Guinea vs Kenya Prediction & Tips | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | FootballTips.app
Guinea
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 1 October
Kenya
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
11.63
X3.00
25.70
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.25 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.25 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.00 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
34%
26%
41%
Guinea
Draw
Kenya
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.50 | 1.98 | 2.67 | +26.4% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 2.02 | 1.60 | -25.8% |
| Guinea Win | 1.61 | 2.97 | 1.74 | -45.8% |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.90 | 3.76 | -10.8% |
| Kenya Win | 5.86 | 5.31 | 6.32 | +10.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.50 | 2.01 | 2.67 | +24.4% |
| BTTS - No | 1.50 | 1.99 | 1.60 | -24.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 1 matchesGuineavsKenya
1.00Goals / Match1.00
2.00Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets0
2.00Shots on Target / Match6.00
44.0%Possession %66.0%
85.0%Pass Accuracy %87.4%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
1Goals Scored1
2Goals Conceded1
2Big Chances5
1Big Chances Missed4
gps_fixedShooting
11Total Shots29
2Shots on Target6
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.0%Avg Possession66.0%
341Total Passes516
85.0%Pass Accuracy87.4%
shieldDefending
11Tackles8
6Interceptions5
3Saves5
53.8%Duels Won51.4%
gavelDiscipline
17Fouls12
1Yellow Cards2
1Offsides4
analyticsOther
4Corners8
9Successful Dribbles15
0Errors Leading to Goal1
6.66Avg Rating6.95
history Recent Form
GuineaL
L
L
D
D
KenyaD
W
D
W
D
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.30
Form (Overall)
1.50
Kenya is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game
South Africa
2 - 1
Guinea
Northern Ireland
1 - 0
Guinea
Guinea
0 - 1
Benin
Togo
2 - 2
Guinea
Niger
1 - 1
Guinea
Kenya
1 - 1
Eritrea
Kenya
4 - 0
Lesotho
Lesotho
1 - 1
Kenya
Grenada
0 - 3
Kenya
Kenya
1 - 1
Estonia
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