Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 10 May
Freiburg

Freiburg

Away
Hamburger SVTimelineFreiburg
1st Half
Jatta B. (Gronbaek A.)
sports_soccer
14'
Matanovic I. (Kubler L.)
sports_soccer
16'
Kubler L.
20'
2nd Half
Hofler N.Out: Manzambi J.
sync_alt
59'
Makengo J.Out: Beste J.
sync_alt
59'
Vuskovic L.
sports_soccer
64'
Vuskovic L.
65'
Balde F.Out: Jatta B.
sync_alt
66'
Philippe R.Out: Stange O.
sync_alt
66'
Balde F.Assist: Remberg N.
sports_soccer
67'
Lienhart P.Out: Ogbus B.
sync_alt
70'
Scherhant D.Out: Kubler L.
sync_alt
70'
Jung A.Out: Ginter M.
sync_alt
71'
Poulsen Y.Out: Lokonga A. S.
sync_alt
80'
Holer L.
86'
Capaldo N.
86'
Matanovic I. (Grifo V.)
sports_soccer
87'
Nandja S.Out: Vuskovic L.
sync_alt
90+6'

Top stats

2.02Expected goals (xG)0.51
47%Ball possession53%
14Total shots5
5Shots on target3
3Big chances1
2Corner kicks4
82% (352/429)Passes82% (393/481)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

2.02Expected goals (xG)0.51
1.76xG on target (xGOT)1.19
14Total shots5
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
5Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box2
6Shots outside the box3
2Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances1
2Corner kicks4
24Touches in opposition box9
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
8Free kicks14

Passes

82% (352/429)Passes82% (393/481)
47% (36/76)Long passes39% (24/61)
60% (68/113)Passes in final third54% (53/98)
25% (2/8)Crosses22% (4/18)
1.07Expected assists (xA)0.64
10Throw ins21

Defense

14Fouls8
70% (14/20)Tackles67% (10/15)
53Duels won42
30Clearances23
14Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
1.19xGOT faced1.76
-0.81Goals prevented-1.24
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.79
X3.81
22.47

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
80
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #12 vs Away #7
Season: Home 1.06 PPG vs Away 1.38 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.38 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

29%
26%
45%
Hamburger SV
Draw
Freiburg

Match Preview

Hamburg showed impressive resolve against Eintracht Frankfurt last time out as two goals in the first 15 minutes of the second half sealed a 2-1 comeback win at Deutsche Bank Park. That result ended a three-match losing streak and ensured HSV's Bundesliga status for the 2026/27 season.

Freiburg will travel to the Volksparkstadion full of confidence after overcoming a first-leg deficit to knock Braga out of the Europa League in the semi-final stage. In the Bundesliga, Julian Schuster's side have won two of their last three away from home.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.59
-Jordan Torunarigha
DC6.77
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.28
-Nicolás Capaldo
DC6.71
-Albert Grønbæk
DML6.65
-Albert Sambi Lokonga
MC6.65
-Nicolai Remberg
MC6.78
-William Mikelbrencis
DMR6.33
-Fábio Vieira
AMC6.81
-Ransford Königsdörffer
AMC6.43
-Philip Otele
FW6.46

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.61
-Christian Günter
DL6.34
-Philipp Lienhart
DC6.53
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.92
-Lukas Kübler
DR6.81
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.74
-Johan Manzambi
DMC6.86
-Vincenzo Grifo
AML6.56
-Lucas Höler
AMC6.59
-Derry Scherhant
AMR6.46
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.61
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 matches
Hamburger SVvsFreiburg

radarTeam Profile

Hamburger SV
Freiburg
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
30Attack40
shield
41Defense37
swap_horiz
46Possession45
gps_fixed
60Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
29Creativity27
gavel
29Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored45
51Goals Conceded53
6Clean Sheets6
56Big Chances69
37Big Chances Missed43
4Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

385Total Shots401
144Shots on Target135

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.5%Avg Possession48.1%
12,431Total Passes12,992
80.7%Pass Accuracy81.3%

shieldDefending

483Tackles452
273Interceptions274
106Saves95
51.7%Duels Won51.6%

gavelDiscipline

376Fouls297
69Yellow Cards48
8Red Cards3
58Offsides65

analyticsOther

120Corners135
230Successful Dribbles189
8Errors Leading to Goal9
6.78Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

Hamburger SVMetricFreiburg
36
Goals
43
25
Assists
25
6.4
Average Ratings
6.4
25.5
Average Age
28.1
181.9
Average Height (cm)
185.6
0.7
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.2
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.1 GPG
W
L
L
L
D
FreiburgFreiburg
1.4 GPG
D
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL10 Jan 2026
Freiburg
2-1
Hamburger SV
PL30 Oct 2024
Freiburg
2-1
Hamburger SV
PL19 Apr 2022
Hamburger SV
1-3
Freiburg
PL21 Apr 2018
Hamburger SV
1-0
Freiburg
PL1 Dec 2017
Freiburg
0-0
Hamburger SV
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
63%
12 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
7 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
3 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
9 / 19 matches
Hamburger SV CS
32%
Clean Sheets
Freiburg CS
37%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Jan 2026
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
30 Oct 2024
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
19 Apr 2022
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
Freiburg
21 Apr 2018
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Freiburg
1 Dec 2017
Freiburg
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
18 Feb 2017
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Freiburg
20 Sept 2016
Freiburg
1 - 0
Hamburger SV
8 May 2015
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Freiburg
13 Dec 2014
Freiburg
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
26 Mar 2014
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Freiburg
27 Oct 2013
Freiburg
0 - 3
Hamburger SV
6 Apr 2013
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Freiburg

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.06
Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.38

Freiburg is +30% better in terms of Points Per Game

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 2
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1 - 2
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Hamburger SV
Stuttgart
4 - 0
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Augsburg
Freiburg
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Heidenheim
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 3
Bayern München

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