Groningen vs Ajax Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Groningen

Groningen

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 7 March
Ajax

Ajax

Away
GroningenTimelineAjax
1st Half
van Bergen T. (Janse D.)
sports_soccer
6'
Klaassen D. (Gaaei A.)
sports_soccer
30'
2nd Half
Jurjus H.Out: Vaessen E.
sync_alt
46'
Zawada O.Out: Willumsson B.
sync_alt
46'
Rente M.Out: Mercera T.
sync_alt
46'
Zawada O.Assist: Peersman M.
sports_soccer
65'
Bounida R.Out: Klaassen D.
sync_alt
69'
Dolberg K.Out: Berghuis S.
sync_alt
69'
de Jonge T.Out: Hernes T.
sync_alt
69'
Zawada O. (Blokzijl T.)
sports_soccer
72'
Mendes R.Out: Zawada O.
sync_alt
76'
Prins W.Out: Peersman M.
sync_alt
82'
Carrizo M.Out: Sutalo J.
sync_alt
83'
Konadu D.Out: Mokio J.
sync_alt
88'
Fitz-Jim K.Out: Steur S.
sync_alt
88'
Tomiyasu T.Out: Wijndal O.
sync_alt
88'
Weghorst W.
90+4'
Blokzijl T.
90+5'

Top stats

1.92Expected goals (xG)1.86
40%Ball possession60%
13Total shots13
6Shots on target5
6Big chances4
6Corner kicks8
74% (272/370)Passes82% (450/549)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

1.92Expected goals (xG)1.86
1.73xG on target (xGOT)1.45
13Total shots13
6Shots on target5
4Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box7
4Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals1

Attack

6Big chances4
6Corner kicks8
26Touches in opposition box19
2Accurate through passes0
0Offsides2
7Free kicks5

Passes

74% (272/370)Passes82% (450/549)
38% (21/56)Long passes37% (28/75)
61% (84/137)Passes in final third73% (102/140)
13% (1/8)Crosses20% (5/25)
2.50Expected assists (xA)0.86
20Throw ins17

Defense

5Fouls7
41% (9/22)Tackles91% (10/11)
53Duels won49
28Clearances21
8Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
1.45xGOT faced1.73
0.45Goals prevented-1.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.79
X3.77
22.37

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (5/10)
45
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.6 vs Away 6.9
Model Consensus: 0-2 (Away)
More Goals: Away 45 vs 32

donut_small Win Probabilities

38%
24%
38%
Groningen
Draw
Ajax

Match Preview

Groningen will be hosting Ajax in an Eredivisie encounter at Euroborg on March 7, 2026 GMT.

Groningen, with 6 losses in their last 6 Eredivisie matches, will be facing Ajax, who has recorded 4 draws in their last 6 games across all leagues.

In their head-to-head history, Groningen has suffered defeat in 38 out of 50 matches against Ajax this season.

Ajax has been involved in low-scoring affairs, with under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 Eredivisie matches.

With the stats pointing towards tight encounters for both teams, the focus will be on defensive solidity and tactical discipline from both sides.

Expect a closely contested match with a probability of under 2.5 goals likely to be scored according to our prediction.

Euroborg hosts a meeting between two sides with sharply contrasting trajectories. Groningen enter Matchday 26 sitting 11th with 31 points (9W, 4D, 12L), while Ajax occupy third with 44 points (11W, 11D, 3L) and remain firmly in the hunt near the top of the table.

Historically, this fixture has been dominated by Ajax. The Amsterdam side lead the Eredivisie head-to-head by a wide margin with 80 wins compared to Groningen’s 15, alongside 20 draws. Recent meetings reinforce that imbalance: Ajax are unbeaten in their last eight matches against Groningen, winning seven of them.

Groningen arrive in difficult form. They have lost six consecutive matches across all competitions and are winless in their last six outings. Over that stretch they have struggled defensively, conceding regularly while scoring only five goals in their last five matches. Their home form has also dipped, with defeats in their last three matches at Euroborg.

Ajax, by contrast, have been harder to beat. Fred Grim’s side are unbeaten in their last five matches and have not lost in the Eredivisie for 12 games. Draws have featured prominently, particularly away from home, where Ajax have drawn their last three league matches. Nevertheless, their broader away record remains strong, with just one defeat in 12 road fixtures.

Ajax have scored eight goals across their last five matches and continue to combine attacking productivity with relative defensive stability. Groningen’s recent struggles and Ajax’s strong historical record in the fixture frame a difficult challenge for the hosts.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Groningen

Starting 11
-Etienne Vaessen
GK6.60
-Marvin Peersman
DL6.58
-Dies Janse
DC6.75
-Thijmen Blokzijl
DC6.70
-Tyrique Mercera
DR6.33
-David van der Werff
ML6.62
-Tygo Land
MC6.16
-Stije Resink
MC7.12
-Jorg Schreuders
MR6.60
-Brynjólfur Willumsson
FW6.50
-Thom van Bergen
FW6.84

Ajax

Starting 11
-Maarten Paes
GK7.28
-Owen Wijndal
DL6.72
-Youri Baas
DC7.01
-Josip Sutalo
DC6.61
-Lucas Rosa
DR6.71
-Davy Klaassen
MC6.60
-Jorthy Mokio
MC6.47
-Oscar Gloukh
MC6.80
-Mika Godts
FWL7.62
-Wout Weghorst
FW6.87
-Rayane Bounida
FWR6.84
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 / 14 matches
GroningenvsAjax

radarTeam Profile

Groningen
Ajax
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
52Attack38
shield
45Defense49
swap_horiz
50Possession24
gps_fixed
52Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
39Creativity0
gavel
52Discipline81

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

33Goals Scored40
35Goals Conceded13
7Clean Sheets8
3Penalty Goals2

Statistical Comparison

GroningenMetricAjax
32
Goals
45
22
Assists
38
6.4
Average Ratings
6.6
23.5
Average Age
24.6
184.7
Average Height (cm)
181.3
1
Shots pg
1
44%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.2
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Groningen

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Fortuna Sittard25951132
11Groningen25941231
12Go Ahead Eagles25611829

For Ajax

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Feyenoord25153748
3Ajax251111344
4Nijmegen25127643

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

46.0/ 109.0
Dangerous Attacks
48.8/ 98.4
36.0%
Shots on Target
41.0%
15.8
Total Shots
13.5
51.0%
Possession
57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Groningen Wins
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Ajax Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketGroningenAjax
Over 1.5 Goals
88%23/26
131%34/26
Over 2.5 Goals
54%14/26
85%22/26
Both Teams to Score
54%14/26
88%23/26
* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Groningen

Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
Utrecht
Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Groningen
0 - 0
NAC Breda
Nl1
Groningen
3 - 0
Volendam
Nl1
Groningen
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Home Games: Groningen

Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
Utrecht
Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Groningen
0 - 0
NAC Breda
Nl1
Groningen
3 - 0
Volendam
Nl1
Groningen
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Last 6: Ajax

Nl1
PEC Zwolle
0 - 0
Ajax
Nl1
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Ajax
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
UCL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Ajax
NlC
AZ Alkmaar
6 - 0
Ajax
Nl1
SC Telstar
2 - 3
Ajax

Away Games: Ajax

Nl1
PEC Zwolle
0 - 0
Ajax
Nl1
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Ajax
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
UCL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Ajax
NlC
AZ Alkmaar
6 - 0
Ajax
Nl1
SC Telstar
2 - 3
Ajax

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