Groningen vs Twente Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Groningen

Groningen

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 2
Sunday 6 September
Twente

Twente

Away
GroningenTimelineTwente
1st Half
Pjaca M. (Weghorst W.)
sports_soccer
6'
Zerrouki R.
8'
van Bergen T. (van der Werff D.)
sports_soccer
18'
Land T. (Blokzijl T.)
sports_soccer
29'
Weghorst W. (Taha Y.)
sports_soccer
40'
2nd Half
Csinger M.
55'
Zawada O.Out: Willumsson B.
sync_alt
60'
van der Laan E.Out: Csinger M.
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60'
Ondrejka J.Out: Clement P.
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60'
Rots D.Out: Pjaca M.
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61'
Thorvaldsen F.Out: Orjasaeter S.
sync_alt
75'
van den Belt T.Out: Weidmann D.
sync_alt
75'
Hernes T.Out: Land T.
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80'
Brandis N.Out: Prins W.
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83'
Vennegoor of Hesselink L.Out: Taha Y.
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88'

Top stats

1.44Expected goals (xG)2.32
46%Ball possession54%
21Total shots16
4Shots on target5
3Big chances7
8Corner kicks2
79% (303/383)Passes85% (389/458)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

1.44Expected goals (xG)2.32
0.45xG on target (xGOT)2.13
21Total shots16
4Shots on target5
5Shots off target10
12Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box12
8Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances7
8Corner kicks2
31Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
8Free kicks6

Passes

79% (303/383)Passes85% (389/458)
50% (31/62)Long passes51% (27/53)
68% (71/104)Passes in final third79% (108/136)
17% (3/18)Crosses54% (7/13)
1.17Expected assists (xA)2.03
19Throw ins19

Defense

6Fouls8
80% (16/20)Tackles67% (8/12)
63Duels won36
28Clearances24
10Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
2.13xGOT faced0.45
0.13Goals prevented-1.55
11Goal kicks4
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.17
X3.77
22.07

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 2.07Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.7 vs Away 7.1
Model Consensus: 2-3 (Away)
Statistical Edge: Away leads in 2 categories

donut_small Win Probabilities

28%
24%
49%
Groningen
Draw
Twente
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Home Win3.173.60-11.9%
Draw3.774.25-11.4%
Away Win2.072.05+0.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

FC Groningen and FC Twente meet at Euroborg level on six points but arriving in very different form. Dick Lukkien’s side have lost their last two matches after opening with consecutive victories, while Twente have responded to an opening defeat by winning back-to-back league games.

Groningen’s latest setback came in a 3-2 home defeat to Fortuna Sittard, despite controlling close to two-thirds of possession and attempting 17 shots. David van der Werff cancelled out an early Fortuna opener, but the hosts were repeatedly exposed in transition before a late Justin Hubner own goal gave them brief hope of a comeback.

The defeat followed a 5-1 loss at PSV and means Groningen have now conceded eight goals across their last two matches. Their attacking numbers remain respectable, with nine goals from four games, but only two of their 17 attempts against Fortuna were on target, highlighting the contrast between territorial dominance and actual threat.

Twente arrive in much stronger shape after beating Cambuur 4-1 away from home. Ruud Nijstad, Wout Weghorst, Marko Pjaca and Younes Taha all scored as John van den Brom’s side repeatedly exploited gaps through direct play, wide overloads and aggressive positioning between the lines.

That result took Twente to seven goals from three league matches, while they have now scored 14 times across their last five outings in all competitions. Their attack has also been well spread, with six different Eredivisie scorers and Sondre Ørjasæter already contributing two assists.

Recent history is firmly on the visitors’ side, with Twente unbeaten in their last 14 meetings with Groningen, winning seven and drawing seven. Groningen’s home advantage and attacking quality should make this competitive, but unless Lukkien’s side tighten their transition defence, Twente’s direct running and in-form frontline look well suited to exploiting the spaces they have been leaving behind.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Groningen

Starting 11
-Etienne Vaessen
GK7.15
-Wouter Prins
DL6.18
-Márk Csinger
DC6.03
-Thijmen Blokzijl
DC6.23
-Jorg Schreuders
DR6.40
-Tika de Jonge
DMC6.88
-Tygo Land
DMC6.38
-Pelle Clement
AML6.74
-Thom van Bergen
AMC7.63
-David van der Werff
AMR7.38
-Brynjólfur Willumsson
FW7.20

Twente

Starting 11
-Joël Drommel
GK6.79
-Aske Adelgaard
DL6.97
-Ruud Nijstad
DC7.22
-Robin Pröpper
DC6.59
-Bart van Rooij
DR7.27
-Daouda Weidmann
MC8.03
-Ramiz Zerrouki
MC6.48
-Younes Taha
MC7.30
-Marko Pjaca
FWL6.98
-Wout Weghorst
FW7.03
-Sondre Ørjasæter
FWR7.15
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 / 3 matches
GroningenvsTwente
2.25Goals / Match2.33
2.50Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets0
6.25Shots on Target / Match7.33
52.5%Possession %62.3%
82.3%Pass Accuracy %87.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

9Goals Scored7
10Goals Conceded3
17Big Chances10
12Big Chances Missed7

gps_fixedShooting

63Total Shots66
25Shots on Target22

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.5%Avg Possession62.3%
1,756Total Passes1,752
82.3%Pass Accuracy87.4%

shieldDefending

39Tackles39
20Interceptions23
18Saves7
49.3%Duels Won49.2%

gavelDiscipline

35Fouls32
5Yellow Cards2
7Offsides5

analyticsOther

18Corners23
32Successful Dribbles25
1Errors Leading to Goal2
7.15Avg Rating7.54

Statistical Comparison

GroningenMetricTwente
8
Goals
6
5
Assists
5
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
23.7
Average Age
26.1
180.7
Average Height (cm)
183.7
1.3
Shots pg
1.7
51%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
1
Dribbles pg
1
0.8
Tackles pg
1.1

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