Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Freiburg

Freiburg

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 16 May
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
FreiburgTimelineRB Leipzig
1st Half
Beste J.
sports_soccer
24'
Matanovic I.Assist: Manzambi J.
sports_soccer
26'
Ouedraogo A. (Diomande Y.)
sports_soccer
33'
2nd Half
Ginter M. (Makengo J.)
sports_soccer
47'
Grifo V.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
60'
Kubler L.Out: Hofler N.
sync_alt
60'
Baku R.Out: Henrichs B.
sync_alt
63'
Nusa A.Out: Gruda B.
sync_alt
63'
Ogbus B.Out: Ginter M.
sync_alt
72'
Holer L.Out: Manzambi J.
sync_alt
72'
Gomis T.Out: Seiwald N.
sync_alt
73'
Romulo CardosoOut: Harder C.
sync_alt
73'
Scherhant D. (Matanovic I.)
sports_soccer
75'
Baumgartner C.
77'
Bakayoko J.Out: Diomande Y.
sync_alt
80'
Philipp M.Out: Matanovic I.
sync_alt
86'

Top stats

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.25
41%Ball possession59%
11Total shots14
5Shots on target6
5Big chances4
1Corner kicks2
81% (280/346)Passes88% (429/490)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.25
2.16xG on target (xGOT)1.31
11Total shots14
5Shots on target6
5Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box10
2Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

5Big chances4
1Corner kicks2
25Touches in opposition box28
1Accurate through passes1
1Offsides1
7Free kicks13

Passes

81% (280/346)Passes88% (429/490)
53% (26/49)Long passes55% (22/40)
61% (41/67)Passes in final third78% (81/104)
22% (2/9)Crosses27% (4/15)
1.44Expected assists (xA)1.09
14Throw ins23

Defense

13Fouls7
59% (13/22)Tackles62% (13/21)
54Duels won59
30Clearances10
8Interceptions4
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves1
1.31xGOT faced2.16
0.31Goals prevented-1.84
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.64
X4.12
22.47

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.33 PPG vs Away 1.97 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 2.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.81 GPG vs Away 1.56 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

7%
6%
86%
Freiburg
Draw
RB Leipzig

Match Preview

Igor Matanovic's brace wasn't enough to help Freiburg avoid defeat last time out as Julian Schuster's men were beaten 3-2 by an in-form Hamburg side at the Volksparkstadion. Saturday's hosts are in a late-season slump and have taken just one point from their last three games.

RB Leipzig travel to Europa Park Stadion knowing that they will finish third in the standings regardless of the result on Saturday. Die Roten Bullen beat relegation-threatened St. Pauli 2-1 last time out and have won six of their last seven Bundesliga fixtures.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.59
-Philipp Treu
DL6.44
-Philipp Lienhart
DC6.54
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.89
-Lukas Kübler
DR6.83
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.72
-Nicolas Höfler
DMC6.14
-Vincenzo Grifo
AML6.56
-Johan Manzambi
AMC6.84
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.69
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.67

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Péter Gulácsi
GK6.72
-Max Finkgräfe
DL6.43
-Castello Lukeba
DC6.94
-Willi Orbán
DC7.26
-Benjamin Henrichs
DR6.20
-Christoph Baumgartner
MC7.05
-Nicolas Seiwald
MC6.88
-Xaver Schlager
MC6.73
-Antonio Nusa
FWL7.01
-Rômulo
FW6.91
-Yan Diomande
FWR7.49
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 matches
FreiburgvsRB Leipzig

radarTeam Profile

Freiburg
RB Leipzig
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack77
shield
36Defense53
swap_horiz
45Possession72
gps_fixed
66Efficiency72
auto_fix_high
28Creativity75
gavel
61Discipline68

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

47Goals Scored65
56Goals Conceded43
6Clean Sheets11
70Big Chances120
43Big Chances Missed81
5Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

406Total Shots523
138Shots on Target198

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.2%Avg Possession53.7%
13,473Total Passes16,612
81.3%Pass Accuracy84.6%

shieldDefending

467Tackles493
284Interceptions290
97Saves83
51.4%Duels Won50.3%

gavelDiscipline

305Fouls308
50Yellow Cards51
3Red Cards0
66Offsides47

analyticsOther

139Corners178
194Successful Dribbles361
10Errors Leading to Goal6
6.77Avg Rating6.96

Statistical Comparison

FreiburgMetricRB Leipzig
45
Goals
63
27
Assists
47
6.4
Average Ratings
6.6
28.2
Average Age
26
183.4
Average Height (cm)
183.1
0.8
Shots pg
1
49%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

FreiburgFreiburg
1.3 GPG
L
D
L
W
W
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2.0 GPG
W
L
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL14 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
2-0
Freiburg
PL8 Mar 2025
Freiburg
0-0
RB Leipzig
PL26 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
PL6 Apr 2024
Freiburg
1-4
RB Leipzig
PL12 Nov 2023
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
91%
21 / 23 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
15 / 23 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
8 / 23 matches
Both Teams to Score
70%
16 / 23 matches
Freiburg CS
9%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig CS
26%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Freiburg
8 Mar 2025
Freiburg
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
26 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg
6 Apr 2024
Freiburg
1 - 4
RB Leipzig
12 Nov 2023
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg
6 May 2023
Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig
2 May 2023
Freiburg
1 - 5
RB Leipzig
9 Nov 2022
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg
21 May 2022
Freiburg
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
5 Mar 2022
RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg
16 Oct 2021
Freiburg
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
6 Mar 2021
Freiburg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.33
Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.97

RB Leipzig is +48% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Freiburg
Freiburg
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Heidenheim
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Freiburg
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach

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