corner kicks2
36Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
8Free kicks7

Passes

88% (408/465)Passes88% (466/532)
34% (12/35)Long passes50% (26/52)
83% (128/154)Passes in final third85% (140/165)
48% (11/23)Crosses50% (6/12)
3.17Expected assists (xA)1.24
11Throw ins14

Defense

7Fouls8
63% (10/16)Tackles50% (6/12)
49Duels won45
16Clearances26
6Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6
2.40xGOT faced2.62
-0.60Goals prevented-0.38
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.99
X3.50
22.46

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
68
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.38 PPG vs Away 1.79 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.91 GPG vs Away 1.67 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

25%
31%
44%
Freiburg
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen

Match Preview

At Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg will clash with Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga showdown on March 7, 2026 GMT.

Freiburg, positioned 8th, faces the 6th-placed Bayer Leverkusen as they aim to secure a victory.

Freiburg has accumulated 33 points compared to Bayer Leverkusen's 43 points this season.

In terms of statistical data, Freiburg has been dominant with 5 wins in their last 6 home matches, while Bayer Leverkusen boasts 3 wins in their recent 6 away fixtures.

Looking at their head-to-head encounters, Freiburg has struggled, having lost 22 matches out of 41 against Bayer Leverkusen.

Our algorithm predicts a 1-2 victory for Bayer Leverkusen in this encounter.

Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win 1-2.

Freiburg were heading for a point away from home against Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend before conceding twice in the final 26 minutes of their trip to Deutsche Bank Park. Julian Schuster's men will welcome a return home to Europa-Park Stadion, where they have won six of their last seven league games.

They won't have it all their own way on Saturday, though, as they host Bayer Leverkusen. Die Werkself beat newly promoted Hamburg 1-0 in midweek thanks to Christian Kofane's second-half strike. The visitors have lost just one of their last seven Bundesliga fixtures heading into gameweek 25.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.63
-Christian Günter
DL6.35
-Bruno Ogbus
DC6.47
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.88
-Philipp Treu
DR6.43
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.77
-Johan Manzambi
DMC6.73
-Derry Scherhant
AML6.44
-Yuito Suzuki
AMC6.63
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.72
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.61

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Janis Blaswich
GK6.89
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC7.05
-Robert Andrich
DC6.54
-Jarell Quansah
DC6.84
-Alejandro Grimaldo
DML7.27
-Ezequiél Fernández
MC6.46
-Aleix García
MC6.85
-Montrell Culbreath
DMR6.95
-Ernest Poku
AMC6.66
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC6.93
-Christian Kofane
FW6.63
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 / 19 matches
FreiburgvsBayer Leverkusen

radarTeam Profile

Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack40
shield
40Defense45
swap_horiz
43Possession34
gps_fixed
66Efficiency72
auto_fix_high
23Creativity25
gavel
57Discipline51

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

34Goals Scored29
39Goals Conceded28
5Clean Sheets3
48Big Chances26
28Big Chances Missed12
5Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

290Total Shots255
96Shots on Target89

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.5%Avg Possession49.5%
9,654Total Passes7,287
80.8%Pass Accuracy73.4%

shieldDefending

331Tackles344
215Interceptions173
72Saves49
51.4%Duels Won50.1%

gavelDiscipline

231Fouls215
36Yellow Cards25
3Red Cards3
48Offsides61

analyticsOther

107Corners98
134Successful Dribbles114
9Errors Leading to Goal3
6.76Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

FreiburgMetricBayer Leverkusen
32
Goals
44
17
Assists
32
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
25.3
Average Age
25
183.1
Average Height (cm)
181.8
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
50%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Freiburg

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Eintracht Frankfurt2497834
8Freiburg2496933
9Augsburg24941131

For Bayer Leverkusen

PosTeamPWDLPts
5RB Leipzig24135644
6Bayer Leverkusen24134743
7Eintracht Frankfurt2497834

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.9/ 91.8
Dangerous Attacks
46.6/ 105.8
34.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
13.1
Total Shots
13.3
49.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Freiburg Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketFreiburgBayer Leverkusen
Over 1.5 Goals
75%27/36
86%31/36
Over 2.5 Goals
50%18/36
53%19/36
Both Teams to Score
50%18/36
50%18/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Freiburg

De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Köln
UEL
Freiburg
1 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
De1
Freiburg
1 - 1
Borussia Dortmund

Home Games: Freiburg

De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Köln
UEL
Freiburg
1 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
De1
Freiburg
1 - 1
Borussia Dortmund

Last 6: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
2 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen

Away Games: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
2 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen

history Recent Form

FreiburgFreiburg
1.4 GPG
L
W
L
W
L
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.8 GPG
W
D
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL26 Oct 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
Freiburg
PL4 May 2025
Freiburg
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
PL21 Dec 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1
Freiburg
PL17 Mar 2024
Freiburg
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
PL29 Oct 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
Freiburg
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
24 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
11 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
18 / 32 matches
Freiburg CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Bayer Leverkusen CS
41%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

26 Oct 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 0
Freiburg
4 May 2025
Freiburg
2 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
21 Dec 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5 - 1
Freiburg
17 Mar 2024
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
29 Oct 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg
26 Feb 2023
Freiburg
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
3 Sept 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg
14 May 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg
19 Dec 2021
Freiburg
2 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
28 Feb 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 2
Freiburg
1 Nov 2020
Freiburg
2 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
29 May 2020
Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.38
Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.79

Bayer Leverkusen is +30% better in terms of Points Per Game

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen

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