Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Wednesday 4 March
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
Hamburger SVTimelineBayer Leverkusen
1st Half
Mikelbrencis W.Out: Jatta B.
sync_alt
29'
Garcia A.
40'
2nd Half
Dompe J.Out: Downs D.
sync_alt
65'
Torunarigha J.Out: Omari W.
sync_alt
65'
Stange O.Out: Philippe R.
sync_alt
65'
Tillman M.Out: Terrier M.
sync_alt
71'
Kofane C.Assist: Maza I.
sports_soccer
73'
Poku E.Out: Culbreath M.
sync_alt
80'
Lokonga A. S.Out: Konigsdorffer R.
sync_alt
80'
Fernandez E.Out: Maza I.
sync_alt
89'
Palacios E.
90+5'

Top stats

1.26Expected goals (xG)1.93
37%Ball possession63%
10Total shots14
3Shots on target4
2Big chances5
2Corner kicks7
75% (250/334)Passes84% (477/569)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.26Expected goals (xG)1.93
1.07xG on target (xGOT)1.07
10Total shots14
3Shots on target4
4Shots off target8
3Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box11
2Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances5
2Corner kicks7
16Touches in opposition box36
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides2
11Free kicks12

Passes

75% (250/334)Passes84% (477/569)
39% (26/66)Long passes39% (18/46)
57% (42/74)Passes in final third72% (133/184)
30% (3/10)Crosses43% (9/21)
0.85Expected assists (xA)1.51
18Throw ins23

Defense

12Fouls11
55% (11/20)Tackles60% (15/25)
51Duels won57
36Clearances21
13Interceptions8
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
1.07xGOT faced1.07
0.07Goals prevented1.07
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.38
X3.67
22.17

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #6
Season: Home 1.13 PPG vs Away 1.74 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.58 GPG vs Away 1.73 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

24%
28%
48%
Hamburger SV
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen

Match Preview

Hamburger SV will face Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga match at Volksparkstadion on March 4, 2026, GMT.

Hamburger SV currently sits in 11th place, trailing behind Bayer Leverkusen, who is in 6th position in the standings with 26 and 40 points, respectively.

In their head-to-head matchups, Hamburger SV has struggled, losing four out of their last six encounters in the Bundesliga.

Hamburger SV has drawn three of their last six home matches, while Bayer Leverkusen has seen 50% of their recent games end in draws.

Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win by 1-2.

Fabio Vieira gave Hamburg an early lead against a strong RB Leipzig side on Sunday, but HSV were unable to convert that into three points as Die Roten Bullen fought back to win 2-1 on the road. That result ended a six-game unbeaten streak for Merlin Polzin's side.

Bayer Leverkusen needed an 88th-minute Jarell Quansah goal to salvage a point against a relegation-threatened Mainz 05 side in gameweek 24 as Die Werkself dropped points on home soil. The visitors have won just one of their last four Bundesliga games ahead of their trip to the Volksparkstadion.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.60
-Jordan Torunarigha
DC6.85
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.24
-Daniel Elfadli
DC6.43
-Giorgi Gocholeishvili
DML6.31
-Nicolai Remberg
MC6.83
-Fábio Vieira
MC6.74
-William Mikelbrencis
DMR6.22
-Philip Otele
FWL6.77
-Damion Downs
FW6.29
-Ransford Königsdörffer
FWR6.41

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Janis Blaswich
GK6.82
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC7.04
-Robert Andrich
DC6.51
-Jarell Quansah
DC6.82
-Alejandro Grimaldo
DML7.26
-Ezequiél Fernández
MC6.49
-Exequiel Palacios
MC6.37
-Axel Tape
DMR6.19
-Ernest Poku
AMC6.68
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC6.85
-Patrik Schick
FW6.80
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 23 / 19 matches
Hamburger SVvsBayer Leverkusen

radarTeam Profile

Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
33Attack40
shield
43Defense45
swap_horiz
50Possession34
gps_fixed
56Efficiency72
auto_fix_high
31Creativity25
gavel
24Discipline51

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

26Goals Scored29
34Goals Conceded28
6Clean Sheets3
41Big Chances26
28Big Chances Missed12
1Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

297Total Shots255
109Shots on Target89

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.2%Avg Possession49.5%
9,451Total Passes7,287
82.0%Pass Accuracy73.4%

shieldDefending

324Tackles344
184Interceptions173
70Saves49
51.8%Duels Won50.1%

gavelDiscipline

283Fouls215
52Yellow Cards25
6Red Cards3
48Offsides61

analyticsOther

89Corners98
169Successful Dribbles114
6Errors Leading to Goal3
6.79Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

Hamburger SVMetricBayer Leverkusen
26
Goals
43
18
Assists
31
6.4
Average Ratings
6.6
25.1
Average Age
25.9
183.9
Average Height (cm)
183
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
52%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
0.8
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Hamburger SV

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Union Berlin24771028
11Hamburger SV2368926
12Borussia M'gladbach24671125

For Bayer Leverkusen

PosTeamPWDLPts
5RB Leipzig24135644
6Bayer Leverkusen23124740
7Eintracht Frankfurt2497834

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.2/ 88.5
Dangerous Attacks
46.0/ 104.8
37.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
13.5
Total Shots
13.2
49.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Hamburger SV Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketHamburger SVBayer Leverkusen
Over 1.5 Goals
69%18/26
119%31/26
Over 2.5 Goals
46%12/26
73%19/26
Both Teams to Score
54%14/26
69%18/26
* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Hamburger SV

De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Union Berlin
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Werder Bremen

Home Games: Hamburger SV

De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Union Berlin
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Werder Bremen

Last 6: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
2 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen

Away Games: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
2 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen

history Recent Form

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.1 GPG
L
D
W
W
D
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.7 GPG
D
L
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL17 Feb 2018
Hamburger SV
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
PL24 Sept 2017
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
Hamburger SV
PL3 Feb 2017
Hamburger SV
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
PL10 Sept 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
Hamburger SV
PL13 Mar 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
Hamburger SV
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
16 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
13 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
7 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
13 / 24 matches
Hamburger SV CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Bayer Leverkusen CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Feb 2018
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
24 Sept 2017
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
3 Feb 2017
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
10 Sept 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
Hamburger SV
13 Mar 2016
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 0
Hamburger SV
17 Oct 2015
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
4 Apr 2015
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
Hamburger SV
1 Nov 2014
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
4 Apr 2014
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
9 Nov 2013
Bayer Leverkusen
5 - 3
Hamburger SV
18 May 2013
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
15 Dec 2012
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
Hamburger SV

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.13
Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74

Bayer Leverkusen is +54% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hamburger SV
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Union Berlin
Heidenheim
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.