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Greece vs Germany Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Greece

Greece

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 4 October
Germany

Germany

Away
GreeceTimelineGermany
1st Half
Tsimikas K.
23'
Anton W.
36'
2nd Half
Androutsos A.Out: Kyziridis A.
sync_alt
46'
Karetsas K.Out: Pavlidis V.
sync_alt
46'
Zafeiris C.
53'
El Mala S.Out: Karl L.
sync_alt
64'
Woltemade N.Out: Burkardt J.
sync_alt
64'
Treu P.
66'
Mouzakitis C.Out: Kourbelis D.
sync_alt
69'
Jovanovic I.
73'
Retsos P.Out: Mavropanos K.
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79'
Conte B.Out: Bischof T.
sync_alt
83'
Baur M.Out: Scherhant D.
sync_alt
83'
Kostoulas C.Out: Ioannidis F.
sync_alt
88'
Thiaw M.
90'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
13.81
X3.87
21.84

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.75 PPG vs Away 1.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.33 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

40%
26%
34%
Greece
Draw
Germany
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.741.86-6.7%
Under 2.5 Goals2.162.16+0.1%
Greece Win3.452.51+37.6%
Draw3.803.84-1.0%
Germany Win2.012.94-31.5%
BTTS - Yes1.611.75-8.0%
BTTS - No2.222.33-4.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Greece

Starting 11
-Konstantinos Tzolakis
GK7.00
-Kostas Tsimikas
DL6.76
-Panagiotis Retsos
DC6.74
-Konstantinos Mavropanos
DC7.61
-Manolis Saliakas
DR6.42
-Giorgos Masouras
ML6.92
-Dimitrios Kourbelis
MC7.08
-Thanasis Androutsos
MC6.59
-Konstantinos Karetsas
MR6.76
-Fotis Ioannidis
FW6.74
-Vangelis Pavlidis
FW6.82

Germany

Starting 11
-Alexander Nübel
GK5.98
-Maximilian Mittelstädt
DL7.70
-Malick Thiaw
DC7.77
-Finn Jeltsch
DC
-Philipp Treu
DR7.04
-Aleksandar Pavlovic
DMC7.47
-Mika Baur
DMC6.37
-Saïd El Mala
AML6.48
-Florian Wirtz
AMC7.39
-Serge Gnabry
AMR6.07
-Jonathan Burkardt
FW6.08
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Greece took a 2-0 lead into the second half against the Netherlands on Thursday and were heading for a third straight Nations League win before conceding twice after the break. Still, Ivan Jovanovic's side have taken seven points from a possible nine this tournament.

Germany finally claimed their first win under new manager Jürgen Klopp during gameweek three of the Nations League, beating Serbia 2-0 on home turf. That result ended a four-match winless run for Die Mannschaft.

Statistical Comparison

GreeceMetricGermany
5
Goals
3
4
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.7
27.5
Average Age
24.8
183.1
Average Height (cm)
182.1
1.2
Shots pg
2
44%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.6
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

GreeceGreece
1.3 GPG
D
W
W
L
D
GermanyGermany
2.0 GPG
W
L
D
D
L

group Head to Head

PL27 Sept 2026
Germany
0-1
Greece
PL7 Jun 2024
Germany
2-1
Greece
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
1 / 2 matches
Greece CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Germany CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Sept 2026
Germany
0 - 1
Greece
7 Jun 2024
Germany
2 - 1
Greece

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Greece
1.30
Form (Overall)
Germany
2.00

Germany is +54% better in terms of Points Per Game

Greece
2 - 2
Netherlands
Germany
0 - 1
Greece
Serbia
1 - 2
Greece
Greece
0 - 1
Italy
Sweden
2 - 2
Greece
Germany
2 - 0
Serbia
Germany
0 - 1
Greece
Netherlands
1 - 1
Germany
Germany
1 - 1
Paraguay
Ecuador
2 - 1
Germany

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