Guadalajara Chivas vs UNAM Pumas Prediction & Tips | Liga MX - Apertura | FootballTips.app
Guadalajara Chivas
HomeFull Time
3 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Monday 14 September
UNAM Pumas
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.50
X4.35
25.90
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.57 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.33 conc vs Away 1.33 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
58%
22%
19%
Guadalajara Chivas
Draw
UNAM Pumas
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.65 | 1.82 | 1.76 | -9.3% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.16 | 2.22 | 2.31 | -2.7% |
| Guadalajara Win | 1.45 | 1.71 | 1.60 | -15.4% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.45 | 4.84 | -1.1% |
| Pumas UNAM Win | 5.46 | 5.22 | 6.01 | +4.6% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.88 | -1.4% |
| BTTS - No | 1.99 | 2.29 | 2.14 | -13.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 7 matchesGuadalajara ChivasvsUNAM Pumas
1.71Goals / Match1.57
0.86Conceded / Match1.29
3Clean Sheets1
6.00Shots on Target / Match3.86
58.6%Possession %49.6%
87.3%Pass Accuracy %82.5%
radarTeam Profile
Guadalajara Chivas
UNAM Pumas
sports_soccer
59Attack43
shield
68Defense42
swap_horiz
75Possession54
gps_fixed
77Efficiency69
auto_fix_high
73Creativity60
gavel
58Discipline51
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
12Goals Scored11
6Goals Conceded9
3Clean Sheets1
18Big Chances10
10Big Chances Missed5
2Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
103Total Shots89
42Shots on Target27
swap_horizPassing & Possession
58.6%Avg Possession49.6%
4,047Total Passes2,957
87.3%Pass Accuracy82.5%
shieldDefending
104Tackles110
62Interceptions64
23Saves18
49.7%Duels Won49.1%
gavelDiscipline
81Fouls83
6Yellow Cards9
1Red Cards1
11Offsides11
analyticsOther
55Corners38
54Successful Dribbles53
1Errors Leading to Goal1
6.95Avg Rating6.87
history Recent Form
Guadalajara ChivasW
D
W
W
D
UNAM PumasW
L
D
D
W
group Head to Head
PL6 Apr 2026
2-2
PL6 Oct 2025
1-2
PL2 Mar 2025
0-1
PL3 Nov 2024
0-0
PL25 Feb 2024
3-1
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
20 / 31 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
16 / 31 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
8 / 31 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
18 / 31 matches
Guadalajara Chivas CS
26%
Clean Sheets
UNAM Pumas CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
6 Apr 2026
Guadalajara
2 - 2
Pumas UNAM
6 Oct 2025
Pumas UNAM
1 - 2
Guadalajara
2 Mar 2025
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
Guadalajara
3 Nov 2024
Guadalajara
0 - 0
Pumas UNAM
25 Feb 2024
Guadalajara
3 - 1
Pumas UNAM
4 Dec 2023
Pumas UNAM
3 - 0
Guadalajara
1 Dec 2023
Guadalajara
1 - 0
Pumas UNAM
12 Nov 2023
Pumas UNAM
1 - 0
Guadalajara
19 Feb 2023
Pumas UNAM
1 - 2
Guadalajara
28 Aug 2022
Guadalajara
3 - 1
Pumas UNAM
9 May 2022
Guadalajara
4 - 1
Pumas UNAM
24 Apr 2022
Guadalajara
3 - 1
Pumas UNAM
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
1.57
Guadalajara Chivas is +27% better in terms of Points Per Game
Atlético San Luis
0 - 3
Guadalajara
Pachuca
1 - 1
Guadalajara
Guadalajara
5 - 2
Tijuana
Santos Laguna
0 - 1
Guadalajara
Puebla
1 - 1
Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM
3 - 1
León
Tijuana
2 - 0
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1 - 1
Necaxa
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Querétaro
Juárez
1 - 5
Pumas UNAM
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