Gremio vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Tips | Serie A Betano | FootballTips.app
Gremio
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 26 February
Atletico-MG
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.21
X3.20
23.29
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
44
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #15
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.67 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.60 GPG vs Away 2.75 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
41%
32%
27%
Gremio
Draw
Atletico-MG
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Gremio
Starting 11
7Cristian Pavón
LW6.71
9Francis Amuzu
LW6.83
95Carlos Vinícius
CF7.59
29Arthur Melo
CM6.80
17Douglas Moreira Fagundes
CDM2.17
19Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
4.71
-Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes
2Fabián Balbuena
CB6.53
18João Pedro Maturano dos Santos
CAM6.20
23Marlon Rodrigues Xavier
LB6.84
1Weverton Pereira da Silva
GK6.53
Substitutes
3Wagner Leonardo (Injured)
CB6.15
-Gabriel Ferreira de Carvalho
-Caio Fernando de Oliveira
RW
-Tiago Augusto Gonçalves
-Riquelme Freitas dos Santos
77Andre Henrique da Silva Martins
4.21
99José David Enamorado Gómez
LW4.42
-Walter Kannemann
CB
14Marcos Rocha
RB2.17
-Gabriel Hamester Grando
Atletico-MG
Starting 11
7Hulk
CF7.19
92Dudu
LW6.66
8Maycon
CM6.67
10Gustavo Scarpa
CAM6.67
21Alan Steven Franco Palma
CDM6.72
30Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
7.23
-Natanael Moreira Milouski
4Ruan Tressoldi
CB6.79
-Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
16Renan Lodi
LB6.73
22Everson
GK7.02
Substitutes
-Mateo Cassierra
ST
-Alan Minda
-Iván Román
11Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
6.29
17Igor Gomes
CM6.64
19Reinier Jesus
CAM6.60
-Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos (Injured)
23Ángelo Preciado
RB6.41
-Tomás Pérez
28Tomás Esteban Cuello
LW6.67
6Júnior Alonso
CB6.67
-Gabriel Delfim Ferreira
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
In a Brasileiro Serie A matchup, Grêmio will host Atlético Mineiro at Arena do Grêmio on February 26th, 2026.
Grêmio currently sits in the 13th position, while Atlético Mineiro occupies the 15th spot on the league standings.
Grêmio has accumulated 3 points, and Atlético Mineiro has 2 points to their name.
Grêmio has recorded 3 wins in 6 home matches, whereas Atlético Mineiro has played to 7 draws in their last 11 fixtures.
Looking at their head-to-head statistics, Grêmio has lost 50% of their previous 6 encounters against Atlético Mineiro.
With both teams looking to secure valuable points, our algorithm predicts that Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro will end the game in a draw.
Prediction: Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro to draw.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 matchesGremiovsAtletico-MG
2.00Goals / Match1.67
2.33Conceded / Match2.00
0Clean Sheets0
4.00Shots on Target / Match4.00
44.7%Possession %54.3%
83.1%Pass Accuracy %85.5%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
6Goals Scored5
7Goals Conceded6
10Big Chances10
4Big Chances Missed6
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
31Total Shots44
12Shots on Target12
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.7%Avg Possession54.3%
1,180Total Passes1,274
83.1%Pass Accuracy85.5%
shieldDefending
49Tackles35
31Interceptions32
7Saves11
50.7%Duels Won44.2%
gavelDiscipline
42Fouls33
5Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards0
3Offsides11
analyticsOther
13Corners23
26Successful Dribbles14
0Errors Leading to Goal1
6.66Avg Rating6.72
League Standings Context
For Gremio
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Botafogo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Grêmio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
For Atletico-MG
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Remo PA | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Atlético Mineiro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
44.1/ 101.4
Dangerous Attacks
56.3/ 101.1
34.0%
Shots on Target
26.0%
10.8
Total Shots
16.3
58.0%
Possession
61.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3
Head-to-Head Summary
3
Gremio Wins
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Atletico-MG Wins
50%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Gremio | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83%10/12 | 83%10/12 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42%5/12 | 42%5/12 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%6/12 | 83%10/12 |
* Based on last 12 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Gremio
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 1
Juventude
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 0
Novo Hamburgo RS
Br1
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 1
Juventude
BrG
Grêmio
5 - 0
São Luiz RS
BrG
Grêmio
0 - 1
EC São José
Home Games: Gremio
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 1
Juventude
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 0
Novo Hamburgo RS
Br1
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
BrG
Grêmio
1 - 1
Juventude
BrG
Grêmio
5 - 0
São Luiz RS
BrG
Grêmio
0 - 1
EC São José
Last 6: Atletico-MG
BrM
Itabirito
2 - 7
Atlético Mineiro
Br1
RB Bragantino
1 - 0
Atlético Mineiro
BrM
Pouso Alegre
1 - 3
Atlético Mineiro
BrM
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
BrM
North Esporte
1 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
Away Games: Atletico-MG
BrM
Itabirito
2 - 7
Atlético Mineiro
Br1
RB Bragantino
1 - 0
Atlético Mineiro
BrM
Pouso Alegre
1 - 3
Atlético Mineiro
BrM
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
BrM
North Esporte
1 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
history Recent Form
GremioL
W
L
Atletico-MGD
L
D
group Head to Head
PL17 Aug 2025
1-3
PL29 Mar 2025
2-1
PL9 Oct 2024
2-1
PL1 Sept 2024
2-3
PL26 Nov 2023
3-0
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
21 / 26 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
14 / 26 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7 / 26 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
15 / 26 matches
Gremio CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Atletico-MG CS
15%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Aug 2025
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 3
Grêmio
29 Mar 2025
Grêmio
2 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
9 Oct 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 1
Grêmio
1 Sept 2024
Grêmio
2 - 3
Atlético Mineiro
26 Nov 2023
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 0
Grêmio
23 Jul 2023
Grêmio
1 - 0
Atlético Mineiro
10 Dec 2021
Grêmio
4 - 3
Atlético Mineiro
4 Nov 2021
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 1
Grêmio
20 Jan 2021
Grêmio
1 - 1
Atlético Mineiro
27 Sept 2020
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 1
Grêmio
13 Oct 2019
Atlético Mineiro
1 - 4
Grêmio
25 May 2019
Grêmio
1 - 0
Atlético Mineiro
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
1.50
Both teams have equal form.
São Paulo
2 - 0
Grêmio
Grêmio
5 - 3
Botafogo
Fluminense
2 - 1
Grêmio
Atlético Mineiro
3 - 3
Remo
Bragantino
1 - 0
Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras
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