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Gent vs Leuven Prediction & Tips | Jupiler Pro League | FootballTips.app

Gent

Gent

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 3 September
Leuven

Leuven

Away
GentTimelineLeuven
2nd Half
Araujo T. ()
sports_soccer
46'
Traore A. K.Out: Opoku D.
sync_alt
57'
George W.
58'
De Vlieger T.Out: Delorge M.
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64'
Balikwisha M.Out: Benes L.
sync_alt
64'
Volckaert M.Out: Wilson K.
sync_alt
64'
Van Der Heyden S.
65'
Vaesen K.Out: Lakomy L.
sync_alt
67'
Ikwuemesi C.Out: Yamada S.
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67'
Seck E. H.Out: Sonko M.
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74'
Gil O.
76'
Ogiwara T.Out: George W.
sync_alt
77'
Kayo B.Out: Dussenne N.
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77'
Omgba A.Out: Vergara J.
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88'

Top stats

0.98Expected goals (xG)0.52
43%Ball possession57%
15Total shots8
1Shots on target1
1Big chances2
10Corner kicks1
80% (313/390)Passes86% (465/540)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

0.98Expected goals (xG)0.52
0.14xG on target (xGOT)0.22
15Total shots8
1Shots on target1
10Shots off target6
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box6
8Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2
10Corner kicks1
20Touches in opposition box19
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
8Free kicks10

Passes

80% (313/390)Passes86% (465/540)
53% (30/57)Long passes54% (35/65)
59% (49/83)Passes in final third60% (62/103)
19% (5/26)Crosses39% (7/18)
1.24Expected assists (xA)1.47
28Throw ins24

Defense

10Fouls8
53% (10/19)Tackles60% (9/15)
50Duels won56
24Clearances34
9Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves0
0.22xGOT faced0.14
0.22Goals prevented-0.86
8Goal kicks10
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.63
X3.98
24.96

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 5.00Stake: Medium (6/10)
63
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #17
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

56%
23%
21%
Gent
Draw
Leuven
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.721.91-9.9%
KAA Gent Win1.651.79-7.7%
Draw4.004.36-8.2%
OH Leuven Win5.004.74+5.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Gent took full advantage of Carlos Forbs' 70th-minute red card last weekend, scoring with five minutes remaining on the clock to set up a 2-1 home win against reigning champions Club Brugge. Thursday's hosts have a 100% record in the Pro League with a game in hand on their competitors.

OH Leuven's miserable start to the season continued in gameweek four as they were beaten 2-1 on home turf by Standard Liege. Timmy Simons' side have lost three straight Pro League matches to start the season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Gent

Starting 11
-Davy Roef
GK6.83
-Christian Burgess
DC6.59
-Siebe Van der Heyden
DC6.95
-El Bachir Ngom
DC7.50
-Tiago Araújo
DML7.23
-Leonardo Lopes
MC6.69
-Mathias Delorge
MC6.67
-Matties Volckaert
DMR6.87
-Momodou Sonko
AMC7.34
-László Bénes
AMC6.00
-Josué Vergara
FW7.04

Leuven

Starting 11
-Dani van den Heuvel
GK6.36
-Noë Dussenne
DC6.87
-Roggerio Nyakossi
DC6.48
-Ewoud Pletinckx
DC6.32
-Davis Opoku
DML6.57
-Siebe Schrijvers
MC6.64
-Lukasz Lakomy
MC5.97
-Óscar Gil
DMR7.15
-Wouter George
AMC6.64
-William Balikwisha
AMC6.87
-Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
FW6.23
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 matches
GentvsLeuven
2.00Goals / Match0.67
0.67Conceded / Match2.67
1Clean Sheets0
6.33Shots on Target / Match2.33
48.3%Possession %47.3%
85.3%Pass Accuracy %80.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

6Goals Scored2
2Goals Conceded8
1Clean Sheets0
8Big Chances8
4Big Chances Missed7

gps_fixedShooting

36Total Shots50
19Shots on Target7

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.3%Avg Possession47.3%
1,506Total Passes1,273
85.3%Pass Accuracy80.4%

shieldDefending

54Tackles65
31Interceptions41
8Saves13
53.3%Duels Won45.3%

gavelDiscipline

30Fouls32
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards1
4Offsides5

analyticsOther

8Corners12
13Successful Dribbles16
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.79Avg Rating7.00

Statistical Comparison

GentMetricLeuven
6
Goals
2
4
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.4
25.9
Average Age
25.5
183
Average Height (cm)
183.8
1.2
Shots pg
1.6
54%
Aerial Duel Success
42%
0.7
Dribbles pg
1
1.8
Tackles pg
1.9

history Recent Form

GentGent
2.0 GPG
W
W
W
LeuvenLeuven
0.5 GPG
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL7 Feb 2026
KAA Gent
1-3
OH Leuven
PL2 Nov 2025
OH Leuven
4-0
KAA Gent
PL26 Jan 2025
OH Leuven
0-0
KAA Gent
PL29 Sept 2024
KAA Gent
3-0
OH Leuven
PL12 May 2024
KAA Gent
0-1
OH Leuven
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
13 / 16 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
8 / 16 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5 / 16 matches
Both Teams to Score
38%
6 / 16 matches
Gent CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Leuven CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Feb 2026
KAA Gent
1 - 3
OH Leuven
2 Nov 2025
OH Leuven
4 - 0
KAA Gent
26 Jan 2025
OH Leuven
0 - 0
KAA Gent
29 Sept 2024
KAA Gent
3 - 0
OH Leuven
12 May 2024
KAA Gent
0 - 1
OH Leuven
14 Apr 2024
OH Leuven
2 - 1
KAA Gent
21 Dec 2023
KAA Gent
4 - 0
OH Leuven
17 Sept 2023
OH Leuven
1 - 1
KAA Gent
19 Feb 2023
KAA Gent
2 - 0
OH Leuven
30 Oct 2022
OH Leuven
1 - 1
KAA Gent
10 Apr 2022
KAA Gent
5 - 0
OH Leuven
4 Dec 2021
OH Leuven
0 - 1
KAA Gent

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Gent
2.00
Form (Overall)
Leuven
0.50

Gent is +300% better in terms of Points Per Game

KAA Gent
2 - 1
Club Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
1 - 2
KAA Gent
KAA Gent
2 - 0
KV Mechelen
OH Leuven
1 - 2
Standard Liège
OH Leuven
0 - 3
Club Brugge
Sporting Charleroi
3 - 1
OH Leuven

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Gent vs Leuven Prediction & Tips | Jupiler Pro League | FootballTips.app