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Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Greece

Greece

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 0
Thursday 1 October
Netherlands

Netherlands

Away
GreeceTimelineNetherlands
1st Half
Masouras G.Out: Tzolis C.
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18'
Ioannidis F. (Masouras G.)
sports_soccer
23'
Masouras G. (Ioannidis F.)
sports_soccer
45+2'
2nd Half
Lang N.Out: van Bommel R.
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46'
Reijnders T.Out: Til G.
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46'
Gravenberch R.Out: Timber Q.
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46'
van Dijk V. (Veerman J.)
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59'
Tzolakis K.
67'
Zirkzee J.Out: Meerdink M.
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70'
Tetteh A.Out: Ioannidis F.
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70'
Zafeiris C.Out: Pavlidis V.
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71'
Lang N.
76'
Saliakas M.
76'
Zechiel G.Out: Timber J.
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78'
Douvikas A.Out: Androutsos A.
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83'
Michailidis G.Out: Karetsas K.
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83'
Reijnders T.
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89'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
13.16
X3.69
22.10

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 2.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
24%
44%
Greece
Draw
Netherlands
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.681.75-4.1%
Under 2.5 Goals2.202.33-5.6%
Greece Win2.813.17-11.5%
Draw3.504.10-14.7%
Netherlands Win2.072.27-8.7%
BTTS - Yes1.561.82-14.5%
BTTS - No2.302.21+3.9%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Dimitris Kourbelis scored the only goal of the game on Sunday as Greece sealed a shock 1-0 away victory against Jürgen Klopp's Germany side. Ivan Jovanovic's men are the surprise leaders of League A, Group 2, after winning back-to-back games to start the campaign.

Mexx Meerdink scored a brace to help the Netherlands beat Serbia at Stadium Rajko Mitić last time out in a game that was marred by an injury to Cody Gakpo. The visitors have started their Nations League campaign with four points from two games.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Greece

Starting 11
-Konstantinos Tzolakis
GK7.34
-Kostas Tsimikas
DL6.90
-Panagiotis Retsos
DC6.82
-Konstantinos Mavropanos
DC7.70
-Manolis Saliakas
DR6.38
-Christos Tzolis
ML7.14
-Dimitrios Kourbelis
MC7.26
-Thanasis Androutsos
MC6.53
-Konstantinos Karetsas
MR6.96
-Andrews Tetteh
FW6.56
-Vangelis Pavlidis
FW7.00

Netherlands

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.65
-Micky van de Ven
DL6.94
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC7.35
-Virgil van Dijk
DC7.01
-Denzel Dumfries
DR7.04
-Tijjani Reijnders
MC6.84
-Joey Veerman
MC7.26
-Ryan Gravenberch
MC6.60
-Ruben van Bommel
FWL7.01
-Mexx Meerdink
FW7.38
-Crysencio Summerville
FWR6.90
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
GreecevsNetherlands
1.50Goals / Match1.50
0.50Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets0
5.00Shots on Target / Match9.00
42.5%Possession %60.5%
84.8%Pass Accuracy %88.2%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

3Goals Scored3
1Goals Conceded2
1Clean Sheets0
3Big Chances11
2Big Chances Missed8
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

34Total Shots47
10Shots on Target18

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.5%Avg Possession60.5%
816Total Passes1,043
84.8%Pass Accuracy88.2%

shieldDefending

36Tackles27
11Interceptions17
8Saves6
50.2%Duels Won57.4%

gavelDiscipline

18Fouls21
5Yellow Cards4
3Offsides5

analyticsOther

8Corners16
18Successful Dribbles14
7.57Avg Rating7.91

Statistical Comparison

GreeceMetricNetherlands
3
Goals
3
2
Assists
2
6.7
Average Ratings
6.7
26.7
Average Age
26.2
182.2
Average Height (cm)
186.5
1.7
Shots pg
1.7
39%
Aerial Duel Success
61%
1.2
Dribbles pg
1.2
1.4
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

GreeceGreece
1.2 GPG
W
W
L
D
D
NetherlandsNetherlands
1.9 GPG
W
D
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL16 Oct 2023
Greece
0-1
Netherlands
PL7 Sept 2023
Netherlands
3-0
Greece
PL1 Sept 2016
Netherlands
1-2
Greece
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
Greece CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Netherlands CS
67%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

16 Oct 2023
Greece
0 - 1
Netherlands
7 Sept 2023
Netherlands
3 - 0
Greece
1 Sept 2016
Netherlands
1 - 2
Greece

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Greece
1.20
Form (Overall)
Netherlands
1.90

Netherlands is +58% better in terms of Points Per Game

Germany
0 - 1
Greece
Serbia
1 - 2
Greece
Greece
0 - 1
Italy
Sweden
2 - 2
Greece
Hungary
0 - 0
Greece
Serbia
1 - 2
Netherlands
Netherlands
1 - 1
Germany
Netherlands
1 - 1
Morocco
Tunisia
1 - 3
Netherlands
Netherlands
5 - 1
Sweden

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