Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Apertura

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Guadalajara Chivas

Home

Full Time

0 - 2

HT: 0 - 1

Sunday 19 July

Toluca

Away

Guadalajara ChivasTimelineToluca

1st Half

Romero F.

19'

Vega A.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

42'

2nd Half

Gutierrez B.Out: Castaneda K.

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46'

Sepulveda A.

50'

Alvarado R.

54'

Gonzalez A.Out: Ledezma R.

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56'

HelinhoOut: Gutierrez E.

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59'

Gallardo J.

61'

Carrillo J.Out: Govea O.

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68'

Guzman V.Out: Vega A.

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70'

Gallardo J. (Helinho)

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74'

Marin R.Out: Campillo Del Campo D.

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86'

Gomez M.Out: Aguirre D.

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86'

Bruno MendezOut: Castro N.

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87'

Arce F.Out: Angulo J.

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87'

Carrillo J.

90+6'

Top stats

0.96Expected goals (xG)1.93

40%Ball possession60%

13Total shots15

4Shots on target10

1Big chances5

9Corner kicks2

81% (286/355)Passes89% (497/560)

2Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

Shots

0.96Expected goals (xG)1.93

0.24xG on target (xGOT)2.92

13Total shots15

4Shots on target10

6Shots off target4

3Blocked shots1

11Shots inside the box10

2Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances5

9Corner kicks2

27Touches in opposition box15

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides2

13Free kicks14

Passes

81% (286/355)Passes89% (497/560)

38% (16/42)Long passes62% (48/77)

64% (67/105)Passes in final third83% (103/124)

39% (7/18)Crosses13% (1/8)

0.80Expected assists (xA)0.80

23Throw ins18

Defense

14Fouls13

53% (8/15)Tackles76% (13/17)

46Duels won53

15Clearances27

9Interceptions14

0Errors leading to shot2

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

8Goalkeeper saves3

2.92xGOT faced0.24

0.92Goals prevented0.24

4Goal kicks10

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.18

X3.64

23.01

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: High (10/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG

Recent Form: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.60 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 0.80 conc vs Away 2.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

95%

Guadalajara Chivas

Draw

Toluca

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 matches

Guadalajara ChivasvsToluca

radarTeam Profile

Guadalajara Chivas

Toluca

sports_soccer

75Attack32

shield

56Defense15

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67Possession24

gps_fixed

62Efficiency50

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53Creativity0

gavel

46Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

39Goals Scored46

24Goals Conceded39

9Clean Sheets4

4Penalty Goals3

gavelDiscipline

49Yellow Cards30

0Red Cards3

history Recent Form

Guadalajara Chivas

1.3 GPG

Toluca

1.1 GPG

group Head to Head

PL28 Feb 2026

2-0

PL21 Sept 2025

0-3

PL7 Jul 2024

0-0

PL12 May 2024

0-0

PL9 May 2024

1-0

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

56%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

68%

23 / 34 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

35%

12 / 34 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

21%

7 / 34 matches

Both Teams to Score

56%

19 / 34 matches

Guadalajara Chivas CS

32%

Clean Sheets

Toluca CS

26%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Feb 2026

Toluca

2 - 0

Guadalajara

21 Sept 2025

Guadalajara

0 - 3

Toluca

7 Jul 2024

Guadalajara

0 - 0

Toluca

12 May 2024

Toluca

0 - 0

Guadalajara

9 May 2024

Guadalajara

1 - 0

Toluca

31 Jan 2024

Guadalajara

3 - 2

Toluca

2 Oct 2023

Toluca

1 - 1

Guadalajara

22 Jan 2023

Guadalajara

1 - 2

Toluca

4 Sept 2022

Toluca

0 - 0

Guadalajara

10 Apr 2022

Toluca

1 - 1

Guadalajara

17 Oct 2021

Guadalajara

2 - 0

Toluca

16 Jan 2021

Guadalajara

1 - 1

Toluca

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.30

Form (Overall)

1.10

Guadalajara Chivas is +18% better in terms of Points Per Game

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.18

X3.64

23.01