Genoa vs Como Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Genoa
HomeFull Time
1 - 4
HT: 1 - 3
Friday 4 September

Como
AwayGenoaTimelineComo
1st Half
Osmajic M. (Colombo L.)
sports_soccer
19'
Baturina M. (Valle A.)
sports_soccer
25'
Diao A. ()
sports_soccer
30'
Sow D.
36'
Paz N. (Couto Y.)
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
VitinhaOut: Sabelli S.
sync_alt
46'
Baturina M.
60'
Ostigard L.
62'
Caqueret M.Out: Baturina M.
sync_alt
66'
Junior MessiasOut: Baldanzi T.
sync_alt
66'
Kean M.Out: Douvikas A.
sync_alt
66'
Ehizibue K.Out: Colombo L.
sync_alt
67'
AmorimOut: Sow D.
sync_alt
75'
Diao A. (Kean M.)
sports_soccer
78'
Ricci S.Out: Da Cunha L.
sync_alt
80'
Milla L.Out: Paz N.
sync_alt
80'
Meichtry F.Out: Marcandalli A.
sync_alt
81'
Liberali M.Out: Diao A.
sync_alt
84'
Top stats
0.67Expected goals (xG)1.54
38%Ball possession62%
11Total shots20
2Shots on target9
1Big chances3
5Corner kicks4
85% (307/360)Passes92% (568/618)
2Yellow cards1
Shots
0.67Expected goals (xG)1.54
0.53xG on target (xGOT)2.53
11Total shots20
2Shots on target9
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box9
3Shots outside the box11
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
1Big chances3
5Corner kicks4
23Touches in opposition box29
0Accurate through passes0
6Offsides2
7Free kicks8
Passes
85% (307/360)Passes92% (568/618)
33% (9/27)Long passes65% (24/37)
64% (48/75)Passes in final third84% (139/165)
38% (6/16)Crosses25% (4/16)
0.62Expected assists (xA)0.89
19Throw ins20
Defense
8Fouls7
63% (10/16)Tackles50% (8/16)
31Duels won34
21Clearances18
9Interceptions3
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
5Goalkeeper saves1
2.53xGOT faced0.53
-1.47Goals prevented-0.47
7Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.96
X3.43
21.82
Recommended Bet
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Home Win
Odds: 5.50Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 2.09 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.38 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
29%
Genoa Win
24%
Draw
47%
Como Win
Genoa
Draw
Como
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.06 | 2.17 | — | -5.1% |
| Genoa Win | 5.50 | 3.49 | 5.76 | +57.8% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 4.20 | 3.77 | -14.2% |
| Como Win | 1.70 | 2.11 | 1.78 | -19.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.80 | 1.80 | — | +0.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
The two sides have endured vastly different starts to the campaign. Genoa have suffered back-to-back defeats in their opening two matches, with De Rossi's men still searching for their first goal of the season.
Como, on the other hand, followed up a draw at Udinese with a statement win away to Napoli, proving once again that they are ready to challenge at the top end of the table this year.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Genoa
Starting 11
-Justin Bijlow
GK6.42
-Alessandro Marcandalli
DC6.08
-Leo Østigård
DC7.00
-Johan Vásquez
DC5.90
-Mikael Ellertsson
DML6.36
-Morten Frendrup
MC6.82
-Djibril Sow
MC6.18
-Mario Mitaj
DMR
-Tommaso Baldanzi
AMC6.36
-Vítinha
AMC6.00
-Lorenzo Colombo
FW6.06
Como
Starting 11
-Jean Butez
GK6.75
-Yan Couto
DL6.36
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC7.32
-Jacobo Ramón
DC6.84
-Álex Valle
DR6.64
-Máximo Perrone
DMC6.02
-Lucas da Cunha
DMC6.55
-Assane Diao
AML7.02
-Nico Paz
AMC7.25
-Martin Baturina
AMR6.83
-Tasos Douvikas
FW7.57
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 2 matchesGenoavsComo
0.00Goals / Match1.50
1.50Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets0
1.50Shots on Target / Match6.00
50.0%Possession %58.5%
86.9%Pass Accuracy %89.4%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
0Goals Scored3
3Goals Conceded2
2Big Chances4
2Big Chances Missed3
gps_fixedShooting
19Total Shots41
3Shots on Target12
swap_horizPassing & Possession
50.0%Avg Possession58.5%
996Total Passes1,192
86.9%Pass Accuracy89.4%
shieldDefending
32Tackles33
14Interceptions23
3Saves3
52.6%Duels Won51.4%
gavelDiscipline
16Fouls16
4Yellow Cards0
3Offsides0
analyticsOther
7Corners17
17Successful Dribbles16
1Errors Leading to Goal0
6.91Avg Rating7.46
Statistical Comparison
GenoaMetricComo
0
Goals
3
0
Assists
2
6.3
Average Ratings
6.7
25.3
Average Age
24
183
Average Height (cm)
181.6
0.9
Shots pg
1.9
41%
Aerial Duel Success
44%
0.7
Dribbles pg
1
1.3
Tackles pg
1.5
history Recent Form
L
L
W
D
group Head to Head
PL26 Apr 2026
0-2
PL15 Sept 2025
1-1
PL27 Apr 2025
1-0
PL7 Nov 2024
1-1
PL10 Apr 2023
2-2
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
1 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
1 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
4 / 6 matches
Genoa CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Como CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
26 Apr 2026
Genoa
0 - 2
Como
15 Sept 2025
Como
1 - 1
Genoa
27 Apr 2025
Como
1 - 0
Genoa
7 Nov 2024
Genoa
1 - 1
Como
10 Apr 2023
Como
2 - 2
Genoa
13 Nov 2022
Genoa
1 - 1
Como
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.00
Form (Overall)
1.90
Como is +90% better in terms of Points Per Game
Lazio
1 - 0
Genoa
Genoa
0 - 2
Napoli
Napoli
1 - 2
Como
Udinese
1 - 1
Como
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