Freiburg vs Braga Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Freiburg

Freiburg

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Thursday 7 May
Braga

Braga

Away
FreiburgTimelineBraga
1st Half
Dorgeles M.
6'
Kubler L.
sports_soccer
19'
Manzambi J.Assist: Treu P.
sports_soccer
41'
2nd Half
Victor P.
62'
Gorby
65'
Gabriel MoscardoOut: Vitor Carvalho
sync_alt
65'
Navarro F.Out: Zalazar R.
sync_alt
65'
Tiknaz D. E.
71'
Kubler L. (Grifo V.)
sports_soccer
72'
Martinez G.Out: Tiknaz D. E.
sync_alt
77'
Victor P. (Gomez V.)
sports_soccer
79'
Makengo J.Out: Kubler L.
sync_alt
80'
Ogbus B.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
81'
Holer L.Out: Grifo V.
sync_alt
90+2'
Martinez G.
90+4'

Top stats

1.69Expected goals (xG)1.55
66%Ball possession34%
19Total shots14
8Shots on target5
3Big chances3
4Corner kicks8
85% (427/502)Passes68% (171/250)
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

Shots

1.69Expected goals (xG)1.55
2.67xG on target (xGOT)1.10
19Total shots14
8Shots on target5
7Shots off target3
4Blocked shots6
13Shots inside the box7
6Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances3
4Corner kicks8
39Touches in opposition box28
1Accurate through passes1
1Offsides1
10Free kicks16

Passes

85% (427/502)Passes68% (171/250)
39% (24/61)Long passes29% (15/52)
75% (115/154)Passes in final third57% (52/91)
24% (5/21)Crosses33% (6/18)
1.31Expected assists (xA)1.59
25Throw ins17

Defense

16Fouls10
53% (8/15)Tackles88% (14/16)
50Duels won48
29Clearances43
6Interceptions3
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves5
1.10xGOT faced2.67
0.10Goals prevented-0.33
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.76
X3.78
24.77

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
47
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.25 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

50%
27%
23%
Freiburg
Draw
Braga

Match Preview

A one-goal margin rarely feels decisive at this stage, and Freiburg return home knowing that their formidable Europa-Park Stadion record offers both opportunity and obligation. Trailing 2-1 from the first leg, the German side must overturn a deficit against a Braga team that has made a habit of navigating adversity in this competition.

In Portugal, the game unfolded at a relentless tempo. Early strikes from Demir Ege Tıknaz and Mario Dorgeles handed Braga control before Vincenzo Grifo pulled Freiburg back into the tie. That goal ensured the deficit remained narrow, but it also underscored the balance between these sides: both capable of creating, neither entirely secure without the ball.

At home, Freiburg have been close to flawless. Six wins from six in this season’s Europa League, conceding just twice, reflects a level of control that has defined their European campaign. More broadly, they have won ten consecutive home matches in the competition, a run that places them on the brink of equalling the all-time record. Crucially, they have not trailed for a single second in any of those home fixtures.

Yet momentum tells a different story. Julian Schuster’s side arrive winless in four across all competitions, their rhythm disrupted at precisely the wrong time. Defensive lapses have crept in, and their recent inability to control matches contrasts with the authority they have shown in Europe earlier in the season.

Braga, meanwhile, travel with confidence tempered by caution. Their 2-1 first-leg victory gives them the advantage, but recent history offers a warning: Portuguese sides have struggled to convert such leads into progression at this stage of the Europa League. Still, their broader form is strong, with just one defeat in their last nine matches, and their capacity to respond in knockout ties has already been demonstrated earlier in this campaign.

The tension lies in contrast. Freiburg’s home dominance against Braga’s resilience and experience in managing two-legged ties. One will be forced to open up; the other will wait for moments to exploit.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.68
-Jordy Makengo
DL6.47
-Philipp Lienhart
DC6.81
-Matthias Ginter
DC7.14
-Philipp Treu
DR6.71
-Johan Manzambi
DMC7.22
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC7.05
-Vincenzo Grifo
AML6.96
-Maximilian Philipp
AMC
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.96
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.92

Braga

Starting 11
-Lukás Hornícek
GK6.94
-Gustaf Lagerbielke
DL6.87
-Paulo Oliveira
DC6.61
-Vítor Carvalho
DC6.66
-Víctor Gómez
DR6.85
-Jean-Baptiste Gorby
MC6.51
-João Moutinho
MC6.35
-Demir Ege Tiknaz
MC6.91
-Mario Dorgeles
FWL6.60
-Pau Víctor
FW6.73
-Rodrigo Zalazar
FWR6.84
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 13 matches
FreiburgvsBraga

radarTeam Profile

Freiburg
Braga
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
50Attack41
shield
72Defense72
swap_horiz
50Possession60
gps_fixed
77Efficiency93
auto_fix_high
43Creativity31
gavel
49Discipline42

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

22Goals Scored22
9Goals Conceded11
5Clean Sheets7
27Big Chances28
15Big Chances Missed13
2Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

172Total Shots128
65Shots on Target52

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.8%Avg Possession55.0%
5,171Total Passes6,776
81.5%Pass Accuracy85.1%

shieldDefending

232Tackles231
123Interceptions90
36Saves37
50.9%Duels Won52.1%

gavelDiscipline

159Fouls155
22Yellow Cards29
1Red Cards1
15Offsides17

analyticsOther

58Corners58
99Successful Dribbles71
2Errors Leading to Goal2
6.94Avg Rating6.88

Statistical Comparison

FreiburgMetricBraga
22
Goals
21
16
Assists
13
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
27
Average Age
26.5
184.4
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.5
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

FreiburgFreiburg
1.6 GPG
D
L
W
W
L
BragaBraga
1.8 GPG
D
L
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL30 Apr 2026
Sporting Braga
2-1
Freiburg
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
Freiburg CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Braga CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

30 Apr 2026
Sporting Braga
2 - 1
Freiburg

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.60
Form (Overall)
Braga
1.80

Braga is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game

Freiburg
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
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4 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Heidenheim
Mainz 05
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Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München
Sporting Braga
1 - 1
GD Estoril Praia
Santa Clara
2 - 1
Sporting Braga
Casa Pia
0 - 1
Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Famalicão
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
FC Arouca

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