Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Freiburg

Freiburg

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Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

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Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
16.75
X5.91
21.37

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #1
Season: Home 2.17 PPG vs Away 2.33 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.67 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%
24%
35%
Freiburg
Draw
Bayern Munich
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.241.62-23.3%
Under 2.5 Goals4.052.62+54.5%
Freiburg Win5.752.41+138.9%
Draw5.704.20+35.7%
Bayern München Win1.372.89-52.5%
BTTS - Yes1.391.70-18.3%
BTTS - No2.882.43+18.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Mio Backhaus
GK6.34
-Jordy Makengo
DL7.16
-Philipp Lienhart
DC7.06
-Matthias Ginter
DC7.39
-Philipp Treu
DR6.78
-Patrick Osterhage
DMC6.20
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC7.23
-Derry Scherhant
AML7.19
-Lucas Höler
AMC6.13
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.95
-Igor Matanovic
FW7.76

Bayern Munich

Starting 11
-Manuel Neuer
GK6.76
-Nathaniel Brown
DL6.66
-Jonathan Tah
DC6.97
-Dayot Upamecano
DC7.38
-Josip Stanisic
DR6.59
-Tom Bischof
DMC6.45
-Aleksandar Pavlovic
DMC7.56
-Serge Gnabry
AML6.28
-Lennart Karl
AMC6.49
-Michael Olise
AMR8.24
-Harry Kane
FW8.11
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Freiburg watched their unbeaten start to the campaign come to an end in gameweek six as they lost 2-1 on the road to a red-hot Bayer Leverkusen side. Julian Schuster's men followed that up with a 3-0 defeat to Monaco in the Europa League.

Bayern Munich were held to a draw by Arsenal in the Champions League on Wednesday night in a star-studded encounter at the Allianz Arena. With a 6-1 win against RB Leipzig, Vincent Kompany's side moved to the top of the Bundesliga standings last weekend.

Statistical Comparison

FreiburgMetricBayern Munich
15
Goals
21
11
Assists
20
6.7
Average Ratings
7
26.7
Average Age
26.8
186.2
Average Height (cm)
182.9
1.1
Shots pg
1.6
55%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.8
1
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

FreiburgFreiburg
3.0 GPG
W
W
W
W
W
Bayern MunichBayern Munich
1.7 GPG
D
D
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL4 Apr 2026
Freiburg
2-3
Bayern München
PL22 Nov 2025
Bayern München
6-2
Freiburg
PL25 Jan 2025
Freiburg
1-2
Bayern München
PL1 Sept 2024
Bayern München
2-0
Freiburg
PL1 Mar 2024
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern München
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
91%
30 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
24 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
14 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
21 / 33 matches
Freiburg CS
3%
Clean Sheets
Bayern Munich CS
36%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Apr 2026
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
22 Nov 2025
Bayern München
6 - 2
Freiburg
25 Jan 2025
Freiburg
1 - 2
Bayern München
1 Sept 2024
Bayern München
2 - 0
Freiburg
1 Mar 2024
Freiburg
2 - 2
Bayern München
8 Oct 2023
Bayern München
3 - 0
Freiburg
8 Apr 2023
Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayern München
4 Apr 2023
Bayern München
1 - 2
Freiburg
16 Oct 2022
Bayern München
5 - 0
Freiburg
2 Apr 2022
Freiburg
1 - 4
Bayern München
6 Nov 2021
Bayern München
2 - 1
Freiburg
15 May 2021
Freiburg
2 - 2
Bayern München

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Freiburg
3.00
Form (Overall)
Bayern Munich
1.67

Freiburg is +80% better in terms of Points Per Game

Freiburg
3 - 2
Jablonec
Freiburg
2 - 1
Schalke 04
Freiburg
4 - 2
Luzern
Freiburg
5 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
Freiburg
4 - 1
Werder Bremen
Viking
3 - 3
Bayern München
Augsburg
2 - 2
Bayern München
Elversberg
1 - 2
Bayern München
Schalke 04
0 - 0
Bayern München
Osnabrück
1 - 4
Bayern München

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